Mostly Resilient

Last Update: 8/30/2026

AI Resilience Score for Online Merchants:

50.3%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

Low

Long-term employer demand

High

Sustained economic opportunity

Med

Our confidence in this score:
Medium-high

Contributing sources

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient online merchant work is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from five AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, Will Robots Take My Job, and OpenAI Signals. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For online merchants, six of eight sources had data, with Microsoft and Adaptive Capacity absent. AI exposure sources mostly agreed: AI Resilience Model, Will Robots Take My Job, and OpenAI Signals all rated exposure low for human contribution, while Anthropic landed at medium. Strong employer demand from BLS Opportunity Score pushed the score up, leaving online merchants "Mostly Resilient."

AI Resilience Report forOnline Merchants

$83,050 median salary98,700 annual openingsSOC Code: 13-1199.06

Online Merchants are somewhat more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 6 sources.

Online merchants earn a "Mostly Resilient" label because while AI has taken over a lot of the routine work (like processing payments, sending order confirmations, and even generating product photos), the most valuable parts of running a store still need a human behind them. Things like choosing the right products, building a brand voice that connects with customers, handling tricky returns with care, and negotiating with suppliers all require judgment, creativity, and trust that AI simply cannot replicate yet.

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This role is mostly resilient

Online merchants earn a "Mostly Resilient" label because while AI has taken over a lot of the routine work (like processing payments, sending order confirmations, and even generating product photos), the most valuable parts of running a store still need a human behind them. Things like choosing the right products, building a brand voice that connects with customers, handling tricky returns with care, and negotiating with suppliers all require judgment, creativity, and trust that AI simply cannot replicate yet.

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Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Online Merchants

Updated Quarterly

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

How is AI changing Online Merchants jobs?

If you're thinking about running an online store someday, here's the honest picture: a lot of the routine work is already being done by software, but the creative and strategic parts still need a human touch. According to Digital Commerce 360, AI is playing "prominent roles" in the biggest trends shaping ecommerce in 2026 [1], with merchants, payments companies and AI platforms giving AI more attention when it comes to using it for transactions. The tasks with the highest automation scores on your list — calculating subtotals and taxes, sending email confirmations, and processing payments — are almost entirely handled by e-commerce platforms today.

The E-Commerce Times reports that agentic AI is pushing e-commerce into a new execution phase in 2026, changing how retailers manage operations, fulfillment, and costs, and that generative and agentic AI will take on more tasks related to the digital customer journey, shopping assistants, fraud detection, purchasing, and payment transactions. Even product photography — one of the tougher tasks to automate — is being augmented by AI image editors that generate lifestyle shots from a single photo. Meanwhile, McKinsey notes that AI is becoming "a default entry point for discovery and routine purchasing" [2] before shoppers ever reach a store.

Packaging orders and managing shipping supplies remain more physical and harder to fully automate, so those tasks are still mostly human work.

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AI Adoption

How fast is AI adoption growing for Online Merchants?

Adoption is moving fast because the tools are cheap, built-in, and easy to use. The Small Business & Entrepreneurship Council found that 82% of small business employers have invested in AI tools and they are rapidly being embedded across daily functions and workflows, and that the typical small business is now using a median of five tools, reflecting a growing "stack" approach. For online sellers specifically, SBE Council notes that customer engagement and management tools are a top-three AI use case, particularly for small businesses selling online or across multiple channels.

Because platforms like Shopify, Amazon, and Square bake AI into their subscriptions, merchants get automation without hiring engineers — which is a huge economic push. On the labor side, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics warns that as AI integrates into workflows [3], demand will shrink for administrative and clerical roles like customer service reps, procurement clerks, and credit checkers — many of the same back-office tasks that support online stores. The good news is that hopeful, human-facing skills — brand storytelling, choosing products customers will love, building trust with buyers, styling photos, handling tricky returns, and negotiating with suppliers — are exactly where merchants still add unique value.

If you're curious about this career, learning to direct AI tools (not compete with them) is the smartest move you can make.

Sources

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Will AI replace Online Merchants?

Will AI replace Online Merchants?

No. We don't think AI will replace Online Merchants, though we do expect the job to change.

Our 50.3% AI Resilience Score reflects a real tension in this career. A lot of the routine work, like processing payments, calculating taxes, and sending order confirmations, is already handled almost entirely by software. And AI is moving deeper into the customer journey, becoming "a default entry point for discovery and routine purchasing" [2] before shoppers even reach a store. The back-office tasks that once kept merchants busy are quietly disappearing into platforms.

What stays human is the part that actually builds a business: choosing products people will love, writing copy that earns trust, styling photos, handling tricky returns, and negotiating with suppliers. These are judgment calls rooted in taste, relationships, and context, and they are genuinely hard to automate. AI is also playing "prominent roles" in the biggest ecommerce trends of 2026 [1], which means merchants who learn to direct these tools will have a real edge over those who ignore them.

The job market outlook through 2034 is healthy [3], which tells us demand for people who can run online stores is not going away. The role is shifting, not shrinking. The merchants who will thrive are the ones who treat AI as a capable assistant, not a competitor.

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Latest AI news for Online Merchants

These articles highlight the growing role of AI in the online retail space, offering promising insights for future online merchants. Shopify's exploration of AI shopping agents signals a shift in customer engagement, emphasizing the need for merchants to adapt to innovative technologies. Meanwhile, Emberos' new AI tool provides brands with enhanced visibility, underlining the importance of data-driven decisions. As AI continues to shape the landscape, aspiring online merchants should embrace these advancements, ensuring they remain resilient and relevant in a fast-evolving industry.

More Career Info

Career: Online Merchants

They sell products on the internet by setting up online stores, promoting items, and handling customer orders and payments.

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$83,050

Jobs (2025)

1,157,600

Growth (2025-35)

+3.9%

Annual Openings

98,700

Education

Bachelor's degree

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025-2035

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

65% ResilienceCore Task

Maintain inventory of shipping supplies, such as boxes, labels, tape, bubble wrap, loose packing materials, or tape guns.

2

62% ResilienceSupplemental

Investigate sources, such as auctions, estate sales, liquidators, wholesalers, or trade shows for new items, used items, or collectibles.

3

60% ResilienceCore Task

Fill customer orders by packaging sold items and documentation for direct shipping or by transferring orders to manufacturers or third-party distributors.

4

58% ResilienceCore Task

Compose images of products, using video or still cameras, lighting equipment, props, or photo or video editing software.

5

55% ResilienceCore Task

Develop or revise business plans for online business, emphasizing factors such as product line, pricing, inventory, or marketing strategy.

6

55% ResilienceSupplemental

Select and purchase technical web services, such as web hosting services, online merchant accounts, shopping cart software, payment gateway software, or spyware.

7

52% ResilienceSupplemental

Participate in online forums or conferences to stay abreast of online retailing trends, techniques, or security threats.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

The AI Resilience Report is a project from CareerVillage.org®, a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit.

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