Resilient
Last Update: 6/19/2026
AI Resilience Score for Surgeons, All Other:
72.8%
Median Score
Meaningful human contribution
Measures the parts of the occupation that still require a human touch. This score averages data from up to four AI exposure datasets, focusing on the role’s resilience against automation.
High
Long-term employer demand
Predicts the health of the job market for this role through 2034. Using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, it balances projected annual job openings (60%) with overall employment growth (40%).
Low
Sustained economic opportunity
Measures future earning potential and career flexibility. This score is a blend of total projected labor income (67%) and the role’s inherent ability to adapt to economic and technological shifts (33%).
High
This reflects the reliability of your score based on the number of data sources available for this career and how closely those sources agree on the outlook. A higher confidence means more consistent evidence from labor experts and AI models.
There are a reasonable number of sources for this result, but there is some disagreement between them.
Contributing sources
AI Resilience Report forSurgeons, All Other
>$239,200 median salary•600 annual openings•SOC Code: 29-1249.00
Surgeons, All Other are more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 4 sources.
Surgeons are labeled "Resilient" because the core of their work, which includes making life-or-death decisions under pressure, performing precise physical procedures, and communicating with patients and families during some of the hardest moments of their lives, simply cannot be handed off to an algorithm. While AI is making real progress in labs (like the Johns Hopkins system that removed a gallbladder on a realistic model using voice commands), regulatory hurdles, liability questions, and the need for human accountability mean autonomous surgical AI is far from the operating room in real life.
Learn more about how you can thrive in this position
Learn more about how you can thrive in this position
This role is resilient
Surgeons are labeled "Resilient" because the core of their work, which includes making life-or-death decisions under pressure, performing precise physical procedures, and communicating with patients and families during some of the hardest moments of their lives, simply cannot be handed off to an algorithm. While AI is making real progress in labs (like the Johns Hopkins system that removed a gallbladder on a realistic model using voice commands), regulatory hurdles, liability questions, and the need for human accountability mean autonomous surgical AI is far from the operating room in real life.
Read full analysisAnalysis of Current AI Resilience
Surgeons, All Other
Updated Quarterly

How is AI changing Surgeons, All Other jobs?
Right now, AI in surgery is mostly about augmentation, not replacement — meaning it helps surgeons rather than taking over their job. According to the American College of Surgeons, AI offers a unique opportunity to transform the way complex care is delivered, integrating preoperative diagnostics, intraoperative guidance, and postoperative monitoring into a coordinated system that can reduce delays and streamline critical decision-making, as described in the ACS Bulletin's January 2026 piece on the "AI Avalanche" [1]. That same article notes advanced imaging now provides rapid 3-D reconstructions in the OR, while robotics paired with AI analytics enable detailed assessments of surgical technique and performance.
On the autonomy front, big leaps are happening — but in labs, not patients. New Atlas reported [2] that Johns Hopkins researchers built a system called SRT-H that conducted a gallbladder removal on its own with just voice commands, like a theater team assisting the lead surgeon, absorbing its training and adjusting in real-time when needed. Still, this was done on a realistic model — not a living patient.
Surgeons themselves are using AI more for paperwork than for cutting. The AMA's 2026 physician survey [3] found doctors most often use AI for summaries of medical research and standards of care (39%), creation of discharge instructions, care plans or progress notes (30%), documentation of billing codes and medical charts (28%), and chart summaries (28%) — exactly the kinds of admin-heavy tasks O*NET flags as automatable for surgeons.
Sources

How fast is AI adoption growing for Surgeons, All Other?
Adoption will likely be fast in back-office tasks and slow in the operating room itself. Deloitte's 2026 research [4] found over 80% of health care executives expect both agentic AI and generative AI to deliver moderate-to-significant value across clinical, business, and back-office functions in 2026, and more than 80% of health systems are prioritizing agentic AI for clinical operations and care delivery, as well as revenue cycle management. That fits the AMA finding that seven in 10 physicians see AI as a tool to automate tasks that contribute to work-related burnout [3].
But for actual surgical decisions, big hurdles slow things down. Doctors are cautious — 88% reported at least some concern about AI-related skill loss, and 70% are "very" or "somewhat" concerned about loss of physician skills among students and residents being trained today. Regulation is another roadblock: a May 2026 analysis from Frontiers in Science [5] warns that AI must sustain — not disrupt — operating rooms, with use safeguarded by robust human and regulatory oversight, and surgeons remaining chief decision-makers.
The ACS also raises liability questions: if a critical negative event occurs, who is responsible — the manufacturer, the software, the hospital, or the surgeon?
Sources

Will AI replace Surgeons, All Other?
No. We don't think AI will replace Surgeons, All Other, but we do expect the tools around them to change significantly.
That confidence comes from a 72.8% AI Resilience Score, driven largely by how much of this job still requires a human in the room. Right now, AI in surgery is mostly about assistance, not autonomy. Advanced imaging and robotics help surgeons assess technique and make faster decisions [1], and most physicians are using AI for charting, documentation, and research summaries rather than anything close to cutting [3]. Even the most impressive autonomous surgical demos, like Johns Hopkins' system that removed a gallbladder on its own, happened on a realistic model, not a living patient [2].
The bigger hurdles to replacement are not just technical. Regulation, liability, and the trust patients place in a human surgeon all slow things down. Frontiers in Science notes that surgeons must remain chief decision-makers, with robust oversight in place [5]. Meanwhile, over 80% of health system executives expect AI to deliver real value in back-office and clinical operations [4], which points to a future where surgeons spend less time on paperwork and more time on the high-stakes, human work that actually needs them. Job market growth is modest, but the core role stays firmly human.
Sources

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Latest AI news for Surgeons, All Other
These articles highlight the evolving role of AI in surgery, emphasizing its potential to enhance, rather than replace, the surgeon's role. For instance, the Belgian AI assistant showcased at a surgical conference demonstrates how real-time support can improve surgical outcomes. Additionally, research indicating that AI can predict complications better than doctors suggests that embracing these technologies can lead to better patient care. As students enter this field, understanding AI’s role will be crucial for staying relevant and resilient in their careers.

AMA: AI usage among doctors doubles as confidence in technology grows
www.ama-assn.org • 3/12/2026
CHICAGO — New research from the American Medical Association's Center for Digital Health and AI shows that physicians' adoption of augmented...

Belgian world first: Surgeon receives support from voice-controlled AI assistant
www.belganewsagency.eu • 2/27/2026
During a surgical conference in Ghent, a voice-controlled AI assistant was presented that supports doctors in real time during robotic...

AI fares better than doctors at predicting deadly complications after surgery
hub.jhu.edu • 9/17/2025
Johns Hopkins researchers create an artificial intelligence model to mine rich, predictive data from routine ECG tests.

Founder of Google's Generative AI Team Says Don't Even Bother Getting a Law or Medical Degree, Because AI's Going to Destroy Both Those Careers Before You Can Even Graduate
futurism.com • 8/20/2025
One of the pioneers of artificial intelligence at Google is warning the potential doctors and lawyers of tomorrow that AI might steal their...

Surgeons Should Be “At the Table” in This AI Era
www.facs.org • 3/5/2025
This interview with Dr. Carla Pugh addresses the need for different levels of assessment for surgeons using AI technology.
More Career Info
Career: Surgeons, All Other
They perform specialized operations to fix medical issues, help patients heal, and improve their health.
Parent Careers
Similar Careers
Employment & Wage Data
Median Wage
>=$239,200
Jobs (2024)
25,100
Growth (2024-34)
+3.9%
Annual Openings
600
Education
Doctoral or professional degree
Experience
None
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034
Task-Level AI Resilience Scores
AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years
1
Operate on patients to correct deformities, repair injuries, prevent and treat diseases, or improve or restore patients' functions.
2
Follow established surgical techniques during the operation.
3
Provide consultation and surgical assistance to other physicians and surgeons.
4
Direct and coordinate activities of nurses, assistants, specialists, residents, and other medical staff.
5
Refer patient to medical specialist or other practitioners when necessary.
6
Examine patient to obtain information on medical condition and surgical risk.
7
Diagnose bodily disorders and orthopedic conditions and provide treatments, such as medicines and surgeries, in clinics, hospital wards, and operating rooms.
Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.
