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The AI Resilience Report helps you understand how AI is likely to impact your current or future career. Drawing on data from over 1,500 occupations, it provides a clear snapshot to support informed career decisions.
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Last Update: 5/19/2026
Your role’s AI Resilience Score is
Median Score
Meaningful human contribution
Measures the parts of the occupation that still require a human touch. This score averages data from up to four AI exposure datasets, focusing on the role’s resilience against automation.
High
Long-term employer demand
Predicts the health of the job market for this role through 2034. Using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, it balances projected annual job openings (60%) with overall employment growth (40%).
High
Sustained economic opportunity
Measures future earning potential and career flexibility. This score is a blend of total projected labor income (67%) and the role’s inherent ability to adapt to economic and technological shifts (33%).
Med
This reflects the reliability of your score based on the number of data sources available for this career and how closely those sources agree on the outlook. A higher confidence means more consistent evidence from labor experts and AI models.
There are a reasonable number of sources for this result, but there is some disagreement between them.
Contributing sources
Manicurists and Pedicurists are more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 6 sources.
Manicurists and pedicurists are labeled "Resilient" because the heart of this work — the artistry, the personal connection, and the hands-on skill — is something robots simply can't replicate on their own. While AI is stepping in to handle routine tasks like booking appointments and basic polish application, the creative techniques, trusted advice, and gentle human touch that clients come back for remain firmly in human hands.
Read full analysisLearn more about how you can thrive in this position
Learn more about how you can thrive in this position
This role is resilient
Manicurists and pedicurists are labeled "Resilient" because the heart of this work — the artistry, the personal connection, and the hands-on skill — is something robots simply can't replicate on their own. While AI is stepping in to handle routine tasks like booking appointments and basic polish application, the creative techniques, trusted advice, and gentle human touch that clients come back for remain firmly in human hands.
Read full analysisAnalysis of Current AI Resilience
Manicurist/Pedicurist
Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 5/14/2026

Right now, AI is making real inroads into the nail world — but mostly as a helper, not a replacement. The biggest story is the robotic manicure: in late 2025, the startup 10Beauty launched its AI-powered manicure machine in Ulta Beauty stores, and a Fast Company reporter described how seven cameras scan each finger to create a 3D map before a robotic arm files, buffs, and paints one hand at a time [1]. Importantly, the same article notes that human nail techs stand by to fix mistakes, ensuring customers still leave with salon-worthy nails [1] — classic augmentation.
BeautyMatter reports that 10Beauty has signed commitments for about 1,000 locations and plans to roll out 10 machines per month, with a $30–$35 price point and a licensed manicurist sitting beside each robot [2]. Behind the front desk, AI is also automating scheduling and payments — a Zenoti survey found that 50% of nail salon regulars are "very comfortable" interacting with an AI receptionist, with another 19% somewhat comfortable [3]. Tasks that need fine human judgment — wrapping a damaged nail, sculpting acrylic extensions, or recommending the right care — remain almost entirely human, which lines up with their very low automation scores.
Not every robot has stuck the landing, though: Clockwork shut down its "minicure" machines in February 2025 before merging with 10Beauty [4], a reminder that this technology is still maturing.

A few forces will speed adoption up. Demand is high — the Bureau of Labor Statistics projects 7% job growth from 2024 to 2034, much faster than the average occupation, with about 24,800 openings each year [5], and Fast Company notes that rising labor costs and finding skilled nail technicians can make it challenging to meet demand [1]. Investors are betting big too, with 10Beauty raising around $52 million and pitching robots as a way to "solve a lot of the labor issues in the market" [2].
On the other hand, several things will slow adoption. Hardware is expensive and tricky; 10Beauty originally wanted a $600 home device but couldn't hit that price and had to pivot to selling to retailers [2]. Beauty schools also stress human-centered values — at the 2026 AACS convention, leaders agreed technology should enhance, not replace, the human experience, because beauty is a human-centered profession [6].
The takeaway for young people considering this career: AI is already taking over the routine, repetitive stuff like booking and basic polish, but the artistry, the conversation, the gentle touch with cuticles, and the trusted advice are still very much yours. Skilled nail techs who learn to work with these tools will likely be in even higher demand.

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They make hands and feet look great by cleaning, shaping, and painting nails, and sometimes giving hand and foot massages.
Median Wage
$34,660
Jobs (2024)
210,100
Growth (2024-34)
+7.0%
Annual Openings
24,800
Education
Postsecondary nondegree award
Experience
None
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034
AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years
Prepare customers' nails in soapy water, using swabs, files, and orange sticks.
Treat nails to repair or improve strength and resilience by wrapping.
Maintain supply inventories and records of client services.
Whiten underside of nails with white paste or pencils.
Decorate clients' nails by piercing or attaching ornaments or designs.
Use rotary abrasive wheels to shape and smooth nails or artificial extensions.
Extend nails using powder, solvent, and paper forms attached to tips of customers' fingers to support and shape artificial nails.
Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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