Evolving

Last Update: 3/13/2026

Your role’s AI Resilience Score is

43.9%

Median Score

Changing Fast

Evolving

Stable

Our confidence in this score:
Medium

What does this resilience result mean?

These roles are shifting as AI becomes part of everyday workflows. Expect new responsibilities and new opportunities.

AI Resilience Report for

Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials

They ensure fair play in sports by enforcing rules, making calls, and resolving disputes during games.

This role is evolving

The career of umpires, referees, and sports officials is labeled as "Evolving" because AI is starting to assist with routine tasks like line-calling and timing, making games more accurate and quicker. However, human officials are still essential because they handle complex judgment calls, explain rules, and manage interactions on the field.

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Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

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Chat with Coach
Latest news
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Analysis
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This role is evolving

The career of umpires, referees, and sports officials is labeled as "Evolving" because AI is starting to assist with routine tasks like line-calling and timing, making games more accurate and quicker. However, human officials are still essential because they handle complex judgment calls, explain rules, and manage interactions on the field.

Read full analysis

Contributing Sources

We aggregate scores from multiple models and supplement with employment projections for a more accurate picture of this occupation’s resilience. Expand to view all sources.

AI Resilience

AI Resilience Model v1.0

AI Task Resilience

Learn about this score
Evolving iconEvolving

48.0%

48.0%

Microsoft's Working with AI

AI Applicability

Learn about this score
Stable iconStable

75.8%

75.8%

Will Robots Take My Job

Automation Resilience

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Changing fast iconChanging fast

27.9%

27.9%

Althoff & Reichardt

Economic Growth

Learn about this score
Changing fast iconChanging fast

27.2%

27.2%

Medium Demand

Labor Market Outlook

We use BLS employment projections to complement the AI-focused assessments from other sources.

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Growth Rate (2024-34):

5.7%

Growth Percentile:

78.1%

Annual Openings:

4,600

Annual Openings Pct:

37.7%

Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Sports Officials

Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 2/17/2026

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

What's changing and what's not

Some officiating tasks today use computers and sensors, but most still rely on humans. For example, in major sports the most obvious calls are now assisted by technology. In baseball, cameras and Hawk-Eye software automatically check each pitch, letting players “appeal to a higher power” instead of arguing balls and strikes [1].

Tennis now has electronic line-calling (Wimbledon 2025 used recorded voice calls instead of line judges) [2]. Soccer uses video and sensor tech to detect offsides or goal-line scores. Even race timing often uses automatic cameras rather than a human stopwatch (as in Olympic track and swimming events) [3].

These systems take over clear, repeatable tasks.

However, AI so far is only augmenting officials, not replacing them. As news reports note, leagues add cameras but keep their human referees “in addition to – not instead of – computers” [2]. Referees still must start games, watch for fouls, explain rules, and manage players.

Computers can catch a ball going out of bounds or time a race very precisely, but “referees are not being replaced” – the tech just frees them to focus on hard judgment calls [2] [1]. In short, today’s AI helps with routine checks (lines, timing, obvious rule breaches) while real people handle the rest.

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AI Adoption

AI in the real world

Big sports organizations have been quick to adopt helpful AI where it clearly improves accuracy or speed. For example, the English Premier League is installing dozens of cameras per stadium to speed up video replays, cutting average VAR review times in half [1]. The NBA and MLB have similarly tested AI tools to reduce missed calls, freeing referees to focus on the toughest moments [2] [1].

Players often support these changes: tennis star Novak Djokovic called AI “more accurate” and “saves time” [2]. The goal is fairer, faster games for fans and athletes.

Adoption can be slower if costs or tradition get in the way. High-tech systems require expensive cameras, sensors, and software (so small leagues may not afford them yet). Some events value human tradition: for instance, the French Open still uses human line judges to “maintain the style” of the game [2].

Wimbledon’s organizers emphasized that moving to electronic calls was about “evolving the tournament” and improving calls – not saving money [2]. In general, people welcome AI that fixes clear-cut calls, but they also recognize that human officials bring essential skills (explaining rules, mediating conflicts, understanding context) that computers can’t match. That’s why experts say the future is likely a mix: AI tools will aid referees, but the referee’s judgment and people skills remain crucial [2] [2].

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More Career Info

Career: Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$38,820

Jobs (2024)

19,300

Growth (2024-34)

+5.7%

Annual Openings

4,600

Education

High school diploma or equivalent

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

95% ResilienceSupplemental

Verify credentials of participants in sporting events, and make other qualifying determinations such as starting order or handicap number.

2

90% ResilienceSupplemental

Research and study players and teams in order to anticipate issues that might arise in future engagements.

3

85% ResilienceCore Task

Teach and explain the rules and regulations governing a specific sport.

4

80% ResilienceCore Task

Confer with other sporting officials, coaches, players, and facility managers in order to provide information, coordinate activities, and discuss problems.

5

75% ResilienceCore Task

Report to regulating organizations regarding sporting activities, complaints made, and actions taken or needed such as fines or other disciplinary actions.

6

70% ResilienceCore Task

Inspect sporting equipment and/or examine participants in order to ensure compliance with event and safety regulations.

7

65% ResilienceCore Task

Verify scoring calculations before competition winners are announced.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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