Evolving

Last Update: 3/13/2026

Your role’s AI Resilience Score is

48.4%

Median Score

Changing Fast

Evolving

Stable

Our confidence in this score:
Medium-high

What does this resilience result mean?

These roles are shifting as AI becomes part of everyday workflows. Expect new responsibilities and new opportunities.

AI Resilience Report for

Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators, Surface Mining

They operate heavy machines to dig up and move earth or materials, making it easier to access valuable minerals or resources from the ground.

This role is evolving

This career is labeled as "Evolving" because while AI is being used to automate routine tasks like hauling and drilling in mining, many essential jobs still need human skills. Tasks such as machine repair, handling unexpected issues, and making on-the-spot decisions require human judgment and creativity.

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Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

View analysis
Chat with Coach
Latest news
More career info
Analysis
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This role is evolving

This career is labeled as "Evolving" because while AI is being used to automate routine tasks like hauling and drilling in mining, many essential jobs still need human skills. Tasks such as machine repair, handling unexpected issues, and making on-the-spot decisions require human judgment and creativity.

Read full analysis

Contributing Sources

We aggregate scores from multiple models and supplement with employment projections for a more accurate picture of this occupation’s resilience. Expand to view all sources.

AI Resilience

AI Resilience Model v1.0

AI Task Resilience

Learn about this score
Evolving iconEvolving

48.3%

48.3%

Microsoft's Working with AI

AI Applicability

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Evolving iconEvolving

69.3%

69.3%

Will Robots Take My Job

Automation Resilience

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Evolving iconEvolving

30.3%

30.3%

Althoff & Reichardt

Economic Growth

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Evolving iconEvolving

47.7%

47.7%

Low Demand

Labor Market Outlook

We use BLS employment projections to complement the AI-focused assessments from other sources.

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Growth Rate (2024-34):

-0.4%

Growth Percentile:

24.3%

Annual Openings:

3,100

Annual Openings Pct:

29.9%

Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Excavation/Dragline Oper.

Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 2/17/2026

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

What's changing and what's not

Mining firms today use automation mainly for heavy hauling. For example, Rio Tinto and Komatsu run fleets of self-driving haul trucks that carry ore along pre-set routes [1] [2]. An academic review notes that surface mines now “undergo a transformative shift” toward automation, highlighting automated haul trucks in use [1].

These driverless trucks use GPS, radar and lidar to follow roads, and each autonomous truck in one mine worked ~700 hours more per year than a manual one while cutting hauling costs ~15% [1]. In contrast, many core tasks still need people. Jobs like reading hand signals or grade stakes, clearing mud and debris, and lubricating or fixing machines remain hands-on [3] [3].

AI can assist – for example, sensors can warn of worn parts or map levels of ore – but it can’t yet clean spills, adjust to unexpected breakdowns, or fully replace an operator’s judgement [3] [3]. In short, moving big rocks is getting mechanized, but work like machine repair, fine adjustments, and on-the-spot decisions are still done by trained people.

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AI Adoption

AI in the real world

Adopting AI in mining has strong benefits but also challenges. Automated trucks and drills can boost output and safety; industry reports say these systems extend equipment life, reduce worker fatigue, and cut unit costs [1] [2]. However, the review notes that mines often move slowly with new tech because of high start-up cost and need for skilled support staff [1] [1].

Companies must invest in new hardware and in training workers to run and fix these systems. One study warns that widespread automation faces “high initial investment costs, concerns about job displacement, and the need for specialized skills and training” [1]. In practice, this means mines today balance cost vs. reward: for now they automate routine driving and drilling, but leave complex or unpredictable tasks to humans.

In places where automation is proven (like big open-pit mines), leaders have adopted it for efficiency [1]. Elsewhere, managers wait for costs to fall and safety rules to catch up.

Overall, most experts agree that some tasks will change but not vanish. Even with more AI, people will still be needed to program machines, solve novel problems on the spot, and do repairs. Enthusiasts point out that when routine tasks are automated, workers can focus on higher-level roles – planning, analysis, and maintenance – which AI can’t do alone [1] [1].

In short, young workers shouldn’t fear wholesale replacement. Human skills like judgment, creativity, and equipment maintenance remain crucial in mining, and new “technician” jobs are growing to support these smart machines. With time and training, AI can make the work safer and more interesting, rather than eliminate workers altogether [1] [1].

Sources

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More Career Info

Career: Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators, Surface Mining

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$52,550

Jobs (2024)

35,800

Growth (2024-34)

-0.4%

Annual Openings

3,100

Education

High school diploma or equivalent

Experience

Less than 5 years

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

85% ResilienceSupplemental

Direct workers engaged in placing blocks or outriggers to prevent capsizing of machines when lifting heavy loads.

2

80% ResilienceSupplemental

Perform manual labor to prepare or finish sites, such as shoveling materials by hand.

3

75% ResilienceCore Task

Lubricate, adjust, or repair machinery and replace parts, such as gears, bearings, or bucket teeth.

4

70% ResilienceCore Task

Observe hand signals, grade stakes, or other markings when operating machines so that work can be performed to specifications.

5

65% ResilienceSupplemental

Measure and verify levels of rock or gravel, bases, or other excavated material.

6

60% ResilienceCore Task

Handle slides, mud, or pit cleanings or maintenance.

7

55% ResilienceCore Task

Set up or inspect equipment prior to operation.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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