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The AI Resilience Report helps you understand how AI is likely to impact your current or future career. Drawing on data from over 1,500 occupations, it provides a clear snapshot to support informed career decisions.
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Last Update: 5/19/2026
Your role’s AI Resilience Score is
Median Score
Meaningful human contribution
Measures the parts of the occupation that still require a human touch. This score averages data from up to four AI exposure datasets, focusing on the role’s resilience against automation.
Med
Long-term employer demand
Predicts the health of the job market for this role through 2034. Using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, it balances projected annual job openings (60%) with overall employment growth (40%).
Med
Sustained economic opportunity
Measures future earning potential and career flexibility. This score is a blend of total projected labor income (67%) and the role’s inherent ability to adapt to economic and technological shifts (33%).
Med
This reflects the reliability of your score based on the number of data sources available for this career and how closely those sources agree on the outlook. A higher confidence means more consistent evidence from labor experts and AI models.
There are a reasonable number of sources for this result, but there is some disagreement between them.
Contributing sources
Substitute Teachers, Short-Term are somewhat more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 5 sources.
Substitute teaching is "Mostly Resilient" because the heart of the job — showing up in person, managing a classroom, building trust with students, and handling the unexpected — is something AI simply can't do. Laws require a licensed adult in the room, and the human skills that matter most for subs, like calming an anxious class or noticing when a student is struggling, are exactly the things educators describe as irreplaceable.
Read full analysisLearn more about how you can thrive in this position
Learn more about how you can thrive in this position
This role is mostly resilient
Substitute teaching is "Mostly Resilient" because the heart of the job — showing up in person, managing a classroom, building trust with students, and handling the unexpected — is something AI simply can't do. Laws require a licensed adult in the room, and the human skills that matter most for subs, like calming an anxious class or noticing when a student is struggling, are exactly the things educators describe as irreplaceable.
Read full analysisAnalysis of Current AI Resilience
Short-Term Sub Teacher
Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 5/14/2026

Right now, AI is showing up as a helper for substitute teachers — not a replacement. The biggest pain point subs face is walking into a classroom with little or no lesson plan, and AI tools are starting to fix that. Moreland University points out that AI assistants can help generate ready-to-use substitute plans, emergency-folder activities, and grade-appropriate worksheets in minutes [1], giving short-term substitutes a quick foundation when the regular teacher hasn't left detailed instructions.
The major teachers' unions strongly reinforce that this is augmentation, not automation: at a May 2026 panel, AFT President Randi Weingarten said AI "cannot replace teachers, who foster relationships and critical thinking," and argued AI actually makes skilled educators more important, not less [2]. NEA reporting backs this up, noting the share of teachers using AI tools in classrooms nearly doubled between 2023 and 2025, mostly for prep work like lesson ideas, differentiation, and activities [3] — work that supports human teachers rather than replacing the person in the room. AI is even creeping into the hiring pipeline, with EdWeek Research Center finding 53% of district recruiters now use AI tools, though only 2% of job-seeking teachers realized it [4].

Adoption of AI for the job itself of being a sub will likely stay slow, for a few good reasons. First, the demand for human bodies in classrooms is huge: Edustaff reports that in 2025 roughly 411,000 U.S. teaching positions — about one in eight — were vacant or filled by under-certified educators [5], so schools desperately need adults who can supervise, build relationships, and manage behavior. Second, laws in nearly every state require licensed adult supervision of minors, and K-12 Dive's 2026 outlook highlights that data privacy and AI policy remain top concerns for districts [6], which slows any push to put students alone with a chatbot.
Socially, unions are pushing back hard on replacement: the AFT, in partnership with Microsoft, OpenAI, and Anthropic, launched the National Academy for AI Instruction to keep teachers "in the driver's seat" [2]. Where AI will be adopted quickly is in the back-office tasks around subbing — generating fill-in lesson plans, summarizing the day for the returning teacher, and matching subs to assignments. The good news for you: the human skills that matter most for subs — calming a nervous class, noticing a struggling student, improvising when plans fall apart — are exactly the skills NEA educators describe as "irreplaceable" [3], and they're skills you can grow.

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They fill in for regular teachers, following lesson plans and helping students continue their learning when the usual teacher can't be there.
Median Wage
$38,470
Jobs (2024)
510,100
Growth (2024-34)
+1.6%
Annual Openings
61,100
Education
Bachelor's degree
Experience
None
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

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The AI Resilience Report is a project from CareerVillage.org®, a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit.
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