Somewhat Resilient

Last Update: 7/31/2026

AI Resilience Score for Earth Drillers, Non-Oil/Gas:

49.7%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

Med

Long-term employer demand

Low

Sustained economic opportunity

Med

Our confidence in this score:
Medium

Contributing sources

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient earth drilling work outside oil and gas is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from five AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, Will Robots Take My Job, and OpenAI Signals. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For earth drillers outside oil and gas, five of eight sources had data. On AI exposure, AI Resilience Model and Microsoft both rated it low, while Will Robots Take My Job landed at medium, giving confidence a medium rating. Weak hiring outlook from BLS Opportunity Score pulled demand down, but solid pay signals kept the score at "Somewhat Resilient."

AI Resilience Report forEarth Drillers, Except Oil and Gas

$60,190 median salary1,700 annual openingsSOC Code: 47-5023.00

Earth Drillers, Except Oil and Gas are somewhat less resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 5 sources.

Earth drilling is "Somewhat Resilient" because AI and robotics are already making real changes to parts of this job, especially in repetitive, predictable settings like data centers and large mines, where automated rigs can now drill anchor holes in a fraction of the time and at a third of the cost. That said, a lot of drilling work still happens in unpredictable outdoor environments where human judgment, troubleshooting, and hands-on problem solving are hard to replace, especially for water wells and smaller construction crews.

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This role is somewhat resilient

Earth drilling is "Somewhat Resilient" because AI and robotics are already making real changes to parts of this job, especially in repetitive, predictable settings like data centers and large mines, where automated rigs can now drill anchor holes in a fraction of the time and at a third of the cost. That said, a lot of drilling work still happens in unpredictable outdoor environments where human judgment, troubleshooting, and hands-on problem solving are hard to replace, especially for water wells and smaller construction crews.

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Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Earth Drillers, Non-Oil/Gas

Updated Quarterly

Analysis
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State of Automation

How is AI changing Earth Drillers, Non-Oil/Gas jobs?

Right now, AI is mostly augmenting earth drillers rather than replacing them, but the technology is moving fast in 2026. In construction drilling, DEWALT and August Robotics rolled out the world's first downward-drilling, fleet-capable robot in January 2026 [1], which mounts an industrial drill on an autonomous mobile robot to drill anchor holes for data center server racks. The companies report that the system compresses the data center floor prep schedule from eight to nine weeks of layout plus drilling down to about seven to nine days with four robots, and that the joint offering has already generated 21,000 hours of labor capacity in the first six months.

In mining and mineral exploration, automation is even further along. A May 2026 industry report describes how Epiroc's new surface drill rig integrates a rig control system that enables onboard automation solutions and automated rod handling to reduce manual intervention [2] during drilling. A March 2026 academic review in Geosciences surveys how autonomous drilling technologies are advancing for critical mineral exploration [3], combining robotics with AI-driven geology models.

Decision-making is being augmented too. According to Drilling Contractor magazine, an AI-native real-time operating center launched in 2025 uses an "agentic" AI system that pulls live well data to enable autonomous decision making and execution of complex tasks [4] — basically helping human drillers spot problems faster. The IADC has even started briefing student drillers on "The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on the Industry" at its 2026 international conference [5], showing how seriously the trade group takes the shift.

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AI Adoption

How fast is AI adoption growing for Earth Drillers, Non-Oil/Gas?

Adoption is happening fastest where projects are repetitive, indoor, and well-mapped (like data center floors) or remote and dangerous (like open-pit mines). The DEWALT system claims a cost-per-hole drop from more than $60 to around $20 [1], and those economics are hard to ignore. A serious labor crunch helps too — Construction Dive reports the industry still needs about 350,000 additional workers in 2026 [6] — so contractors are looking at robots as a way to fill gaps, not just cut payroll.

Adoption will likely be slower for water-well drillers and small construction crews. Jobs are highly variable, sites are unpredictable, and machines still cost more than a single skilled operator can earn in a year. Safety rules, permitting, and customer trust also move slowly in groundwater work.

The good news for young people: tasks like retrieving stuck equipment, troubleshooting weird ground conditions, maintaining rigs, and driving trucks to remote sites still need human judgment and hands. Drillers who learn to work with AI dashboards, robotic rigs, and data tools will be the most valuable hires in the next decade.

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Will AI replace Earth Drillers, Non-Oil/Gas?

Will AI replace Earth Drillers, Non-Oil/Gas?

Not entirely. We think AI will take over some tasks, but not the whole job.

Earth drilling scores a 49.7% AI Resilience Score, which puts it in a real zone of change. Automation is already moving fast in predictable, controlled settings. The DEWALT and August Robotics system, for example, compresses data center floor prep from weeks down to days using autonomous drilling robots [1], and the economics are hard to ignore. Epiroc's new rigs are reducing manual intervention in mining through onboard automation [2]. These shifts are real, and the long-term job market outlook is soft.

But a lot of this work stays human. Water-well drilling, unpredictable ground conditions, stuck equipment, remote sites, and rig maintenance all still need judgment and hands that robots handle poorly. The industry also faces a serious labor shortage, with roughly 350,000 additional workers still needed in 2026 [6], so robots are filling gaps more than cutting headcount right now.

We believe the drillers with the strongest futures will be the ones who learn to work alongside AI dashboards and automated rigs rather than against them. The trade group IADC is already briefing new drillers on AI's industry impact [5], which tells you where the profession is heading. The job is evolving, not disappearing.

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Latest AI news for Earth Drillers, Non-Oil/Gas

These articles highlight how AI is transforming the drilling industry, which is relevant for Earth Drillers, Except Oil and Gas. For instance, AI is streamlining drilling processes, as seen in bp's use of technology to enhance operational efficiency. Additionally, the application of AI in drilling and completion can lead to cost reductions and improved performance. While there are risks of automation, understanding these advancements can help students adapt and thrive in their careers, ensuring they remain resilient in an evolving job landscape.

More Career Info

Career: Earth Drillers, Except Oil and Gas

They operate machines to drill into the ground for water, minerals, or construction, ensuring everything is safe and runs smoothly.

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$60,190

Jobs (2024)

18,300

Growth (2024-34)

+2.9%

Annual Openings

1,700

Education

High school diploma or equivalent

Experience

Less than 5 years

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

93% ResilienceSupplemental

Pour water into wells, or pump water or slush into wells to cool drill bits and to remove drillings.

2

93% ResilienceSupplemental

Review client requirements and proposed locations for drilling operations to determine feasibility, and to determine cost estimates.

3

92% ResilienceCore Task

Drive trucks, tractors, or truck-mounted drills to and from work sites.

4

92% ResilienceCore Task

Assemble and position machines, augers, casing pipes, and other equipment, using hand and power tools.

5

92% ResilienceSupplemental

Operate hoists to lift power line poles into position.

6

91% ResilienceSupplemental

Disinfect, reconstruct, and redevelop contaminated wells and water pumping systems, and clean and disinfect new wells in preparation for use.

7

90% ResilienceCore Task

Perform routine maintenance and upgrade work on machines and equipment, such as replacing parts, building up drill bits, and lubricating machinery.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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