Somewhat Resilient

Last Update: 8/30/2026

AI Resilience Score for Freight/Material Movers:

48.0%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

Med

Long-term employer demand

High

Sustained economic opportunity

Low

Our confidence in this score:
Low-medium

Contributing sources

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient freight and material moving work is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from five AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, Will Robots Take My Job, and OpenAI Signals. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For freight and material movers, six of eight sources had data. AI Resilience Model and Microsoft saw this work as largely human, but Will Robots Take My Job flagged higher automation risk, creating disagreement that keeps confidence low-medium. Strong employer demand helps, but low pay and mobility scores pulled things down, landing the role at "Somewhat Resilient."

AI Resilience Report forLaborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand

$40,240 median salary340,500 annual openingsSOC Code: 53-7062.00

Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand are somewhat less resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 6 sources.

This career is labeled "Somewhat Resilient" because automation is genuinely changing the work, but not wiping it out entirely. Robots are already handling a lot of the heavy lifting and repetitive sorting in warehouses, with over half of companies now using some form of warehouse robot, and giants like Amazon planning to reduce staffing needs significantly over the next decade.

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This role is somewhat resilient

This career is labeled "Somewhat Resilient" because automation is genuinely changing the work, but not wiping it out entirely. Robots are already handling a lot of the heavy lifting and repetitive sorting in warehouses, with over half of companies now using some form of warehouse robot, and giants like Amazon planning to reduce staffing needs significantly over the next decade.

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Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Freight/Material Movers

Updated Quarterly

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

How is AI changing Freight/Material Movers jobs?

If you've ever wondered whether robots are already helping — or replacing — the people who move boxes in warehouses, the honest answer is: yes, and it's happening faster than a few years ago. According to the 2026 Intralogistics Robotics Survey from Modern Materials Handling, 52% of companies now use one or more types of warehouse robots, and only 3% say they have no plans to adopt them — down from 9% the year before. The most common uses line up directly with what hand laborers do: order or case picking leads deployments at 57%, followed by heavy payload forked or tugger transport robots (32%), sortation robots (31%) and collaborative in-aisle picking (30%).

Amazon is the most visible example — leaked internal documents reported by The New York Times and summarized by Entrepreneur show the company expects robots to let it avoid hiring roughly 600,000 workers by 2033, saving about 30 cents per package [1], with its Shreveport, Louisiana facility already reducing staffing needs by 25% through automation. That said, much of today's AI is augmenting rather than replacing workers: Accenture research published in Logistics Management found that automation "is valued less for replacing workers than for amplifying human capability" [2], with safety scoring 66.8 out of 100 as a top driver — meaning robots often take the heaviest, most dangerous lifts while people handle judgment-heavy tasks.

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AI Adoption

How fast is AI adoption growing for Freight/Material Movers?

Adoption is speeding up, but there are real brakes too. On the "fast" side, labor is the biggest push: MMH's survey found that when asked to name the single most important factor for robotics, 67% of companies point to labor costs and 33% cite labor availability [3], and 45% of companies are increasing robotics budgets this year. Commercial AI options are also everywhere now — a Modern Materials Handling preview of the Automate 2026 show describes a market flooded with AI, robotics and humanoid demos [3].

On the "slow" side, warehouses still need humans for messy real-world tasks like assembling crates, handling odd-shaped items, and problem-solving. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics still projects overall employment of hand laborers and material movers to grow 4% from 2025 to 2035, with about 904,200 openings each year [4] — a huge number, largely because workers retire or move to other jobs. Social acceptance matters too: the World Economic Forum's June 2026 Human-Machine Collaboration Framework found that three in four industrial jobs are expected to evolve and around 40% of future industrial skills are new or emerging [5], which means workers who learn to run, troubleshoot, or team up with robots — not just lift boxes — will stay valuable.

The takeaway for a young person: this field is changing, but skills like adaptability, safety awareness, and comfort with tech are your best insurance.

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Will AI replace Freight/Material Movers?

Will AI replace Freight/Material Movers?

Not entirely. We think AI will take over some tasks, but not the whole job.

Warehouses are already changing fast. More than half of companies now use some form of warehouse robots, with order picking and heavy transport leading the way [3]. Amazon expects automation to reduce its need for hundreds of thousands of workers over the coming decade [1]. Those are real numbers, and we won't pretend otherwise. That's why we gave this role a 48.0% AI Resilience Score, placing it below average compared to most occupations.

But the full picture is more complicated. Robots are often deployed to handle the heaviest and most dangerous lifts, while people manage judgment-heavy tasks that machines still struggle with, like odd-shaped items, unexpected problems, and fast-changing priorities. Research in logistics finds that automation is valued more for amplifying human capability than for replacing workers outright [2]. The BLS still projects roughly 904,200 job openings per year in this field through 2035 [4], driven largely by turnover and retirement.

The workers who will do best here are the ones who get comfortable with the technology around them. Around 40% of future industrial skills are expected to be new or emerging [5], which means learning to work alongside robots is quickly becoming part of the job itself.

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Latest AI news for Freight/Material Movers

As AI and automation advance, careers in labor and freight moving face significant changes. The Senate report warns of nearly 100 million job losses, highlighting that roles with repetitive tasks, like those in this field, are particularly vulnerable. However, jobs that require human judgment and adaptability may remain safe. Generative AI could reshape logistics, emphasizing the need for workers to adapt and develop skills that AI cannot replicate, such as problem-solving and interpersonal communication. Embracing these changes can lead to a resilient career in an evolving landscape.

More Career Info

Career: Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand

They move and organize goods in warehouses or stores, making sure items are in the right place for shipping or stocking.

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$40,240

Jobs (2025)

2,940,300

Growth (2025-35)

+1.8%

Annual Openings

340,500

Education

No formal educational credential

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025-2035

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

85% ResilienceSupplemental

Assemble product containers or crates, using hand tools and precut lumber.

2

82% ResilienceSupplemental

Pack containers and re-pack damaged containers.

3

82% ResilienceSupplemental

Install protective devices, such as bracing, padding, or strapping, to prevent shifting or damage to items being transported.

4

80% ResilienceCore Task

Maintain equipment storage areas to ensure that inventory is protected.

5

80% ResilienceSupplemental

Attach slings, hooks, or other devices to lift cargo and guide loads.

6

78% ResilienceSupplemental

Carry needed tools or supplies from storage or trucks and return them after use.

7

75% ResilienceCore Task

Move freight, stock, or other materials to and from storage or production areas, loading docks, delivery vehicles, ships, or containers, by hand or using trucks, tractors, or other equipment.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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