Somewhat Resilient
Last Update: 10/7/2026
AI Resilience Score for Bus Driver:
47.4%
Median Score
Meaningful human contribution
Measures the parts of the occupation that still require a human touch. This score averages data from up to four AI exposure datasets, focusing on the role’s resilience against automation.
Med
Long-term employer demand
Predicts the health of the job market for this role through 2034. Using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, it balances projected annual job openings (60%) with overall employment growth (40%).
Med
Sustained economic opportunity
Measures future earning potential and career flexibility. This score is a blend of total projected labor income (67%) and the role’s inherent ability to adapt to economic and technological shifts (33%).
Low
This reflects the reliability of your score based on the number of data sources available for this career and how closely those sources agree on the outlook. A higher confidence means more consistent evidence from labor experts and AI models.
There are a reasonable number of sources for this result, but there is some disagreement between them.
AI Resilience Report forBus Drivers, Transit and Intercity
$59,050 median salary•21,100 annual openings•SOC Code: 53-3052.00
Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity are somewhat less resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 7 sources.
Bus driving is labeled "Somewhat Resilient" because AI is actively changing parts of the job, even if it is not replacing drivers outright. Tools like AI dash cams, automated scheduling software, and maintenance systems are already reshaping daily workflows, meaning drivers will need to adapt to working alongside these technologies rather than ignoring them.
Learn more about how you can thrive in this position
This role is somewhat resilient
Bus driving is labeled "Somewhat Resilient" because AI is actively changing parts of the job, even if it is not replacing drivers outright. Tools like AI dash cams, automated scheduling software, and maintenance systems are already reshaping daily workflows, meaning drivers will need to adapt to working alongside these technologies rather than ignoring them.
Read full analysisAnalysis of current AI resilience
Bus Driver
Updated quarterly
How can Bus Driver prepare for AI?
Latest AI news for Bus Driver
These articles provide valuable insights for students pursuing careers as Bus Drivers or in Transit and Intercity services. For instance, "Will AI replace Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity?" discusses how AI could automate certain tasks, highlighting the importance of adapting to these changes. Additionally, "What If AI Doesn’t Fix Travel’s Labor Problem?" emphasizes that while AI is transforming the industry, the human touch remains crucial, especially in frontline roles. Understanding these dynamics fosters resilience and prepares students for a future where they can leverage AI as a tool rather than a replacement.
Has AI effected your job and are you worried about it?
www.reddit.com • 9/20/2026
I am a Transit Operator from the USA, and I am curious if any other Operators out there are concerned with AI and how it will effect our jobs in the future. ...
Will AI replace Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity?
aijobscanner.com • 9/20/2026
Explore how AI may affect Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity, including modeled task exposure, BLS median pay, employment outlook, vulnerable tasks, ...
AI exposure: Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity
taskexposure.org • 9/20/2026
5 days ago — 29.9% of a Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity job is work current AI systems can already produce. Rank 435 of 923 in the Task Exposure Index. Read more
Bus Driver AI Replacement Risk: 62/100 Analysis
www.aijobchecker.com • 9/20/2026
Will AI replace Bus Drivers Transit And Intercity? AI poses a high displacement risk, with a 62/100 replacement score. Autonomous vehicle deployments and ... Read more
What If AI Doesn’t Fix Travel’s Labor Problem?
skift.com • 7/15/2026
Travel's AI investment is concentrated in office work while its demographic labor crisis is concentrated on the front line; the jobs aging...
More Career Info
Career: Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity
They drive buses to safely transport people around cities or between towns, following schedules and making stops along the way.
Parent Careers
Employment & Wage Data
Median Wage
$59,050
Jobs (2025)
166,400
Growth (2025-35)
+4.1%
Annual Openings
21,100
Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Experience
None
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025-2035
Task-Level AI Resilience Scores
AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years
1
Handle passenger emergencies or disruptions.
2
Assist passengers, such as elderly or individuals with disabilities, on and off bus, ensure they are seated properly, help carry baggage, and answer questions about bus schedules or routes.
3
Maintain cleanliness of bus or motor coach.
4
Drive vehicles over specified routes or to specified destinations according to time schedules, complying with traffic regulations to ensure that passengers have a smooth and safe ride.
5
Load and unload baggage in baggage compartments.
6
Advise passengers to be seated and orderly while on vehicles.
7
Inspect vehicles and check gas, oil, and water levels prior to departure.
Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.
