Not Very Resilient

Last Update: 5/19/2026

Your role’s AI Resilience Score is

32.5%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

Med

Long-term employer demand

Med

Sustained economic opportunity

Low

Our confidence in this score:
High

Contributing sources

AI Resilience Report forMultiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

Multiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic are less resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 6 sources.

This career is labeled "Not Very Resilient" because many of its core tasks — like manually operating machines, positioning workpieces, and monitoring equipment — are being directly targeted by AI and robotics systems that can now handle these jobs faster and more consistently than humans. The BLS projects a 7% decline in employment through 2034, and the shift toward CNC technology means companies increasingly need programmers and technical specialists rather than traditional machine operators.

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This role is not very resilient

This career is labeled "Not Very Resilient" because many of its core tasks — like manually operating machines, positioning workpieces, and monitoring equipment — are being directly targeted by AI and robotics systems that can now handle these jobs faster and more consistently than humans. The BLS projects a 7% decline in employment through 2034, and the shift toward CNC technology means companies increasingly need programmers and technical specialists rather than traditional machine operators.

Read full analysis

Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Machine Tool Operator

Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 5/14/2026

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

How is AI changing Machine Tool Operator jobs?

If you're worried that robots are taking over factory floors, here's the honest picture: in metal and plastic machine shops, AI is mostly augmenting workers right now, not fully replacing them. According to the National Association of Manufacturers' 2026 trends report [1], systems that once made recommendations now adjust equipment automatically, and manufacturing facilities are becoming more connected, with a network of sensors, analytics engines and automated controls working as single ecosystems. Operators are now focusing more on managing exceptions and validating system decisions rather than performing manual interventions.

New tools are tackling the tasks that used to require constant human hands. Modern Machine Shop reports [2] that Vention's new AI Operator uses its MachineMotion AI controller, NVIDIA's Isaac AI platform and a camera mounted on the robot's wrist to easily automate bin-picking and other tasks that require picking parts presented in an unstructured manner — exactly the kind of "position the workpiece" job that used to be 100% manual. Meanwhile, SME's Advanced Manufacturing publication [3] notes that AI monitoring catches problems like overheated spindle bearings and cycle-time anomalies before they cause downtime.

The World Economic Forum highlights [4] that with Physical AI, robots are gaining the ability to perceive, learn and respond to more complex environments while supporting a wider range of tasks and use cases. This shift comes at a critical time as manufacturers navigate rising costs, workforce shortages and shifting customer expectations.

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AI Adoption

How fast is AI adoption growing for Machine Tool Operator?

Adoption is real but uneven. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics projects [5] that overall employment of metal and plastic machine workers is projected to decline 7 percent from 2024 to 2034, with about 87,900 openings projected each year on average — almost all from workers transferring or retiring. The BLS also explains that many firms are continuing to expand the use of technologies like CNC tools and robots to improve quality and lower production costs, and the use of CNC equipment requires CNC tool programmers instead of machine setters, operators, and tenders — so jobs aren't disappearing overnight, but they are shifting toward more technical roles [5].

What's speeding adoption? Persistent labor shortages and the chance to run "lights-out" production. What's slowing it down?

Cost and skills. McKinsey's January 2026 analysis [6] found that although almost 80 percent of companies are using gen AI, more than 60 percent still struggle to turn it into real productivity gains because frontline workers need new skills first. The good news for high schoolers: tasks that need judgment, hands-on setup, troubleshooting jammed parts, and interpreting blueprints remain hard to automate.

If you learn CNC programming, robotics maintenance, or AI-system monitoring, you'll likely be the person running the smart factory — not competing with it.

Sources

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More Career Info

Career: Multiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

They operate and adjust machines to shape metal and plastic parts, ensuring everything runs smoothly and meets quality standards.

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$46,060

Jobs (2024)

131,000

Growth (2024-34)

-0.5%

Annual Openings

12,800

Education

High school diploma or equivalent

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

82% ResilienceCore Task

Position, adjust, and secure stock material or workpieces against stops, on arbors, or in chucks, fixtures, or automatic feeding mechanisms, manually or using hoists.

2

80% ResilienceCore Task

Select, install, and adjust alignment of drills, cutters, dies, guides, and holding devices, using templates, measuring instruments, and hand tools.

3

80% ResilienceCore Task

Set machine stops or guides to specified lengths as indicated by scales, rules, or templates.

4

78% ResilienceCore Task

Set up and operate machines, such as lathes, cutters, shears, borers, millers, grinders, presses, drills, and auxiliary machines, to make metallic and plastic workpieces.

5

75% ResilienceCore Task

Change worn machine accessories, such as cutting tools and brushes, using hand tools.

6

72% ResilienceCore Task

Instruct other workers in machine set-up and operation.

7

70% ResilienceCore Task

Make minor electrical and mechanical repairs and adjustments to machines and notify supervisors when major service is required.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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