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The AI Resilience Report helps you understand how AI is likely to impact your current or future career. Drawing on data from over 1,500 occupations, it provides a clear snapshot to support informed career decisions.
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Last Update: 5/19/2026
Your role’s AI Resilience Score is
Median Score
Meaningful human contribution
Measures the parts of the occupation that still require a human touch. This score averages data from up to four AI exposure datasets, focusing on the role’s resilience against automation.
High
Long-term employer demand
Predicts the health of the job market for this role through 2034. Using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, it balances projected annual job openings (60%) with overall employment growth (40%).
Low
Sustained economic opportunity
Measures future earning potential and career flexibility. This score is a blend of total projected labor income (67%) and the role’s inherent ability to adapt to economic and technological shifts (33%).
High
This reflects the reliability of your score based on the number of data sources available for this career and how closely those sources agree on the outlook. A higher confidence means more consistent evidence from labor experts and AI models.
There are a reasonable number of sources for this result, but there is some disagreement between them.
Contributing sources
Surgeons, All Other are more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 4 sources.
Surgeons are labeled "Resilient" because the heart of their work — making split-second decisions in the operating room, performing precise physical procedures, and connecting with patients and families during some of the most stressful moments of their lives — is something AI simply can't replicate right now. While AI is already stepping in to handle time-consuming tasks like charting, billing, and research summaries, the actual act of surgery still requires a human expert who can adapt, take responsibility, and exercise judgment under pressure.
Read full analysisLearn more about how you can thrive in this position
Learn more about how you can thrive in this position
This role is resilient
Surgeons are labeled "Resilient" because the heart of their work — making split-second decisions in the operating room, performing precise physical procedures, and connecting with patients and families during some of the most stressful moments of their lives — is something AI simply can't replicate right now. While AI is already stepping in to handle time-consuming tasks like charting, billing, and research summaries, the actual act of surgery still requires a human expert who can adapt, take responsibility, and exercise judgment under pressure.
Read full analysisAnalysis of Current AI Resilience
Surgeons, All Other
Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 5/14/2026

Right now, AI in surgery is mostly about augmentation, not replacement — meaning it helps surgeons rather than taking over their job. According to the American College of Surgeons, AI offers a unique opportunity to transform the way complex care is delivered, integrating preoperative diagnostics, intraoperative guidance, and postoperative monitoring into a coordinated system that can reduce delays and streamline critical decision-making, as described in the ACS Bulletin's January 2026 piece on the "AI Avalanche" [1]. That same article notes advanced imaging now provides rapid 3-D reconstructions in the OR, while robotics paired with AI analytics enable detailed assessments of surgical technique and performance.
On the autonomy front, big leaps are happening — but in labs, not patients. New Atlas reported [2] that Johns Hopkins researchers built a system called SRT-H that conducted a gallbladder removal on its own with just voice commands, like a theater team assisting the lead surgeon, absorbing its training and adjusting in real-time when needed. Still, this was done on a realistic model — not a living patient.
Surgeons themselves are using AI more for paperwork than for cutting. The AMA's 2026 physician survey [3] found doctors most often use AI for summaries of medical research and standards of care (39%), creation of discharge instructions, care plans or progress notes (30%), documentation of billing codes and medical charts (28%), and chart summaries (28%) — exactly the kinds of admin-heavy tasks O*NET flags as automatable for surgeons.

Adoption will likely be fast in back-office tasks and slow in the operating room itself. Deloitte's 2026 research [4] found over 80% of health care executives expect both agentic AI and generative AI to deliver moderate-to-significant value across clinical, business, and back-office functions in 2026, and more than 80% of health systems are prioritizing agentic AI for clinical operations and care delivery, as well as revenue cycle management. That fits the AMA finding that seven in 10 physicians see AI as a tool to automate tasks that contribute to work-related burnout [3].
But for actual surgical decisions, big hurdles slow things down. Doctors are cautious — 88% reported at least some concern about AI-related skill loss, and 70% are "very" or "somewhat" concerned about loss of physician skills among students and residents being trained today. Regulation is another roadblock: a May 2026 analysis from Frontiers in Science [5] warns that AI must sustain — not disrupt — operating rooms, with use safeguarded by robust human and regulatory oversight, and surgeons remaining chief decision-makers.
The ACS also raises liability questions: if a critical negative event occurs, who is responsible — the manufacturer, the software, the hospital, or the surgeon?

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They perform specialized operations to fix medical issues, help patients heal, and improve their health.
Median Wage
>=$239,200
Jobs (2024)
25,100
Growth (2024-34)
+3.9%
Annual Openings
600
Education
Doctoral or professional degree
Experience
None
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034
AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years
Operate on patients to correct deformities, repair injuries, prevent and treat diseases, or improve or restore patients' functions.
Follow established surgical techniques during the operation.
Provide consultation and surgical assistance to other physicians and surgeons.
Direct and coordinate activities of nurses, assistants, specialists, residents, and other medical staff.
Refer patient to medical specialist or other practitioners when necessary.
Examine patient to obtain information on medical condition and surgical risk.
Diagnose bodily disorders and orthopedic conditions and provide treatments, such as medicines and surgeries, in clinics, hospital wards, and operating rooms.
Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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