Evolving

Last Update: 2/17/2026

Your role’s AI Resilience Score is

54.5%

Median Score

Changing Fast

Evolving

Stable

Our confidence in this score:
Medium-high

What does this resilience result mean?

These roles are shifting as AI becomes part of everyday workflows. Expect new responsibilities and new opportunities.

AI Resilience Report for

Commercial Pilots

They fly planes to transport passengers or cargo, ensuring a safe and smooth journey while following flight plans and regulations.

This role is evolving

The career of commercial pilots is labeled as "Evolving" because AI is increasingly being used to assist with routine tasks like flight planning and communication. While AI tools can help make flying safer and more efficient, human pilots are still crucial for managing critical parts of the flight and handling unexpected situations.

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Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

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This role is evolving

The career of commercial pilots is labeled as "Evolving" because AI is increasingly being used to assist with routine tasks like flight planning and communication. While AI tools can help make flying safer and more efficient, human pilots are still crucial for managing critical parts of the flight and handling unexpected situations.

Read full analysis

Contributing Sources

We aggregate scores from multiple models and supplement with employment projections for a more accurate picture of this occupation’s resilience. Expand to view all sources.

AI Resilience

AI Resilience Model v1.0

AI Task Resilience

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Evolving iconEvolving

68.8%

68.8%

Microsoft's Working with AI

AI Applicability

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Evolving iconEvolving

41.3%

41.3%

Will Robots Take My Job

Automation Resilience

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Evolving iconEvolving

48.9%

48.9%

Medium Demand

Labor Market Outlook

We use BLS employment projections to complement the AI-focused assessments from other sources.

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Growth Rate (2024-34):

5.1%

Growth Percentile:

74.0%

Annual Openings:

6,600

Annual Openings Pct:

45.4%

Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Commercial Pilots

Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 2/17/2026

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

What's changing and what's not

In today’s cockpits many routine tasks are handled by computers, but pilots still steer the ship. For example, pilots use flight‐planning software to file routes and often exchange routine messages via digital datalinks rather than voice radio [1]. On-board autopilots and sensors fly much of the cruise automatically – older planes even needed a separate flight engineer, but “new aircraft do not require flight engineers” because technology handles those jobs [1].

AI is beginning to play a role too: a German Aerospace Center study tested an “Airborne Digital Assistant” that listens to air traffic control and highlights clearances to help pilots keep up [2]. And companies like Airbus are researching advanced systems (e.g. Project DragonFly) that can auto-land or taxi an aircraft, in effect “solving some problems in autonomy” to reduce pilot workload [3] [4].

However, critical flight duties still need a person in charge. Takeoffs, landings, and any unexpected problem are managed by human pilots. Training flights (when pilots teach or test others) rely on instructor judgment and can’t be automated.

As one Airbus expert put it, autonomy is “more of a spectrum”: AI can handle small sub-tasks while pilots focus on strategy and safety [4]. In short, computers and AI tools are increasingly augmenting pilot tasks – helping with planning, communications, or monitoring – but they are not replacing the hard work of flying the plane or making split-second decisions. Human skills like teamwork, flexibility, and experience remain essential in the cockpit [4] [2].

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AI Adoption

AI in the real world

Whether these AI tools will be widely used depends on many factors. On the plus side, airlines face high labor costs and pilot shortages – the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics projects about 18,000 pilot job openings per year [1] – so there is interest in anything that can make crews more efficient. Research shows single-pilot operations could save money, and companies like Airbus are pushing new cockpit AI as a “technologically feasible” advance [5] [3].

In practice, though, adoption is slow. Building and certifying safe AI systems is very expensive, and pilots are well-paid but trusted – regulators and airlines cannot afford serious mistakes. In fact, pilot unions warn that removing a human pilot is “insane” from a safety standpoint [3].

Social acceptance is another hurdle. Surveys find most people aren’t comfortable flying with only one pilot or fully remote operations. One poll reported ~75% of U.S. adults would feel uneasy without two pilots onboard [3].

This public trust factor means airlines will move cautiously. In the long run, AI is more likely to be used as a helper – for example, optimizing routes or running safety checks in the background – rather than taking over entirely. Such tools can make flying safer and give pilots better information without sidelining the human crew.

In the meantime, the uniquely human skills of situational awareness, communication, and decision-making keep pilots in demand, even as they learn to work alongside smarter technology [4] [2].

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More Career Info

Career: Commercial Pilots

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$122,670

Jobs (2024)

55,400

Growth (2024-34)

+5.1%

Annual Openings

6,600

Education

Postsecondary nondegree award

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

85% ResilienceSupplemental

Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

2

80% ResilienceSupplemental

Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

3

75% ResilienceCore Task

Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties as required.

4

75% ResilienceSupplemental

Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

5

70% ResilienceCore Task

Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

6

70% ResilienceCore Task

Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

7

70% ResilienceSupplemental

Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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