Somewhat Resilient

Last Update: 6/19/2026

AI Resilience Score for Earth Drillers, Non-Oil/Gas:

49.9%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

Med

Long-term employer demand

Low

Sustained economic opportunity

Med

Our confidence in this score:
Medium-high

Contributing sources

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient earth drilling work outside of oil and gas is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from four AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, and Will Robots Take My Job. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For earth drillers, 5 of 7 sources had data. On AI exposure, AI Resilience Model and Microsoft both rated it low, while Will Robots Take My Job rated it medium, a modest split that keeps confidence at medium-high. Strong physical demands help human contribution, but a low hiring outlook from BLS Opportunity Score pulled the score down, landing this career at "Somewhat Resilient."

AI Resilience Report forEarth Drillers, Except Oil and Gas

$59,600 median salary1,700 annual openingsSOC Code: 47-5023.00

Earth Drillers, Except Oil and Gas are somewhat less resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 5 sources.

Earth drilling is "Somewhat Resilient" because AI and robotics are already making real changes to parts of this job, especially in repetitive, predictable settings like data centers and large mines, where automated rigs can now drill anchor holes in a fraction of the time and at a third of the cost. That said, a lot of drilling work still happens in unpredictable outdoor environments where human judgment, troubleshooting, and hands-on problem solving are hard to replace, especially for water wells and smaller construction crews.

Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

View analysis
Chat with Coach
Latest news
More career info
Analysis
Chat
News
More

Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

View analysis
Chat with Coach
Latest news
More career info
Analysis
Chat
News
More

This role is somewhat resilient

Earth drilling is "Somewhat Resilient" because AI and robotics are already making real changes to parts of this job, especially in repetitive, predictable settings like data centers and large mines, where automated rigs can now drill anchor holes in a fraction of the time and at a third of the cost. That said, a lot of drilling work still happens in unpredictable outdoor environments where human judgment, troubleshooting, and hands-on problem solving are hard to replace, especially for water wells and smaller construction crews.

Read full analysis

Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Earth Drillers, Non-Oil/Gas

Updated Quarterly

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

How is AI changing Earth Drillers, Non-Oil/Gas jobs?

Right now, AI is mostly augmenting earth drillers rather than replacing them, but the technology is moving fast in 2026. In construction drilling, DEWALT and August Robotics rolled out the world's first downward-drilling, fleet-capable robot in January 2026 [1], which mounts an industrial drill on an autonomous mobile robot to drill anchor holes for data center server racks. The companies report that the system compresses the data center floor prep schedule from eight to nine weeks of layout plus drilling down to about seven to nine days with four robots, and that the joint offering has already generated 21,000 hours of labor capacity in the first six months.

In mining and mineral exploration, automation is even further along. A May 2026 industry report describes how Epiroc's new surface drill rig integrates a rig control system that enables onboard automation solutions and automated rod handling to reduce manual intervention [2] during drilling. A March 2026 academic review in Geosciences surveys how autonomous drilling technologies are advancing for critical mineral exploration [3], combining robotics with AI-driven geology models.

Decision-making is being augmented too. According to Drilling Contractor magazine, an AI-native real-time operating center launched in 2025 uses an "agentic" AI system that pulls live well data to enable autonomous decision making and execution of complex tasks [4] — basically helping human drillers spot problems faster. The IADC has even started briefing student drillers on "The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on the Industry" at its 2026 international conference [5], showing how seriously the trade group takes the shift.

Reveal More
AI Adoption

How fast is AI adoption growing for Earth Drillers, Non-Oil/Gas?

Adoption is happening fastest where projects are repetitive, indoor, and well-mapped (like data center floors) or remote and dangerous (like open-pit mines). The DEWALT system claims a cost-per-hole drop from more than $60 to around $20 [1], and those economics are hard to ignore. A serious labor crunch helps too — Construction Dive reports the industry still needs about 350,000 additional workers in 2026 [6] — so contractors are looking at robots as a way to fill gaps, not just cut payroll.

Adoption will likely be slower for water-well drillers and small construction crews. Jobs are highly variable, sites are unpredictable, and machines still cost more than a single skilled operator can earn in a year. Safety rules, permitting, and customer trust also move slowly in groundwater work.

The good news for young people: tasks like retrieving stuck equipment, troubleshooting weird ground conditions, maintaining rigs, and driving trucks to remote sites still need human judgment and hands. Drillers who learn to work with AI dashboards, robotic rigs, and data tools will be the most valuable hires in the next decade.

Reveal More
Will AI replace Earth Drillers, Non-Oil/Gas?

Will AI replace Earth Drillers, Non-Oil/Gas?

Not entirely. We think AI will take over some tasks, but not the whole job.

Earth drilling earns a 49.9% AI Resilience Score, which tells you this career is changing in real ways, not just at the edges. Robotic systems are already making inroads: one autonomous drilling robot can compress a data center floor prep schedule from eight to nine weeks down to about seven to nine days with four machines, and the cost per hole has dropped from more than $60 to around $20 [1]. Mining automation is moving fast too, with AI-driven rig control systems reducing manual intervention on surface drill rigs [2].

What stays human is the messy, unpredictable work. Troubleshooting stuck equipment, reading unusual ground conditions, maintaining rigs in remote locations, and making judgment calls on variable job sites are still beyond what current machines handle well. The industry is also dealing with a serious labor shortage, with roughly 350,000 additional workers still needed in 2026 [6], so robots are filling gaps more than eliminating positions.

The realistic path forward is learning to work alongside these tools. Drillers who get comfortable with AI dashboards and automated rigs will be the most valuable people on any crew. The job shifts, but it does not disappear.

Reveal More
Career Village Logo

Help us improve this report.

Tell us if this analysis feels accurate or we missed something.

Share your feedback

Your Career Starts Here

Navigate your career with COACH, your free AI Career Coach. Research-backed, designed with career experts.

Explore careers

Plan your next steps

Get resume help

Find jobs

Explore careers

Plan your next steps

Get resume help

Find jobs

Explore careers

Plan your next steps

Get resume help

Find jobs

Career Village Logo

Ask a pro on CareerVillage.org. Free career advice from more than 200,000 professionals.

Latest AI news for Earth Drillers, Non-Oil/Gas

As AI transforms the energy sector, students pursuing careers as "Earth Drillers, Except Oil and Gas" can find new opportunities. For instance, the article from Fortune highlights how AI and automation are replacing traditional roles, emphasizing the need for adaptability. Meanwhile, BP's use of AI to enhance drilling performance suggests that integrating technology can lead to increased efficiency and innovation. Embracing AI can help future drillers remain resilient and competitive in a rapidly evolving job market, positioning them for success in a tech-driven landscape.

More Career Info

Career: Earth Drillers, Except Oil and Gas

They operate machines to drill into the ground for water, minerals, or construction, ensuring everything is safe and runs smoothly.

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$59,600

Jobs (2024)

18,300

Growth (2024-34)

+2.9%

Annual Openings

1,700

Education

High school diploma or equivalent

Experience

Less than 5 years

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

93% ResilienceSupplemental

Pour water into wells, or pump water or slush into wells to cool drill bits and to remove drillings.

2

93% ResilienceSupplemental

Review client requirements and proposed locations for drilling operations to determine feasibility, and to determine cost estimates.

3

92% ResilienceCore Task

Drive trucks, tractors, or truck-mounted drills to and from work sites.

4

92% ResilienceCore Task

Assemble and position machines, augers, casing pipes, and other equipment, using hand and power tools.

5

92% ResilienceSupplemental

Operate hoists to lift power line poles into position.

6

91% ResilienceSupplemental

Disinfect, reconstruct, and redevelop contaminated wells and water pumping systems, and clean and disinfect new wells in preparation for use.

7

90% ResilienceCore Task

Perform routine maintenance and upgrade work on machines and equipment, such as replacing parts, building up drill bits, and lubricating machinery.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

The AI Resilience Report is a project from CareerVillage.org®, a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit.

Built with ❤️ by Sandbox Web

The AI Resilience Report is governed by CareerVillage.org’s Privacy Policy and Terms of Service. This site is not affiliated with Anthropic, Microsoft, or any other data provider and doesn't necessarily represent their viewpoints. This site is being actively updated, and may sometimes contain errors or require improvement in wording or data. To report an error or request a change, please contact air@careervillage.org.