Evolving

Last Update: 2/17/2026

Your role’s AI Resilience Score is

51.3%

Median Score

Changing Fast

Evolving

Stable

Our confidence in this score:
Medium

What does this resilience result mean?

These roles are shifting as AI becomes part of everyday workflows. Expect new responsibilities and new opportunities.

AI Resilience Report for

First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers

They manage and guide workers in factories, ensuring products are made correctly and safely while meeting deadlines.

This role is evolving

This career is labeled as "Evolving" because AI and automation are starting to help production supervisors with routine tasks like data tracking and report generation. While AI tools can make these processes faster and more efficient, supervisors still play a crucial role in guiding workers, making important decisions, and using their judgment and leadership skills.

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Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

View analysis
Chat with Coach
Latest news
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Analysis
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This role is evolving

This career is labeled as "Evolving" because AI and automation are starting to help production supervisors with routine tasks like data tracking and report generation. While AI tools can make these processes faster and more efficient, supervisors still play a crucial role in guiding workers, making important decisions, and using their judgment and leadership skills.

Read full analysis

Contributing Sources

We aggregate scores from multiple models and supplement with employment projections for a more accurate picture of this occupation’s resilience. Expand to view all sources.

AI Resilience

AI Resilience Model v1.0

AI Task Resilience

Learn about this score
Evolving iconEvolving

68.8%

68.8%

Microsoft's Working with AI

AI Applicability

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Changing fast iconChanging fast

23.4%

23.4%

Will Robots Take My Job

Automation Resilience

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Evolving iconEvolving

42.9%

42.9%

Medium Demand

Labor Market Outlook

We use BLS employment projections to complement the AI-focused assessments from other sources.

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Growth Rate (2024-34):

1.2%

Growth Percentile:

33.3%

Annual Openings:

67,700

Annual Openings Pct:

84.6%

Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Production Supervisor

Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 2/17/2026

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

What's changing and what's not

First-line supervisors do a mix of routine and people-focused work. Many of the routine parts are already helped by software. For example, factories often use computer systems to track time, production amounts, costs and to generate reports – tasks O*NET even calls “maintain operations data” [1].

Industry experts note that new AI-driven robots are getting very adaptable on the factory floor [2]. This means tools may soon help supervisors analyze work orders or production charts (ONET lists “read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules” as a task [1]). In practice today, AI and automation mostly assist* supervisors by handling data and routine monitoring.

However, core tasks like guiding workers, making hiring or promotion decisions, and interpreting instructions still need human judgment [1] [1]. We found no clear examples of an AI fully replacing a supervisor’s people skills. In short, technology can speed up record-keeping and analysis, but supervisors still use their experience for coaching, problem-solving and leadership.

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AI Adoption

AI in the real world

Whether companies adopt AI tools in supervision quickly or slowly depends on costs, benefits, and trust. On the one hand, AI and scheduling software do exist today for factories. If labor costs rise (for example due to tariffs or shortages), firms have more reason to invest in automation [2].

On the other hand, installing robots or AI systems means a big up-front cost, so companies often hesitate during uncertain times [2]. Also, using AI to make decisions about people can raise fairness or legal concerns, so many businesses prefer to keep humans in charge of staff matters [1]. In practice, manufacturers tend to augment supervisors with software – for example smart dashboards or predictive maintenance tools – rather than replace them outright at once.

Ultimately, adoption will vary by plant: even as AI tools improve, the supervisor’s judgment, communication and leadership remain valuable and hard to automate [1] [2].

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More Career Info

Career: First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$71,190

Jobs (2024)

698,600

Growth (2024-34)

+1.2%

Annual Openings

67,700

Education

High school diploma or equivalent

Experience

Less than 5 years

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

75% ResilienceCore Task

Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.

2

70% ResilienceCore Task

Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.

3

70% ResilienceSupplemental

Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.

4

65% ResilienceCore Task

Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.

5

65% ResilienceCore Task

Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.

6

60% ResilienceCore Task

Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.

7

60% ResilienceCore Task

Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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