Not Very Resilient
Last Update: 8/30/2026
AI Resilience Score for Forging Machine Operator:
31.6%
Median Score
Meaningful human contribution
Measures the parts of the occupation that still require a human touch. This score averages data from up to four AI exposure datasets, focusing on the role’s resilience against automation.
Med
Long-term employer demand
Predicts the health of the job market for this role through 2034. Using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, it balances projected annual job openings (60%) with overall employment growth (40%).
Low
Sustained economic opportunity
Measures future earning potential and career flexibility. This score is a blend of total projected labor income (67%) and the role’s inherent ability to adapt to economic and technological shifts (33%).
Low
This reflects the reliability of your score based on the number of data sources available for this career and how closely those sources agree on the outlook. A higher confidence means more consistent evidence from labor experts and AI models.
There are a reasonable number of sources for this result, but there is some disagreement between them.
Contributing sources
AI Resilience Report forForging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
$49,030 median salary•600 annual openings•SOC Code: 51-4022.00
Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic are less resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 6 sources.
This career is labeled "Not Very Resilient" because several of its most important tasks, including quality inspection, monitoring production lines, troubleshooting alerts, and capturing worker knowledge, are already being handled or assisted by AI tools like vision systems and predictive analytics. While the physical setup and operation of forging machines still involves real human skill and safety judgment, the surrounding work that used to require experienced eyes and instincts is quietly shifting to automated systems.
Learn more about how you can thrive in this position
This role is not very resilient
This career is labeled "Not Very Resilient" because several of its most important tasks, including quality inspection, monitoring production lines, troubleshooting alerts, and capturing worker knowledge, are already being handled or assisted by AI tools like vision systems and predictive analytics. While the physical setup and operation of forging machines still involves real human skill and safety judgment, the surrounding work that used to require experienced eyes and instincts is quietly shifting to automated systems.
Read full analysisLearn more about how you can thrive in this position
Analysis of Current AI Resilience
Forging Machine Operator
Updated Quarterly

How is AI changing Forging Machine Operator jobs?
Right now, AI in forging and metal/plastic machine work is showing up more as an assistant than a replacement. In a recent Modern Machine Shop feature [1], editors reported that AI is making robots easier to use and more capable in palletizing, assembly, inspection and more, with new tools like Siemens' Inspekto system that users can train in as little as 30 minutes with as few as 20 good sample parts and no need for samples of defects. Vision-guided cobots can now even be programmed using natural language commands, which lowers the barrier for operators who previously had to write robot code.
In plastics processing, industry veteran Conor Carlin told PlasticsToday [2] that narrow AI applications, such as large language models trained on domain-specific content, computer vision systems for quality inspection, and predictive analytics, are driving real-world improvements. One of the most immediate applications of AI is knowledge preservation — capturing the know‑how of retiring workers so second-shift operators at two in the morning when a press jams can still troubleshoot. The World Economic Forum [3] paints a similar picture of an augmented floor, where a human like "Dao" does not operate a machine, she watches how the system behaves.
This means monitoring multiple production lines. So the physical setup, hammering and trimming of a forging is still done by machines and people — but AI is quietly taking over inspection, alerts, and coaching.
Sources

How fast is AI adoption growing for Forging Machine Operator?
Adoption is real but uneven. The Federal Reserve's April 2026 tracker [4] found that about 18 percent of firms have adopted AI as of year-end 2025, and Modern Machine Shop notes that in metalworking, just 6% of American manufacturers have a robot because robots are "too hard to use and not capable enough". That points to slow adoption on the shop floor, held back by cost, integration challenges, and the fact that forging presses handle red-hot steel where a mistake is dangerous.
Trust is another brake: Carlin warns that "if an AI system gives a technician a generic answer that doesn't account for their specific resin, their specific tooling, their specific machine quirks, it gets ignored and rightly so". At the same time, powerful pressures push adoption forward. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics' 2026 manufacturing outlook [5] highlights ongoing demand for skilled production workers, and Automation Alley's May 2026 workforce report [6] argues that manufacturing jobs in 2035 will increasingly combine technical expertise with AI, automation, robotics, and data-driven problem-solving, making workforce upskilling and adaptability essential for both employers and employees.
The takeaway for young people: physical judgment, safety awareness, and knowing "why" a forging came out wrong are still deeply human skills — and learning to work alongside AI tools will likely make you more valuable, not less.
Sources

Will AI replace Forging Machine Operator?
In part. We think AI will eventually automate a real share of this work, but human judgment and physical expertise will still matter for years to come.
Our 31.6% AI Resilience Score signals real exposure, and we want to be straight with you about that. AI is already handling inspection, quality alerts, and process coaching on the shop floor (mmsonline.com, plasticstoday.com). Long-term employer demand for this specific role is weak, and the earning flexibility tied to it is limited. If you're early in your career, that's worth taking seriously.
That said, the full picture is not doom. Physical setup, safety judgment, and knowing why a forging came out wrong are still deeply human skills. As Automation Alley notes, manufacturing jobs through 2035 will increasingly blend technical know-how with AI, automation, and data-driven problem-solving [6]. The operators who learn to work alongside these tools, reading machine behavior, troubleshooting edge cases, training new systems, will be harder to replace than those who don't.
Our honest advice: treat this role as a starting point, not a destination. The hands-on process knowledge you build here transfers well into quality control, robotics technician work, and manufacturing supervision. Those paths carry stronger demand and more room to grow as the shop floor keeps changing.
Sources

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Latest AI news for Forging Machine Operator
These articles provide valuable insights for students pursuing careers as Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders in metal and plastic. For instance, "Will AI Replace Metal & Plastics Processing Jobs?" offers evidence-based assessments of job risks related to automation, highlighting that roles with specialized skills are more AI-resilient. Additionally, "AI-FORGE Robot Demonstrates Incremental Metal Forming" shows how AI is enhancing efficiency in specific forging processes, suggesting that understanding and adapting to AI tools can enhance job security and skill relevance in this evolving field.
Will AI Replace Metal & Plastics Processing Jobs?
jobzonerisk.com • 8/20/2026
See which metal & plastics processing roles are most at risk from AI. Evidence-based scores and practical recommendations for every assessed role.
AI-FORGE Robot Demonstrates Incremental Metal Forming
www.mobilityengineeringtech.com • 8/20/2026
May 12, 2023 — In this case, AI-FORGE uses artificial intelligence to automate specific portions of the forging process, including placing, holding and ... Read more
The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Manufacturing and ...
www.youtube.com • 8/20/2026
DeepForge: Leveraging AI for Microstructural Control in ...
arxiv.org • 8/20/2026
Feb 25, 2024 — This study presents a novel method for microstructure control in closed die hot forging that combines Model Predictive Control (MPC) with a ... Read more

Which Jobs Face the Highest Risk of Automation, and Which Ones Are Likely Safe?
www.digitalinformationworld.com • 7/20/2025
Manual, repetitive jobs with low judgment risk full automation; AI-resistant roles rely on empathy and complexity.
More Career Info
Career: Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
They shape metal and plastic parts by setting up and running machines, making sure each piece is made correctly and safely.
Parent Careers
Similar Careers
Employment & Wage Data
Median Wage
$49,030
Jobs (2025)
8,900
Growth (2025-35)
-17.2%
Annual Openings
600
Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Experience
None
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025-2035
Task-Level AI Resilience Scores
AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years
1
Repair, maintain, and replace parts on dies.
2
Install, adjust, and remove dies, synchronizing cams, forging hammers, and stop guides, using overhead cranes or other hoisting devices, and hand tools.
3
Set up, operate, or tend presses and forging machines to perform hot or cold forging by flattening, straightening, bending, cutting, piercing, or other operations to taper, shape, or form metal.
4
Select, align, and bolt positioning fixtures, stops, and specified dies to rams and anvils, forging rolls, or presses and hammers.
5
Position and move metal wires or workpieces through a series of dies that compress and shape stock to form die impressions.
6
Confer with other workers about machine setups and operational specifications.
7
Trim and compress finished forgings to specified tolerances.
Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.
