Evolving

Last Update: 2/17/2026

Your role’s AI Resilience Score is

41.5%

Median Score

Changing Fast

Evolving

Stable

Our confidence in this score:
Low-medium

What does this resilience result mean?

These roles are shifting as AI becomes part of everyday workflows. Expect new responsibilities and new opportunities.

AI Resilience Report for

Tool and Die Makers

They create and fix special tools and molds used in manufacturing to shape metal and plastic parts accurately.

This role is evolving

The career of Tool and Die Makers is considered "Evolving" because while computers and robots are increasingly used for tasks like cutting and grinding, skilled workers are still crucial for setting up machines and doing the final fitting and creative design. AI is helping to plan the paths for cutting tools, but many tasks, such as checking dimensions and fine-tuning, need human skill and judgment.

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Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

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Chat with Coach
Latest news
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Analysis
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This role is evolving

The career of Tool and Die Makers is considered "Evolving" because while computers and robots are increasingly used for tasks like cutting and grinding, skilled workers are still crucial for setting up machines and doing the final fitting and creative design. AI is helping to plan the paths for cutting tools, but many tasks, such as checking dimensions and fine-tuning, need human skill and judgment.

Read full analysis

Contributing Sources

We aggregate scores from multiple models and supplement with employment projections for a more accurate picture of this occupation’s resilience. Expand to view all sources.

AI Resilience

AI Resilience Model v1.0

AI Task Resilience

Learn about this score
Evolving iconEvolving

48.0%

48.0%

Microsoft's Working with AI

AI Applicability

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Stable iconStable

76.5%

76.5%

Will Robots Take My Job

Automation Resilience

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Changing fast iconChanging fast

24.4%

24.4%

Low Demand

Labor Market Outlook

We use BLS employment projections to complement the AI-focused assessments from other sources.

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Growth Rate (2024-34):

-10.8%

Growth Percentile:

4.5%

Annual Openings:

4,700

Annual Openings Pct:

38.1%

Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Tool and Die Makers

Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 2/17/2026

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

What's changing and what's not

Many core tool-making tasks already use computers and robots, but people are still very important. For example, modern shops use CNC (computer-controlled) lathes and mills for cutting and grinding—machines do the heavy work, while experienced workers set them up and monitor them [1] [2]. Advanced robots can even mill or polish parts with very high precision.

A recent review notes that robots with smart sensors and AI algorithms are now used for milling, grinding, and polishing in manufacturing [2]. Industry surveys show that almost half of manufacturers expect AI (like “generative AI”) to help plan tool paths for cutting [3]. At the same time, many tasks remain hands-on.

For instance, toolmakers often still “verify dimensions…using calipers” and other gauges [4]. Checking fits, fine polishing, and designing special fixtures and templates generally need human judgment and skill. In short, machines handle much of the repetitive cutting and measuring, but skilled workers still do the final fitting, tuning, and creative design.

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AI Adoption

AI in the real world

AI and robots are spreading in factories, but toolmakers face both opportunity and hurdles. Bigger manufacturers are investing in automation – for example, one 2025 survey found 53% of factories in early stages of using new robots to improve quality [3]. Many also see AI as a planning tool: about half agree AI can optimize the path a cutting tool takes [3].

However, tool and die shops are often small and do custom work, so the cost of new technology can be high. Managers cite “lack of expertise and time” to install AI systems as a major barrier [3]. If machinists retire faster than new people join, some shops may adopt tech faster to fill gaps.

On the social side, most workers aren’t very afraid of being replaced; they see AI more as a helper. In the end, toolmaking skills – judging fits, creativity in design, and careful hand-finishing – remain hard to automate. These human strengths will keep tool and die makers in demand even as shops slowly add smart machines [1] [3].

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More Career Info

Career: Tool and Die Makers

Parent Careers

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$63,180

Jobs (2024)

55,200

Growth (2024-34)

-10.8%

Annual Openings

4,700

Education

Postsecondary nondegree award

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

65% ResilienceCore Task

Select metals to be used from a range of metals and alloys, based on properties such as hardness and heat tolerance.

2

60% ResilienceCore Task

Study blueprints, sketches, models, or specifications to plan sequences of operations for fabricating tools, dies, or assemblies.

3

60% ResilienceCore Task

Fit and assemble parts to make, repair, or modify dies, jigs, gauges, and tools, using machine tools and hand tools.

4

60% ResilienceCore Task

Set up and operate drill presses to drill and tap holes in parts for assembly.

5

55% ResilienceCore Task

File, grind, shim, and adjust different parts to properly fit them together.

6

55% ResilienceCore Task

Measure, mark, and scribe metal or plastic stock to lay out machining, using instruments such as protractors, micrometers, scribes, and rulers.

7

50% ResilienceCore Task

Visualize and compute dimensions, sizes, shapes, and tolerances of assemblies, based on specifications.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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