Somewhat Resilient

Last Update: 11/4/2026

AI Resilience Score for Excavation/Dragline Oper.:

44.4%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

Med

Long-term employer demand

Low

Sustained economic opportunity

Med

Our confidence in this score:
Medium

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient excavating and loading machine operation in surface mining is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from six AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, Will Robots Take My Job, OpenAI Signals, and Google ATLAS. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For excavation and dragline operators, six of nine sources had data. AI exposure sources were split: Microsoft saw the hands-on physical work as hard to automate, while Will Robots Take My Job rated exposure high. That disagreement, combined with low employer demand from BLS Opportunity Score, holds confidence at medium. The score lands at "Somewhat Resilient," with physical skill helping but a soft hiring outlook pulling it down.

AI Resilience Report forExcavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators, Surface Mining

$57,430 median salary•2,400 annual openings•SOC Code: 47-5022.00

Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators, Surface Mining are somewhat less resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 6 sources.

This career sits in the "Somewhat Resilient" category because automation is genuinely reshaping big parts of the job, especially with self-driving haul trucks already moving billions of tonnes of material at major mines, but the core work of operating loading equipment like shovels, excavators, and draglines still needs skilled human judgment. AI is being layered onto these machines through fleet management software, sensor-based dig planning, and predictive maintenance, which means the role is changing more than it is disappearing.

Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

This role is somewhat resilient

This career sits in the "Somewhat Resilient" category because automation is genuinely reshaping big parts of the job, especially with self-driving haul trucks already moving billions of tonnes of material at major mines, but the core work of operating loading equipment like shovels, excavators, and draglines still needs skilled human judgment. AI is being layered onto these machines through fleet management software, sensor-based dig planning, and predictive maintenance, which means the role is changing more than it is disappearing.

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Analysis of current AI resilience

Excavation/Dragline Oper.

Updated quarterly

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More Career Info

Career: Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators, Surface Mining

They operate heavy machines to dig up and move earth or materials, making it easier to access valuable minerals or resources from the ground.

Alternate Titles

Dragline Oiler · Dragline Operator · Heavy Equipment Operator · Loader Operator · Backhoe Operator · Equipment Operator · Excavator Operator · Pit Operator · Track Hoe Operator

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$57,430

Jobs (2025)

34,700

Growth (2025-35)

+1.0%

Annual Openings

2,400

Education

High school diploma or equivalent

Experience

Less than 5 years

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025-2035

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

94% ResilienceSupplemental

Perform manual labor to prepare or finish sites, such as shoveling materials by hand.

2

92% ResilienceCore Task

Lubricate, adjust, or repair machinery and replace parts, such as gears, bearings, or bucket teeth.

3

91% ResilienceCore Task

Handle slides, mud, or pit cleanings or maintenance.

4

90% ResilienceCore Task

Become familiar with digging plans, machine capabilities and limitations, and efficient and safe digging procedures in a given application.

5

89% ResilienceCore Task

Create or maintain inclines or ramps.

6

88% ResilienceCore Task

Move levers, depress foot pedals, and turn dials to operate power machinery, such as power shovels, stripping shovels, scraper loaders, or backhoes.

7

87% ResilienceCore Task

Operate machinery to perform activities such as backfilling excavations, vibrating or breaking rock or concrete, or making winter roads.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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