Evolving

Last Update: 2/17/2026

Your role’s AI Resilience Score is

43.3%

Median Score

Changing Fast

Evolving

Stable

Our confidence in this score:
Medium

What does this resilience result mean?

These roles are shifting as AI becomes part of everyday workflows. Expect new responsibilities and new opportunities.

AI Resilience Report for

First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators

They oversee workers who operate machines and vehicles, ensuring tasks are done safely and efficiently while managing schedules and resolving any work issues.

This role is evolving

This career is labeled as "Evolving" because AI and robots are being integrated into warehouses, handling tasks like heavy lifting and routine data collection. However, the human skills of leadership, problem-solving, and safety enforcement remain essential and cannot be easily automated.

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Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

View analysis
Chat with Coach
Latest news
More career info
Analysis
Chat
News
More

This role is evolving

This career is labeled as "Evolving" because AI and robots are being integrated into warehouses, handling tasks like heavy lifting and routine data collection. However, the human skills of leadership, problem-solving, and safety enforcement remain essential and cannot be easily automated.

Read full analysis

Contributing Sources

We aggregate scores from multiple models and supplement with employment projections for a more accurate picture of this occupation’s resilience. Expand to view all sources.

AI Resilience

AI Resilience Model v1.0

AI Task Resilience

Learn about this score
Evolving iconEvolving

48.0%

48.0%

Will Robots Take My Job

Automation Resilience

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Evolving iconEvolving

44.7%

44.7%

Medium Demand

Labor Market Outlook

We use BLS employment projections to complement the AI-focused assessments from other sources.

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Growth Rate (2024-34):

4.9%

Growth Percentile:

71.7%

Annual Openings:

1,100

Annual Openings Pct:

12.3%

Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Mat. Moving Machine Sup.

Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 2/17/2026

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

What's changing and what's not

Today’s warehouses have started using software, robots, and AI to help with some chores, but human supervisors still run the show. For example, companies like Amazon have rolled out robotic arms and mobile robots that pick and move packages (e.g. “Robin” and “Proteus”) to make lifting and sorting faster [1]. They even use AI for object recognition (e.g. teaching a robot to “pick up a bottle of water” [1]).

In practice, these systems handle heavy lifting and routine data collection, while first-line supervisors focus on planning, safety, and people issues. Many routine tasks – like keeping time sheets, inventory logs and schedules – are done with computer software or warehouse management systems (for example, O*NET notes that supervisors use scheduling, database and barcode software on the job [2]). This kind of automation or augmentation means spreadsheets, scanners and databases can auto-generate reports or alert managers about stock levels.

But the core supervisory work still needs people: tasks like explaining a new job, training workers, solving unexpected problems, and enforcing safety rules are very hard to automate [1] [3]. In short, AI is helping with routine record-keeping and physical tasks (so supervisors can see data and inventory more quickly), but the human skills of leadership and judgment remain central.

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AI Adoption

AI in the real world

Adopting AI and robots in this field has pros and cons, so rollout can be slow. Big companies with lots of goods (like Amazon) invest years and many millions to deploy new warehouse robots. Amazon found it took about two years to move from prototype to scale – and now in one site 70% of items move through robots [1].

Studies also show that digital tools (like “digital twin” warehouse simulations) can boost efficiency by 20–25% before building anything [3]. This suggests good long-term gains. However, the up-front costs and complexity are high, and smaller firms may adopt more cautiously.

Labor shortages and rising wages encourage faster automation, but social and safety concerns can slow it: heavy machinery must meet strict safety rules, and workers may resist big changes. For now, many businesses use easy gains (like inventory software and barcode scanners [2]) and add smarter tools step by step. Overall, trend-watchers note AI tends to augment rather than replace supervisors: companies often create new tech-focused roles (maintenance, data analysis) and still rely on human supervisors to handle training and on-site decisions [1] [3].

In other words, AI helps make work easier, but first-line supervisors’ people and problem-solving skills stay in demand.

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More Career Info

Career: First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators

Employment & Wage Data

* Data estimated from parent occupation

Median Wage

$63,940

Jobs (2024)

10,300

Growth (2024-34)

+4.9%

Annual Openings

1,100

Education

High school diploma or equivalent

Experience

Less than 5 years

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

80% ResilienceCore Task

Monitor field work to ensure proper performance and use of materials.

2

75% ResilienceCore Task

Explain and demonstrate work tasks to new workers or assign training tasks to experienced workers.

3

75% ResilienceSupplemental

Assist workers in tasks such as coupling railroad cars or loading vehicles.

4

70% ResilienceCore Task

Resolve worker problems or collaborate with employees to assist in problem resolution.

5

70% ResilienceCore Task

Requisition needed personnel, supplies, equipment, parts, or repair services.

6

65% ResilienceCore Task

Recommend and implement measures to improve worker motivation, equipment performance, work methods, or customer services.

7

65% ResilienceSupplemental

Examine, measure, or weigh cargo or materials to determine specific handling requirements.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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