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The AI Resilience Report helps you understand how AI is likely to impact your current or future career. Drawing on data from over 1,500 occupations, it provides a clear snapshot to support informed career decisions.
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Last Update: 5/19/2026
Your role’s AI Resilience Score is
Median Score
Meaningful human contribution
Measures the parts of the occupation that still require a human touch. This score averages data from up to four AI exposure datasets, focusing on the role’s resilience against automation.
Med
Long-term employer demand
Predicts the health of the job market for this role through 2034. Using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, it balances projected annual job openings (60%) with overall employment growth (40%).
Med
Sustained economic opportunity
Measures future earning potential and career flexibility. This score is a blend of total projected labor income (67%) and the role’s inherent ability to adapt to economic and technological shifts (33%).
Med
This reflects the reliability of your score based on the number of data sources available for this career and how closely those sources agree on the outlook. A higher confidence means more consistent evidence from labor experts and AI models.
There are a reasonable number of sources for this result, but there is some disagreement between them.
Contributing sources
First-Line Supervisors of Helpers, Laborers, and Material Movers, Hand are somewhat more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 5 sources.
This career is labeled "Mostly Resilient" because while AI is definitely changing parts of the job — like scheduling, recordkeeping, and safety monitoring — it's making the work easier rather than eliminating it. The heart of what a supervisor does, like earning a team's trust, making judgment calls on tricky safety situations, and solving real-world problems on a busy warehouse floor, is genuinely hard for AI to replicate.
Read full analysisLearn more about how you can thrive in this position
Learn more about how you can thrive in this position
This role is mostly resilient
This career is labeled "Mostly Resilient" because while AI is definitely changing parts of the job — like scheduling, recordkeeping, and safety monitoring — it's making the work easier rather than eliminating it. The heart of what a supervisor does, like earning a team's trust, making judgment calls on tricky safety situations, and solving real-world problems on a busy warehouse floor, is genuinely hard for AI to replicate.
Read full analysisAnalysis of Current AI Resilience
First-Line Supervisors
Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 5/14/2026

If you're a young person watching robots roll into Amazon and Walmart warehouses, it's natural to wonder what happens to the people who supervise those workers. The good news: most of what these supervisors do today is being augmented — made easier — rather than fully replaced. AI is showing up first in the routine, paperwork-heavy parts of the job.
The National Safety Council reports that AI is increasingly embedded across safety technologies, powering computer vision, predictive risk modeling and AI assistants that can identify patterns and support proactive decision-making — exactly the kind of help a supervisor uses when inspecting equipment or monitoring safety procedures. On the frontline floor, the World Economic Forum describes how AI is being used to handle scheduling, training, and coaching for warehouse and logistics workers [1], which lightens a supervisor's recordkeeping and shift-planning load. Meanwhile, Gartner predicts that by 2030, 50% of new warehouses in developed markets will be designed as "robot-centric" facilities [2] — meaning supervisors of the future will increasingly coordinate fleets of robots alongside people.

Adoption is moving fast because the business case is strong. A 2026 MHI and Deloitte survey of supply chain leaders found that 48% now consider AI's disruptive impact significant or greater — up 25 percentage points in just one year — and 56% of organizations plan to increase supply chain innovation spending [3]. Persistent labor shortages are another big driver pushing companies toward automation.
But there are real brakes too. Wolters Kluwer's 2026 EHS readiness study, conducted with the National Safety Council, surveyed 1,053 safety and operations professionals and found leaders warning that "guardrails" are needed as AI gets embedded in safety programs [4]. And here's the hopeful part: BCG's 2026 analysis argues that task automation doesn't equal job loss — most roles will remain but will change substantially [5].
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics still projects 4% growth for hand laborers and material movers from 2024 to 2034 [6], and supervisors who can coach people, troubleshoot equipment in person, and judge tricky safety situations will remain essential. The skills AI can't easily copy — calm leadership, hands-on problem-solving, and earning a team's trust — are exactly what make a great supervisor.

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They oversee workers who move materials, making sure tasks are done safely and efficiently while solving any problems that come up.
* Data estimated from parent occupation
Median Wage
$63,940
Jobs (2024)
10,300
Growth (2024-34)
+4.9%
Annual Openings
1,100
Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Experience
Less than 5 years
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034
AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years
Perform the same work duties as those supervised or perform more difficult or skilled tasks or assist in their performance.
Recommend or initiate personnel actions, such as promotions, transfers, or disciplinary measures.
Inspect job sites to determine the extent of maintenance or repairs needed.
Schedule times of shipment and modes of transportation for materials.
Review work throughout the work process and at completion to ensure that it has been performed properly.
Assess training needs of staff and arrange for or provide appropriate instruction.
Participate in the hiring process by reviewing credentials, conducting interviews, or making hiring decisions or recommendations.
Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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