Mostly Resilient

Last Update: 11/4/2026

AI Resilience Score for Natural Sciences Managers:

63.9%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

Med

Long-term employer demand

Med

Sustained economic opportunity

High

Our confidence in this score:
Medium-high

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient natural sciences management is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from six AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, Will Robots Take My Job, OpenAI Signals, and Google ATLAS. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For natural sciences managers, eight of nine sources had data, with Adaptive Capacity missing. AI exposure sources mostly agreed, clustering around Medium, though Will Robots Take My Job saw stronger human contribution and AI Resilience Model saw more risk. That spread holds confidence at medium-high. Strong pay signals lifted the score, landing this role at "Mostly Resilient."

AI Resilience Report forNatural Sciences Managers

$167,220 median salary•9,200 annual openings•SOC Code: 11-9121.00

Natural Sciences Managers are somewhat more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 7 sources.

Natural Sciences Managers are labeled "Mostly Resilient" because the heart of this job, leading teams, mentoring scientists, making judgment calls, and taking responsibility for research direction, relies on deeply human skills that AI simply cannot replicate. While AI is taking over more routine tasks like budget checks, grant drafts, and even some experimental planning, it is acting as a powerful assistant rather than a replacement, freeing managers to focus on the work that truly requires human wisdom.

Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

This role is mostly resilient

Natural Sciences Managers are labeled "Mostly Resilient" because the heart of this job, leading teams, mentoring scientists, making judgment calls, and taking responsibility for research direction, relies on deeply human skills that AI simply cannot replicate. While AI is taking over more routine tasks like budget checks, grant drafts, and even some experimental planning, it is acting as a powerful assistant rather than a replacement, freeing managers to focus on the work that truly requires human wisdom.

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Analysis of current AI resilience

Natural Sciences Managers

Updated quarterly

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Latest AI news for Natural Sciences Managers

These articles highlight the growing importance of AI in the field of natural sciences management. The HHS strategy emphasizes AI’s role in health innovation, suggesting that managers in this sector will need to integrate AI solutions into their projects. Additionally, the Stanford HAI Lab’s research on AI's impact in workplaces indicates that natural sciences managers must adapt to new technologies and collaborative environments. By embracing AI, future managers can enhance their leadership skills and drive innovation, ensuring they remain resilient in a rapidly evolving job landscape.

More Career Info

Career: Natural Sciences Managers

They lead and coordinate the work of scientists by planning projects, organizing research, and making sure everything runs smoothly and on time.

Parent Careers

Alternate Titles

Chemical Process Exploration Manager · Environmental Program Manager · Natural Sciences Manager · Research and Development Director (R and D Director) · Analytical Services Manager · Chemical Engineer Supervisor · Lab Manager (Laboratory Manager) · Research Administrator · Research Manager · Water Team Leader

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$167,220

Jobs (2025)

112,200

Growth (2025-35)

+8.2%

Annual Openings

9,200

Education

Bachelor's degree

Experience

5 years or more

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025-2035

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

94% ResilienceCore Task

Hire, supervise, or evaluate engineers, technicians, researchers, or other staff.

2

93% ResilienceCore Task

Plan or direct research, development, or production activities.

3

93% ResilienceSupplemental

Provide for stewardship of plant or animal resources or habitats, studying land use, monitoring animal populations, or providing shelter, resources, or medical treatment for animals.

4

92% ResilienceCore Task

Confer with scientists, engineers, regulators, or others to plan or review projects or to provide technical assistance.

5

92% ResilienceCore Task

Recruit personnel or oversee the development or maintenance of staff competence.

6

91% ResilienceCore Task

Determine scientific or technical goals within broad outlines provided by top management and make detailed plans to accomplish these goals.

7

90% ResilienceCore Task

Develop client relationships and communicate with clients to explain proposals, present research findings, establish specifications, or discuss project status.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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