Mostly Resilient

Last Update: 10/7/2026

AI Resilience Score for Cooks, Inst. & Cafeteria:

54.2%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

High

Long-term employer demand

High

Sustained economic opportunity

Low

Our confidence in this score:
Medium

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient institutional and cafeteria cooking is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from five AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, Will Robots Take My Job, and OpenAI Signals. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For institutional and cafeteria cooks, seven of eight sources had data (only Anthropic was missing). Most AI exposure sources agreed this work stays human, though Will Robots Take My Job flagged some risk, keeping confidence at medium. Strong demand and human contribution scores lift the overall rating, while low pay and mobility pull the score down, landing this career at "Mostly Resilient."

AI Resilience Report forCooks, Institution and Cafeteria

$37,450 median salary•62,900 annual openings•SOC Code: 35-2012.00

Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria are somewhat more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 7 sources.

This career is labeled "Mostly Resilient" because while AI is definitely entering institutional kitchens, it is showing up as a helper rather than a replacement for human cooks. The tasks that make up the heart of this job, like hands-on prep work, baking, deep cleaning, and handling meat and fish, require physical dexterity and careful judgment that today's AI simply cannot replicate.

Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

This role is mostly resilient

This career is labeled "Mostly Resilient" because while AI is definitely entering institutional kitchens, it is showing up as a helper rather than a replacement for human cooks. The tasks that make up the heart of this job, like hands-on prep work, baking, deep cleaning, and handling meat and fish, require physical dexterity and careful judgment that today's AI simply cannot replicate.

Read full analysis

Analysis of current AI resilience

Cooks, Inst. & Cafeteria

Updated quarterly

Your move

How can Cooks, Inst. & Cafeteria prepare for AI?

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Latest AI news for Cooks, Inst. & Cafeteria

These articles highlight the transformative impact of AI on "Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria" careers. For instance, the AI Cooking Research Restaurant showcases how automation can enhance efficiency and creativity in food preparation. Additionally, insights from the labor market suggest that while automation is growing, it hasn't led to significant job losses among cooks. This indicates a shift where cooks can leverage AI tools to improve their skills and adapt to new kitchen technologies, fostering a hopeful outlook for career resilience in an evolving industry.

More Career Info

Career: Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria

They prepare large amounts of food in schools or hospitals, making sure meals are nutritious and taste good for students and patients.

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$37,450

Jobs (2025)

454,000

Growth (2025-35)

+2.8%

Annual Openings

62,900

Education

No formal educational credential

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025-2035

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

93% ResilienceCore Task

Clean, cut, and cook meat, fish, or poultry.

2

92% ResilienceCore Task

Clean and inspect galley equipment, kitchen appliances, and work areas to ensure cleanliness and functional operation.

3

92% ResilienceCore Task

Bake breads, rolls, or other pastries.

4

91% ResilienceCore Task

Wash pots, pans, dishes, utensils, or other cooking equipment.

5

90% ResilienceCore Task

Cook foodstuffs according to menus, special dietary or nutritional restrictions, or numbers of portions to be served.

6

89% ResilienceCore Task

Direct activities of one or more workers who assist in preparing and serving meals.

7

88% ResilienceCore Task

Apportion and serve food to facility residents, employees, or patrons.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

The AI Resilience Report is a project from CareerVillage.org®, a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit.

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