Somewhat Resilient
Last Update: 6/19/2026
AI Resilience Score for Sports Officials:
45.5%
Median Score
Meaningful human contribution
Measures the parts of the occupation that still require a human touch. This score averages data from up to four AI exposure datasets, focusing on the role’s resilience against automation.
Med
Long-term employer demand
Predicts the health of the job market for this role through 2034. Using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, it balances projected annual job openings (60%) with overall employment growth (40%).
Med
Sustained economic opportunity
Measures future earning potential and career flexibility. This score is a blend of total projected labor income (67%) and the role’s inherent ability to adapt to economic and technological shifts (33%).
Low
This reflects the reliability of your score based on the number of data sources available for this career and how closely those sources agree on the outlook. A higher confidence means more consistent evidence from labor experts and AI models.
Most data sources align, with only minor variation. This is a well-supported result.
Contributing sources
AI Resilience Report forUmpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials
$38,820 median salary•4,600 annual openings•SOC Code: 27-2023.00
Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials are somewhat less resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 6 sources.
Umpires and referees are labeled "Somewhat Resilient" because AI is clearly changing parts of the job, especially for objective, measurable calls like ball-strike zones in baseball or offside lines in soccer, where technology can now review or even override human decisions. However, the parts of officiating that require real human judgment, like managing player emotions, communicating with coaches, and earning trust on the field, are still very much in human hands, and leagues are deliberately keeping officials in charge rather than replacing them.
Learn more about how you can thrive in this position
Learn more about how you can thrive in this position
This role is somewhat resilient
Umpires and referees are labeled "Somewhat Resilient" because AI is clearly changing parts of the job, especially for objective, measurable calls like ball-strike zones in baseball or offside lines in soccer, where technology can now review or even override human decisions. However, the parts of officiating that require real human judgment, like managing player emotions, communicating with coaches, and earning trust on the field, are still very much in human hands, and leagues are deliberately keeping officials in charge rather than replacing them.
Read full analysisAnalysis of Current AI Resilience
Sports Officials
Updated Quarterly

How is AI changing Sports Officials jobs?
If you've watched a baseball game this spring, you've already seen one of the biggest AI-in-officiating stories in real time. Major League Baseball is rolling out an artificial intelligence-augmented camera system this season that gives players a "second opinion" they can tap if they think an umpire missed a ball or strike call, using the Automated Ball-Strike System (ABS) that tracks pitches in real time. The system uses 12 AI-powered Hawk-Eye cameras in each stadium focused on the 17-inch strike zone, and was refined for seven seasons in the minor leagues before reaching MLB.
Importantly, humans aren't being replaced — players still get only a limited number of challenges per game, with the pitcher, catcher, or batter initiating reviews that take about 15 seconds [1], and the home-plate umpire still calls every pitch.
Other sports are following the same "AI as helper, not replacement" pattern. For the 2026 World Cup, FIFA is using AI-driven semi-automated offside technology that creates lifelike player avatars to help VAR officials make faster, clearer offside decisions [2]. Tennis has gone further: Wimbledon broke a 148-year tradition in 2025 by replacing its line judges with AI-powered electronic line calling [3].
At the youth and high school level, AI is mostly augmenting officials — the NFHS named RefReps its official officiating education technology partner in 2025, using interactive video-based modules and immersive POV scenarios trusted by more than 36,000 learners worldwide [4] to help new officials learn the rules.
Sources

How fast is AI adoption growing for Sports Officials?
Adoption is moving fastest where calls are objective (a ball crossing a line, a pitch crossing a zone) and slowest where judgment is involved (fouls, sportsmanship, intent). Cornell researchers note that introducing technology into baseball isn't like bringing a robot into a manufacturing line — you're bringing it into a game with culture, history, and millions of fans, which is why leagues are rolling out AI carefully through challenge systems rather than all at once. Public opinion is also mixed: an On Point/WBUR discussion explored whether robo-referees are making sports more fair or less fun [5], reflecting real fan ambivalence.
Economic pressure favors AI for top leagues, where one missed call can cost millions, but for youth and high school games, the cost of cameras and AI systems is far higher than paying human officials — so AI is being used to train and recruit officials rather than replace them. That matters because there's a serious shortage of youth referees nationwide. And in the pros, analysts point out that the ABS rollout actually showcases the high competence of MLB's human umpires, who agree with the AI on the vast majority of pitches [6].
The takeaway for young people curious about this career: the human skills that can't be automated — managing emotions on the field, communicating with coaches and players, teaching the rules, and earning trust — are exactly the parts of officiating that leagues, from Little League to MLB, still need humans to do. MLB itself frames ABS not as replacing umpires but as giving players a way to appeal that's better than "ineffectual arguing" [7], which is a pretty hopeful sign that referees and umpires aren't going anywhere soon.
Sources

Will AI replace Sports Officials?
Not entirely. We think AI will take over some tasks, but not the whole job.
Sports officiating earned a 45.5% AI Resilience Score from us, which reflects real pressure but not a wipeout. The clearest sign of where things are headed: MLB now uses an AI-powered camera system to review ball-strike calls, and Wimbledon replaced its line judges with electronic line calling in 2025 [3]. AI is genuinely good at objective calls, the kind where a ball either crossed a line or it didn't.
But officiating is more than tracking pixels. Managing a heated argument between a coach and a player, reading the emotional temperature of a game, earning trust from athletes and fans, these are things no camera system handles. MLB frames its AI challenge system as a better alternative to "ineffectual arguing," not a replacement for the umpire making the call [7]. FIFA's AI offside tool still feeds into human VAR officials [2]. The human judgment stays in the loop.
The economic picture is tighter than the job itself. Wages and adaptability scores in our data are on the lower end, so this is not a career to coast in. Learning how AI tools work, staying current on rule changes, and building communication skills will matter more going forward.
Sources

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Latest AI news for Sports Officials
These articles highlight the growing role of AI in officiating, offering both challenges and opportunities for aspiring umpires and referees. For instance, the introduction of automated systems in Major League Baseball may enhance accuracy but can also shift the traditional role of human officials. Meanwhile, AI applications in sports like cricket and kabaddi show how technology can promote fairness in decision-making. Understanding these advancements can help future officials adapt and thrive in a landscape where AI complements their expertise, ensuring they remain vital even as technology evolves.

Former Olympic skier, CU Buffs star using AI in sports to prevent missed calls
www.denver7.com • 3/2/2026
Athletes and fans see it all the time: referees, umpires and judges sometimes make the wrong call. Could artificial intelligence make that a...

Are robo-referees making sports more fair or less fun?
www.wbur.org • 10/2/2025
Major League Baseball will add an automated ball-strike system next season. How human judgement is giving way to technology across the...

AI officiating is coming to the NFL. Will it help?
sports.yahoo.com • 8/28/2025
Since the formation of the NFL, officiating games has fallen entirely to stripe-shirted humans. Now, with AI technology leaping forward,...

Can Robot And AI Umpires Improve Cricket & Kabaddi In India?
www.outlookindia.com • 6/20/2025
From cricket's DRS to kabaddi's rapid plays, learn how AI-powered officiating could bring fairness and precision to Indian sports decisions.

AI Is Helping Referee Games in Major Sports Leagues, but Limitations Remain
www.scientificamerican.com • 5/2/2024
Basketball, baseball, tennis and soccer leagues are starting to use AI to help call the shots.
More Career Info
Career: Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials
They ensure fair play in sports by enforcing rules, making calls, and resolving disputes during games.
Parent Careers
Similar Careers
Employment & Wage Data
Median Wage
$38,820
Jobs (2024)
19,300
Growth (2024-34)
+5.7%
Annual Openings
4,600
Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Experience
None
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034
Task-Level AI Resilience Scores
AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years
1
Officiate at sporting events, games, or competitions, to maintain standards of play and to ensure that game rules are observed.
2
Teach and explain the rules and regulations governing a specific sport.
3
Confer with other sporting officials, coaches, players, and facility managers in order to provide information, coordinate activities, and discuss problems.
4
Resolve claims of rule infractions or complaints by participants and assess any necessary penalties, according to regulations.
5
Signal participants or other officials to make them aware of infractions or to otherwise regulate play or competition.
6
Judge performances in sporting competitions in order to award points, impose scoring penalties, and determine results.
7
Report to regulating organizations regarding sporting activities, complaints made, and actions taken or needed such as fines or other disciplinary actions.
Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.
