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The AI Resilience Report helps you understand how AI is likely to impact your current or future career. Drawing on data from over 1,500 occupations, it provides a clear snapshot to support informed career decisions.
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Last Update: 5/19/2026
Your role’s AI Resilience Score is
Median Score
Meaningful human contribution
Measures the parts of the occupation that still require a human touch. This score averages data from up to four AI exposure datasets, focusing on the role’s resilience against automation.
Med
Long-term employer demand
Predicts the health of the job market for this role through 2034. Using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, it balances projected annual job openings (60%) with overall employment growth (40%).
Low
Sustained economic opportunity
Measures future earning potential and career flexibility. This score is a blend of total projected labor income (67%) and the role’s inherent ability to adapt to economic and technological shifts (33%).
Low
This reflects the reliability of your score based on the number of data sources available for this career and how closely those sources agree on the outlook. A higher confidence means more consistent evidence from labor experts and AI models.
Limited data sources are available, or existing sources show notable disagreement on the outlook for this occupation.
Contributing sources
Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders are less resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 5 sources.
This career is labeled "Not Very Resilient" because many of its most routine tasks — like monitoring machine performance, catching defects, and even physically transferring reels — are being taken over by AI-powered systems like computer vision, IoT sensors, and fully automated reel-change technology. On top of that, plant closures and industry consolidation mean there are simply fewer of these jobs available overall, so the remaining positions are under real pressure to do more with less human involvement.
Read full analysisLearn more about how you can thrive in this position
Learn more about how you can thrive in this position
This role is not very resilient
This career is labeled "Not Very Resilient" because many of its most routine tasks — like monitoring machine performance, catching defects, and even physically transferring reels — are being taken over by AI-powered systems like computer vision, IoT sensors, and fully automated reel-change technology. On top of that, plant closures and industry consolidation mean there are simply fewer of these jobs available overall, so the remaining positions are under real pressure to do more with less human involvement.
Read full analysisAnalysis of Current AI Resilience
Paper Goods Machine Ops
Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 5/14/2026

If you work — or hope to work — running a paper-goods machine, here's the honest picture: a lot of the routine parts of the job are quietly being upgraded with AI, but skilled humans are still very much in the loop. Industry coverage shows mills are layering machine learning, digital twins, and computer vision on top of existing controls. At Stora Enso's Oulu mill, AI-powered machine vision scans paperboard surfaces at full machine speed, catching micro-defects invisible to the human eye, resulting in higher consistency, fewer rejects, and less waste.
International Paper is using IoT sensors to monitor pumps and motors across its U.S. mills, significantly reducing unplanned downtime. Equipment makers are also augmenting operators rather than replacing them — Valmet and Andritz are rolling out augmented reality tools that let technicians wear smart glasses during maintenance, with remote experts guiding them in real time, while VR simulators prepare operators for startups, shutdowns, and emergency situations. Specific converting tasks like reel changes are getting more automated too: a 2026 PaperAge story describes how an RCS 6000 system delivers fully automatic sheet transfer to a new reel spool [1], which is exactly the kind of threading and tension work listed in the O*NET task descriptions.
Still, as one mill manager told PaperAdvance [2], "Intelligent manufacturing doesn't replace papermakers—it empowers them."

Adoption is moving faster in this field than many people realize. A Deloitte 2026 Tech Trends report [3] explains that physical AI systems perceive their environment, learn from experience, and adapt their behavior based on real-time data, bridging the gap between digital intelligence and the physical world — which is exactly what shop-floor jobs involve. A workforce-analytics study summarized by The Manila Times [4] found that several occupations face significant automation exposure, particularly roles that involve repetitive physical tasks, and that "patternmakers and machine operators don't make headlines the way software engineers do, but the people in these roles are facing some of the most immediate disruption in the entire job market." Two big economic pressures are speeding things up: a real labor shortage and consolidation in the industry — Packaging Dive reported [5] in March 2026 that packaging manufacturers including Ardagh, Cascades, International Paper and Smurfit Westrock announced a variety of facility and production line closures, pushing surviving mills to do more with fewer people.
The encouraging side comes from the World Economic Forum's 2026 outlook [6], which cites that while 92 million jobs might be eliminated by 2030, 170 million new roles will be created because of AI, resulting in a net gain of 78 million. Workers who learn to troubleshoot AI-driven sensors, vision systems, and digital twins — not just the mechanical guides and folders — will be the ones mills fight to keep.

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They operate and adjust machines to make paper products like napkins or bags, ensuring everything runs smoothly and the products are made correctly.
Median Wage
$49,390
Jobs (2024)
97,500
Growth (2024-34)
-6.3%
Annual Openings
8,100
Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Experience
None
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034
AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years
Remove finished cores, and stack or place them on conveyors for transfer to other work areas.
Adjust guide assemblies, forming bars, and folding mechanisms according to specifications, using hand tools.
Install attachments to machines for gluing, folding, printing, or cutting.
Cut products to specified dimensions, using hand or power cutters.
Measure, space, and set saw blades, cutters, and perforators, according to product specifications.
Fill glue and paraffin reservoirs, and position rollers to dispense glue onto paperboard.
Examine completed work to detect defects and verify conformance to work orders, and adjust machinery as necessary to correct production problems.
Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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