Somewhat Resilient

Last Update: 6/19/2026

AI Resilience Score for Material Moving Workers:

44.4%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

Med

Long-term employer demand

Med

Sustained economic opportunity

Low

Our confidence in this score:
Low-medium

Contributing sources

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient material moving work is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from four AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, and Will Robots Take My Job. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For material moving workers, only four of the seven sources had data, which is why confidence sits at low-medium. The sources that did weigh in mostly agreed: AI exposure is moderate, demand is steady, but pay and mobility are limited. That weak economic opportunity score pulled things down, landing this career at "Somewhat Resilient."

AI Resilience Report forMaterial Moving Workers, All Other

$41,690 median salary3,100 annual openingsSOC Code: 53-7199.00

Material Moving Workers, All Other are somewhat less resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 4 sources.

Material moving work is labeled "Somewhat Resilient" because automation is genuinely changing big parts of this field, especially in large warehouses where autonomous forklifts and robots are already handling routine, repetitive trips that humans used to do. At the same time, messy, unpredictable environments like construction sites still need real people, and even in warehouses, someone has to set up, supervise, and troubleshoot the machines.

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This role is somewhat resilient

Material moving work is labeled "Somewhat Resilient" because automation is genuinely changing big parts of this field, especially in large warehouses where autonomous forklifts and robots are already handling routine, repetitive trips that humans used to do. At the same time, messy, unpredictable environments like construction sites still need real people, and even in warehouses, someone has to set up, supervise, and troubleshoot the machines.

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Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Material Moving Workers

Updated Quarterly

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

How is AI changing Material Moving Workers jobs?

If you've ever seen a forklift zipping around a warehouse or a crane lifting beams on a construction site, you're picturing the kind of work this job covers — and yes, AI is starting to share the driver's seat. Once fully human operated, AI is taking the driver's seat on industrial equipment like forklifts, and autonomous forklifts now use sensors, software and machine learning to move materials without a human behind the wheel, according to a Deseret News report on the autonomous forklift market [1]. The same article notes that automation and digital tech advancements now allow machines to operate continuously across a range of different warehouse conditions, whereas before, they were limited by human operating hours.

The biggest shift in 2026 is less about replacing operators and more about augmenting the workflow around them. The 2026 MHI Annual Industry Report, produced by trade association MHI and Deloitte [2], found that 41% of respondents said their company is currently using AI, up from 30% the previous year, with top use cases including predictive maintenance, automating decision making in operations, and optimizing transportation/logistics routes, as reported by DC Velocity [3]. At MODEX 2026, all 1,100 exhibiting companies were "all AI, all the time" [4], where Disney's Fred Cox told the audience that "automation technologies like robotics, AI, automated guided vehicles (AGVs), and wearables are transforming warehouses and manufacturing operations".

On the warehouse floor, Global Trade Magazine reports that AGVs and AMRs [5] replace manual trips, with AGVs suited for repetitive and fixed-route tasks while AMRs offer greater flexibility using advanced sensors and internal facility maps. On construction sites, the 2026 Zacua Ventures Construction Robotics Report [6] notes that case studies across layout, rebar tying, solar groundworks and autonomous scanning now show material labor savings often 30–50% and higher in some deployments.

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AI Adoption

How fast is AI adoption growing for Material Moving Workers?

Adoption is moving fast in big warehouses but more slowly elsewhere — and that's actually good news if you're entering this field. Speed is being driven by two forces: a stubborn labor shortage and clear safety wins. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Occupational Outlook Handbook [7] projects that despite only 1% employment growth from 2024 to 2034, about 83,200 openings for material moving machine operators are projected each year, mostly from the need to replace workers who transfer to different occupations or exit the labor force.

That means employers want machines that can run extra hours, not necessarily fewer humans. Safety is the other driver — DC Velocity coverage of the Industrial Truck Association's National Forklift Safety Day [3] emphasizes that compliance with safety regulations and best practices is critically important—not just for operators, but for everyone who works in a warehouse or DC, and autonomous systems help reduce injuries from repetitive or dangerous tasks.

But there are real brakes on adoption. The biggest obstacles to AI catching on for material handling and logistics professionals are the lack of real-world business cases and unclear ROI timelines, and 28% of respondents aren't using AI technologies at all for any supply chain purpose. Construction adds another wrinkle: on rough, dynamic construction jobsites, specialized machines will remain the workhorses rather than humanoids, and many tasks like handling slides, mud, or pit cleanings are messy and unpredictable.

The Zacua report [6] also stresses that human-robot teaming is the default operating model, with field staff already shifting into robot technologist roles — planning missions, supervising fleets and interpreting telemetry rather than doing every task by hand. So while routine indoor moves are most exposed, workers who learn to set up, inspect, and supervise these systems — exactly the higher-skill tasks O*NET flags as harder to automate — will be in demand for years to come.

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Will AI replace Material Moving Workers?

Will AI replace Material Moving Workers?

Not entirely. We think AI will take over some tasks, but not the whole job.

Material moving work is changing fast, especially inside warehouses. Autonomous forklifts now use sensors and machine learning to move goods without a human operator [1], and automated guided vehicles are already handling repetitive, fixed-route trips on warehouse floors [5]. That kind of routine indoor work is the most exposed part of this job.

But the full picture is more complicated. Construction sites are messy, unpredictable, and hard for machines to navigate reliably. Even in warehouses, the dominant model right now is human-robot teaming, where workers shift into roles like supervising fleets, planning missions, and interpreting data rather than doing every task by hand [6]. Employers are also still hiring at scale: the BLS projects roughly 83,200 openings per year through 2034, mostly to replace workers who leave, not because demand is surging [7].

Our 44.4% AI Resilience Score reflects a real but uneven threat. The economic outlook for this role is genuinely tight, so the smartest move is to build skills around the technology rather than compete against it. Workers who learn to set up, inspect, and supervise automated systems will be far harder to replace than those doing only routine manual moves.

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Latest AI news for Material Moving Workers

These articles highlight the evolving landscape for Material Moving Workers, emphasizing the need for adaptability in an AI-driven world. For instance, the DLA's training on AI tools illustrates how embracing technology can enhance supply chain forecasting, a critical aspect of logistics. Conversely, research from Stanford reveals that certain jobs, including those in material moving, may face greater risks from AI automation. Understanding these dynamics can help students prepare for a resilient future, where leveraging AI knowledge could become a key asset in their careers.

More Career Info

Career: Material Moving Workers, All Other

They move and organize materials using equipment like forklifts or cranes to keep goods flowing smoothly in warehouses or construction sites.

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$41,690

Jobs (2024)

27,700

Growth (2024-34)

+4.3%

Annual Openings

3,100

Education

No formal educational credential

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

92% ResilienceSupplemental

Direct ground workers engaged in activities such as moving stakes or markers, or changing positions of towers.

2

89% ResilienceSupplemental

Measure and verify levels of rock or gravel, bases, or other excavated material.

3

88% ResilienceCore Task

Move materials over short distances, such as around a construction site, factory, or warehouse.

4

87% ResilienceCore Task

Handle slides, mud, or pit cleanings or maintenance.

5

86% ResilienceCore Task

Operate machinery to perform activities such as backfilling excavations, vibrating or breaking rock or concrete, or making winter roads.

6

85% ResilienceCore Task

Become familiar with digging plans, machine capabilities and limitations, and with efficient and safe digging procedures in a given application.

7

84% ResilienceCore Task

Lubricate, adjust, or repair machinery and replace parts, such as gears, bearings, or bucket teeth.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

The AI Resilience Report is a project from CareerVillage.org®, a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit.

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