Evolving

Last Update: 2/17/2026

Your role’s AI Resilience Score is

47.5%

Median Score

Changing Fast

Evolving

Stable

Our confidence in this score:
Medium

What does this resilience result mean?

These roles are shifting as AI becomes part of everyday workflows. Expect new responsibilities and new opportunities.

AI Resilience Report for

Machinists

They shape and create metal parts by using machines, ensuring everything fits together perfectly for building things like cars and airplanes.

This role is evolving

Machinists are "Evolving" because many of their routine tasks, like cutting metal and monitoring machines, are increasingly being automated by advanced technologies like CNC machines and AI-driven systems. These tools can handle repetitive jobs, allowing one machinist to oversee several machines at once.

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This role is evolving

Machinists are "Evolving" because many of their routine tasks, like cutting metal and monitoring machines, are increasingly being automated by advanced technologies like CNC machines and AI-driven systems. These tools can handle repetitive jobs, allowing one machinist to oversee several machines at once.

Read full analysis

Contributing Sources

We aggregate scores from multiple models and supplement with employment projections for a more accurate picture of this occupation’s resilience. Expand to view all sources.

AI Resilience

AI Resilience Model v1.0

AI Task Resilience

Learn about this score
Changing fast iconChanging fast

5.6%

5.6%

Microsoft's Working with AI

AI Applicability

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Evolving iconEvolving

43.9%

43.9%

Anthropic's Economic Index

Stable iconStable

99%

99%

Will Robots Take My Job

Automation Resilience

Learn about this score
Changing fast iconChanging fast

27.5%

27.5%

Medium Demand

Labor Market Outlook

We use BLS employment projections to complement the AI-focused assessments from other sources.

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Growth Rate (2024-34):

0.0%

Growth Percentile:

26.1%

Annual Openings:

29,500

Annual Openings Pct:

74.4%

Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Machinists

Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 2/17/2026

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

What's changing and what's not

Machinists today already use a lot of automation. For example, O*NET lists “machine parts to specifications” (with lathes, mills, etc.) and “monitor the feed and speed of machines” as core tasks [1] [1]. In modern shops these tasks are mostly done by computer-controlled (CNC) machines.

CNC tools follow digital plans to cut metal, and many have built-in sensors that adjust speeds automatically. Some factories even use AI-driven vision systems to inspect parts – one report notes companies cut defects by 90% using computer-vision quality checks and predictive maintenance [2]. In practice, one machinist can now oversee several machines at once, thanks to these automated features [3].

Other tasks still need a human. For example, O*NET describes jobs like “study sample parts, blueprints, [and] drawings” and “diagnose machine tool malfunctions” [1] [1]. AI can help here (for instance, software can turn 3D CAD designs into tool paths), but reading complex blueprints and solving breakdowns usually rely on skilled workers.

Dismantling equipment and replacing worn parts is still done by hand [1]. In short, routine cutting and basic monitoring are largely automated by CNC and Internet-connected sensors today, but higher-level planning, troubleshooting, and hands-on repairs remain work for people.

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AI Adoption

AI in the real world

Several factors affect how fast shops adopt AI. On the plus side, AI tools can pay off quickly. Industry surveys find many manufacturers already use AI: one report said 53% of UK factories have some AI on the floor (with nearly all others planning to) [2].

That survey noted real benefits: computer-vision inspection and predictive maintenance cut defects by 90% and saved millions in under a year [2]. Since machinists earn good wages (around $22.50/hr on average [3]), companies may recover costs quickly through higher quality and efficiency. In areas where experienced machinists are retiring, basic AI programming tools and remote monitoring can help fill the gap.

These gains encourage early adoption.

On the other hand, adoption can be slow when technology is costly or doesn’t fit a small shop. High-precision machine tools and new software are expensive, and small shops often operate on tight budgets. With a machinist’s median pay under $50K a year [3], some businesses find it hard to justify big investments.

Also, machining can be very custom: one shop’s job might differ from the next, so off-the-shelf AI systems may not work for every part. Social and safety concerns also play a role – workers need time to trust and learn new tools. For now, BLS projects overall machining jobs to decline slightly (about 7% by 2034) [3] as automation grows, but it still predicts many openings as people retire.

In other words, while routine tasks are increasingly automated, skilled human operators remain essential – and most manufacturers are planning more AI support, not replacement [2] [3].

Sources

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More Career Info

Career: Machinists

Parent Careers

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$56,150

Jobs (2024)

299,500

Growth (2024-34)

+0.0%

Annual Openings

29,500

Education

High school diploma or equivalent

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

80% ResilienceSupplemental

Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

2

75% ResilienceSupplemental

Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

3

75% ResilienceSupplemental

Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

4

70% ResilienceCore Task

Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

5

70% ResilienceSupplemental

Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

6

70% ResilienceSupplemental

Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

7

65% ResilienceCore Task

Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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