Mostly Resilient

Last Update: 10/7/2026

AI Resilience Score for Airline Pilots and more:

56.6%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

Med

Long-term employer demand

High

Sustained economic opportunity

Med

Our confidence in this score:
High

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient airline piloting is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from five AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, Will Robots Take My Job, and OpenAI Signals. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For airline piloting, seven of eight sources had data, with Anthropic missing. The remaining sources agreed closely: AI Resilience Model, Microsoft, Will Robots Take My Job, and OpenAI Signals all rated AI exposure as Medium, pointing to strong human contribution but real automation pressure in cockpit tasks. Strong hiring demand from the BLS Opportunity Score pushed the score up, landing pilots at "Mostly Resilient."

AI Resilience Report forAirline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers

$232,140 median salary•11,200 annual openings•SOC Code: 53-2011.00

Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers are somewhat more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 7 sources.

Airline pilots are labeled "Mostly Resilient" because safety regulations, public trust, and the sheer complexity of flying make it extremely hard for AI to fully replace humans in the cockpit anytime soon. Right now, AI is stepping in to handle routine tasks like checklists, monitoring, and paperwork, but the critical work of takeoffs, landings, crew coordination, and split-second emergency decisions still belongs to trained human pilots.

Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

This role is mostly resilient

Airline pilots are labeled "Mostly Resilient" because safety regulations, public trust, and the sheer complexity of flying make it extremely hard for AI to fully replace humans in the cockpit anytime soon. Right now, AI is stepping in to handle routine tasks like checklists, monitoring, and paperwork, but the critical work of takeoffs, landings, crew coordination, and split-second emergency decisions still belongs to trained human pilots.

Read full analysis

Analysis of current AI resilience

Airline Pilots and more

Updated quarterly

Your move

How can Airline Pilots and more prepare for AI?

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Latest AI news for Airline Pilots and more

These articles highlight the growing role of AI in aviation, particularly for pilots and flight engineers. For instance, the collaboration between Stanford researchers and the Air Force tests AI copilots in emergencies, showcasing how AI can enhance decision-making and safety. Similarly, MIT’s Air-Guardian project demonstrates AI improving pilot focus during critical moments. As AI continues to evolve, aspiring aviation professionals should embrace these advancements, understanding that AI can serve as a powerful ally, ensuring safer skies and enhancing their roles in the cockpit.

More Career Info

Career: Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers

They fly planes by operating controls, ensuring safety, and navigating routes to get passengers and cargo to their destinations.

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Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$232,140

Jobs (2025)

104,600

Growth (2025-35)

+8.3%

Annual Openings

11,200

Education

Bachelor's degree

Experience

Less than 5 years

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025-2035

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

95% ResilienceCore Task

Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

2

94% ResilienceCore Task

Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

3

93% ResilienceCore Task

Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

4

92% ResilienceCore Task

Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

5

90% ResilienceSupplemental

Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

6

88% ResilienceSupplemental

Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

7

85% ResilienceCore Task

Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

The AI Resilience Report is a project from CareerVillage.org®, a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit.

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