CLOSE
The AI Resilience Report helps you understand how AI is likely to impact your current or future career. Drawing on data from over 1,500 occupations, it provides a clear snapshot to support informed career decisions.
Navigate your career with your free AI Career Coach. Research-backed, designed with career experts.
The AI Resilience Report is a project from CareerVillage®, a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit.
Last Update: 4/23/2026
Your role’s AI Resilience Score is
Median Score
Meaningful human contribution
Measures the parts of the occupation that still require a human touch. This score averages data from up to four AI exposure datasets, focusing on the role’s resilience against automation.
Med
Long-term employer demand
Predicts the health of the job market for this role through 2034. Using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, it balances projected annual job openings (60%) with overall employment growth (40%).
Med
Sustained economic opportunity
Measures future earning potential and career flexibility. This score is a blend of total projected labor income (67%) and the role’s inherent ability to adapt to economic and technological shifts (33%).
Low
This reflects the reliability of your score based on the number of data sources available for this career and how closely those sources agree on the outlook. A higher confidence means more consistent evidence from labor experts and AI models.
There are a reasonable number of sources for this result, but there is some disagreement between them.
Contributing sources
Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials are somewhat less resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 6 sources.
The career of umpires, referees, and other sports officials is labeled as "Somewhat Resilient" because while AI technology is increasingly used to assist with routine tasks like line calls and timing, it doesn't replace the human role. Human officials are still crucial for making complex judgment calls, managing players, and explaining rules—skills that require empathy and understanding of the game.
Read full analysisLearn more about how you can thrive in this position
Learn more about how you can thrive in this position
This role is somewhat resilient
The career of umpires, referees, and other sports officials is labeled as "Somewhat Resilient" because while AI technology is increasingly used to assist with routine tasks like line calls and timing, it doesn't replace the human role. Human officials are still crucial for making complex judgment calls, managing players, and explaining rules—skills that require empathy and understanding of the game.
Read full analysisAnalysis of Current AI Resilience
Sports Officials
Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 5/14/2026

If you've watched a baseball game this spring, you've already seen one of the biggest AI-in-officiating stories in real time. Major League Baseball is rolling out an artificial intelligence-augmented camera system this season that gives players a "second opinion" they can tap if they think an umpire missed a ball or strike call, using the Automated Ball-Strike System (ABS) that tracks pitches in real time. The system uses 12 AI-powered Hawk-Eye cameras in each stadium focused on the 17-inch strike zone, and was refined for seven seasons in the minor leagues before reaching MLB.
Importantly, humans aren't being replaced — players still get only a limited number of challenges per game, with the pitcher, catcher, or batter initiating reviews that take about 15 seconds [1], and the home-plate umpire still calls every pitch.
Other sports are following the same "AI as helper, not replacement" pattern. For the 2026 World Cup, FIFA is using AI-driven semi-automated offside technology that creates lifelike player avatars to help VAR officials make faster, clearer offside decisions [2]. Tennis has gone further: Wimbledon broke a 148-year tradition in 2025 by replacing its line judges with AI-powered electronic line calling [3].
At the youth and high school level, AI is mostly augmenting officials — the NFHS named RefReps its official officiating education technology partner in 2025, using interactive video-based modules and immersive POV scenarios trusted by more than 36,000 learners worldwide [4] to help new officials learn the rules.

Adoption is moving fastest where calls are objective (a ball crossing a line, a pitch crossing a zone) and slowest where judgment is involved (fouls, sportsmanship, intent). Cornell researchers note that introducing technology into baseball isn't like bringing a robot into a manufacturing line — you're bringing it into a game with culture, history, and millions of fans, which is why leagues are rolling out AI carefully through challenge systems rather than all at once. Public opinion is also mixed: an On Point/WBUR discussion explored whether robo-referees are making sports more fair or less fun [5], reflecting real fan ambivalence.
Economic pressure favors AI for top leagues, where one missed call can cost millions, but for youth and high school games, the cost of cameras and AI systems is far higher than paying human officials — so AI is being used to train and recruit officials rather than replace them. That matters because there's a serious shortage of youth referees nationwide. And in the pros, analysts point out that the ABS rollout actually showcases the high competence of MLB's human umpires, who agree with the AI on the vast majority of pitches [6].
The takeaway for young people curious about this career: the human skills that can't be automated — managing emotions on the field, communicating with coaches and players, teaching the rules, and earning trust — are exactly the parts of officiating that leagues, from Little League to MLB, still need humans to do. MLB itself frames ABS not as replacing umpires but as giving players a way to appeal that's better than "ineffectual arguing" [7], which is a pretty hopeful sign that referees and umpires aren't going anywhere soon.

Help us improve this report.
Tell us if this analysis feels accurate or we missed something.
Share your feedback
Navigate your career with COACH, your free AI Career Coach. Research-backed, designed with career experts.
They ensure fair play in sports by enforcing rules, making calls, and resolving disputes during games.
Median Wage
$38,820
Jobs (2024)
19,300
Growth (2024-34)
+5.7%
Annual Openings
4,600
Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Experience
None
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034
AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years
Officiate at sporting events, games, or competitions, to maintain standards of play and to ensure that game rules are observed.
Teach and explain the rules and regulations governing a specific sport.
Confer with other sporting officials, coaches, players, and facility managers in order to provide information, coordinate activities, and discuss problems.
Resolve claims of rule infractions or complaints by participants and assess any necessary penalties, according to regulations.
Signal participants or other officials to make them aware of infractions or to otherwise regulate play or competition.
Judge performances in sporting competitions in order to award points, impose scoring penalties, and determine results.
Report to regulating organizations regarding sporting activities, complaints made, and actions taken or needed such as fines or other disciplinary actions.
Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

© 2026 CareerVillage.org. All rights reserved.
The AI Resilience Report is a project from CareerVillage.org®, a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit.
Built with ❤️ by Sandbox Web
The AI Resilience Report is governed by CareerVillage.org’s Privacy Policy and Terms of Service. This site is not affiliated with Anthropic, Microsoft, or any other data provider and doesn't necessarily represent their viewpoints. This site is being actively updated, and may sometimes contain errors or require improvement in wording or data. To report an error or request a change, please contact air@careervillage.org.