Mostly Resilient

Last Update: 11/4/2026

AI Resilience Score for Surgeons, All Other:

58.4%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

High

Long-term employer demand

Low

Sustained economic opportunity

High

Our confidence in this score:
Low-medium

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient surgery in specialized roles is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from six AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, Will Robots Take My Job, OpenAI Signals, and Google ATLAS. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For surgeons in specialized roles, only five of nine sources had data, which is why confidence sits at low-medium. AI exposure was split: our AI Resilience Model flagged concern, while Will Robots Take My Job and OpenAI Signals both saw the hands-on nature of surgery as hard to automate. Strong pay kept economic opportunity high, but weak hiring projections pulled demand down, landing this career at "Mostly Resilient."

AI Resilience Report forSurgeons, All Other

$414,010 median salary•700 annual openings•SOC Code: 29-1249.00

Surgeons, All Other are somewhat more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 5 sources.

Surgeons earn a "Mostly Resilient" label because the heart of their work, which includes making real-time decisions in the operating room, using precise physical skills, and earning patient trust, remains deeply human in ways that AI simply cannot replicate right now. AI is definitely changing parts of the job, especially the paperwork side, since tools are already handling things like visit notes, billing codes, and chart summaries, which actually frees surgeons up to focus more on patients.

Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

This role is mostly resilient

Surgeons earn a "Mostly Resilient" label because the heart of their work, which includes making real-time decisions in the operating room, using precise physical skills, and earning patient trust, remains deeply human in ways that AI simply cannot replicate right now. AI is definitely changing parts of the job, especially the paperwork side, since tools are already handling things like visit notes, billing codes, and chart summaries, which actually frees surgeons up to focus more on patients.

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Analysis of current AI resilience

Surgeons, All Other

Updated quarterly

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How can Surgeons, All Other prepare for AI?

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Latest AI news for Surgeons, All Other

These articles highlight the evolving role of AI in surgical careers, emphasizing that while AI can enhance surgical systems and support precision in procedures, it won't replace surgeons. For example, AI can provide real-time guidance in underserved areas, improving access to care. Additionally, the articles stress that the complex, patient-facing nature of surgery requires human expertise, ensuring that careers in this field remain resilient. Embracing AI as a supportive tool can enhance skills and improve outcomes in surgical practices.

More Career Info

Career: Surgeons, All Other

They perform specialized operations to fix medical issues, help patients heal, and improve their health.

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$414,010

Jobs (2025)

27,500

Growth (2025-35)

+4.0%

Annual Openings

700

Education

Doctoral or professional degree

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025-2035

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

96% ResilienceCore Task

Operate on patients to correct deformities, repair injuries, prevent and treat diseases, or improve or restore patients' functions.

2

94% ResilienceCore Task

Follow established surgical techniques during the operation.

3

92% ResilienceCore Task

Provide consultation and surgical assistance to other physicians and surgeons.

4

91% ResilienceSupplemental

Conduct research to develop and test surgical techniques that can improve operating procedures and outcomes.

5

90% ResilienceCore Task

Direct and coordinate activities of nurses, assistants, specialists, residents, and other medical staff.

6

88% ResilienceCore Task

Diagnose bodily disorders and orthopedic conditions and provide treatments, such as medicines and surgeries, in clinics, hospital wards, and operating rooms.

7

86% ResilienceCore Task

Examine patient to obtain information on medical condition and surgical risk.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

The AI Resilience Report is a project from CareerVillage.org®, a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit.

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