CLOSE
The AI Resilience Report helps you understand how AI is likely to impact your current or future career. Drawing on data from over 1,500 occupations, it provides a clear snapshot to support informed career decisions.
Navigate your career with your free AI Career Coach. Research-backed, designed with career experts.
The AI Resilience Report is a project from CareerVillage®, a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit.
Last Update: 5/19/2026
Your role’s AI Resilience Score is
Median Score
Meaningful human contribution
Measures the parts of the occupation that still require a human touch. This score averages data from up to four AI exposure datasets, focusing on the role’s resilience against automation.
Med
Long-term employer demand
Predicts the health of the job market for this role through 2034. Using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, it balances projected annual job openings (60%) with overall employment growth (40%).
Med
Sustained economic opportunity
Measures future earning potential and career flexibility. This score is a blend of total projected labor income (67%) and the role’s inherent ability to adapt to economic and technological shifts (33%).
Low
This reflects the reliability of your score based on the number of data sources available for this career and how closely those sources agree on the outlook. A higher confidence means more consistent evidence from labor experts and AI models.
This result is backed by strong agreement across multiple data sources.
Contributing sources
Multiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic are less resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 6 sources.
This career is labeled "Not Very Resilient" because many of its core tasks — like manually operating machines, positioning workpieces, and monitoring equipment — are being directly targeted by AI and robotics systems that can now handle these jobs faster and more consistently than humans. The BLS projects a 7% decline in employment through 2034, and the shift toward CNC technology means companies increasingly need programmers and technical specialists rather than traditional machine operators.
Read full analysisLearn more about how you can thrive in this position
Learn more about how you can thrive in this position
This role is not very resilient
This career is labeled "Not Very Resilient" because many of its core tasks — like manually operating machines, positioning workpieces, and monitoring equipment — are being directly targeted by AI and robotics systems that can now handle these jobs faster and more consistently than humans. The BLS projects a 7% decline in employment through 2034, and the shift toward CNC technology means companies increasingly need programmers and technical specialists rather than traditional machine operators.
Read full analysisAnalysis of Current AI Resilience
Machine Tool Operator
Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 5/14/2026

If you're worried that robots are taking over factory floors, here's the honest picture: in metal and plastic machine shops, AI is mostly augmenting workers right now, not fully replacing them. According to the National Association of Manufacturers' 2026 trends report [1], systems that once made recommendations now adjust equipment automatically, and manufacturing facilities are becoming more connected, with a network of sensors, analytics engines and automated controls working as single ecosystems. Operators are now focusing more on managing exceptions and validating system decisions rather than performing manual interventions.
New tools are tackling the tasks that used to require constant human hands. Modern Machine Shop reports [2] that Vention's new AI Operator uses its MachineMotion AI controller, NVIDIA's Isaac AI platform and a camera mounted on the robot's wrist to easily automate bin-picking and other tasks that require picking parts presented in an unstructured manner — exactly the kind of "position the workpiece" job that used to be 100% manual. Meanwhile, SME's Advanced Manufacturing publication [3] notes that AI monitoring catches problems like overheated spindle bearings and cycle-time anomalies before they cause downtime.
The World Economic Forum highlights [4] that with Physical AI, robots are gaining the ability to perceive, learn and respond to more complex environments while supporting a wider range of tasks and use cases. This shift comes at a critical time as manufacturers navigate rising costs, workforce shortages and shifting customer expectations.

Adoption is real but uneven. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics projects [5] that overall employment of metal and plastic machine workers is projected to decline 7 percent from 2024 to 2034, with about 87,900 openings projected each year on average — almost all from workers transferring or retiring. The BLS also explains that many firms are continuing to expand the use of technologies like CNC tools and robots to improve quality and lower production costs, and the use of CNC equipment requires CNC tool programmers instead of machine setters, operators, and tenders — so jobs aren't disappearing overnight, but they are shifting toward more technical roles [5].
What's speeding adoption? Persistent labor shortages and the chance to run "lights-out" production. What's slowing it down?
Cost and skills. McKinsey's January 2026 analysis [6] found that although almost 80 percent of companies are using gen AI, more than 60 percent still struggle to turn it into real productivity gains because frontline workers need new skills first. The good news for high schoolers: tasks that need judgment, hands-on setup, troubleshooting jammed parts, and interpreting blueprints remain hard to automate.
If you learn CNC programming, robotics maintenance, or AI-system monitoring, you'll likely be the person running the smart factory — not competing with it.

Help us improve this report.
Tell us if this analysis feels accurate or we missed something.
Share your feedback
Navigate your career with COACH, your free AI Career Coach. Research-backed, designed with career experts.
They operate and adjust machines to shape metal and plastic parts, ensuring everything runs smoothly and meets quality standards.
Median Wage
$46,060
Jobs (2024)
131,000
Growth (2024-34)
-0.5%
Annual Openings
12,800
Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Experience
None
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034
AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years
Position, adjust, and secure stock material or workpieces against stops, on arbors, or in chucks, fixtures, or automatic feeding mechanisms, manually or using hoists.
Select, install, and adjust alignment of drills, cutters, dies, guides, and holding devices, using templates, measuring instruments, and hand tools.
Set machine stops or guides to specified lengths as indicated by scales, rules, or templates.
Set up and operate machines, such as lathes, cutters, shears, borers, millers, grinders, presses, drills, and auxiliary machines, to make metallic and plastic workpieces.
Change worn machine accessories, such as cutting tools and brushes, using hand tools.
Instruct other workers in machine set-up and operation.
Make minor electrical and mechanical repairs and adjustments to machines and notify supervisors when major service is required.
Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

© 2026 CareerVillage.org. All rights reserved.
The AI Resilience Report is a project from CareerVillage.org®, a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit.
Built with ❤️ by Sandbox Web
The AI Resilience Report is governed by CareerVillage.org’s Privacy Policy and Terms of Service. This site is not affiliated with Anthropic, Microsoft, or any other data provider and doesn't necessarily represent their viewpoints. This site is being actively updated, and may sometimes contain errors or require improvement in wording or data. To report an error or request a change, please contact air@careervillage.org.