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The AI Resilience Report helps you understand how AI is likely to impact your current or future career. Drawing on data from over 1,500 occupations, it provides a clear snapshot to support informed career decisions.
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Last Update: 5/19/2026
Your role’s AI Resilience Score is
Median Score
Meaningful human contribution
Measures the parts of the occupation that still require a human touch. This score averages data from up to four AI exposure datasets, focusing on the role’s resilience against automation.
Med
Long-term employer demand
Predicts the health of the job market for this role through 2034. Using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, it balances projected annual job openings (60%) with overall employment growth (40%).
Low
Sustained economic opportunity
Measures future earning potential and career flexibility. This score is a blend of total projected labor income (67%) and the role’s inherent ability to adapt to economic and technological shifts (33%).
Low
This reflects the reliability of your score based on the number of data sources available for this career and how closely those sources agree on the outlook. A higher confidence means more consistent evidence from labor experts and AI models.
There are a reasonable number of sources for this result, but there is some disagreement between them.
Contributing sources
Hoist and Winch Operators are less resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 5 sources.
Hoist and winch operating earns a "Not Very Resilient" label because the industry is steadily moving toward autonomous lifting equipment — and companies like Caterpillar are already rolling out self-operating machines in mining and construction that can handle many of the core tasks a human operator traditionally performs. The push is real: labor shortages and high insurance costs are giving employers strong financial reasons to invest in automation, and the technology is advancing quickly toward fully autonomous job sites.
Read full analysisLearn more about how you can thrive in this position
Learn more about how you can thrive in this position
This role is not very resilient
Hoist and winch operating earns a "Not Very Resilient" label because the industry is steadily moving toward autonomous lifting equipment — and companies like Caterpillar are already rolling out self-operating machines in mining and construction that can handle many of the core tasks a human operator traditionally performs. The push is real: labor shortages and high insurance costs are giving employers strong financial reasons to invest in automation, and the technology is advancing quickly toward fully autonomous job sites.
Read full analysisAnalysis of Current AI Resilience
Hoist and Winch Operators
Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 5/14/2026

If you're worried that AI is about to take over the controls of a winch or hoist, here's the honest update: most of what's happening right now is augmentation, not full replacement. The biggest news in early 2026 came from Caterpillar, which is piloting an "AI Assistant" built on Nvidia's Jetson Thor platform that can help answer a machine operator's questions, allow them to access resources, offer safety tips, and schedule services. In other words, AI is becoming a helpful co-pilot for the human running the lift.
Caterpillar's chief data and AI VP notes the company already has fully autonomous vehicles in the mining sector, and that data from machines sending roughly 2,000 messages back to the company every second is fueling digital-twin simulations of job sites. Sister machines like autonomous trucks, dozers, and excavators are now being rolled out across construction [1], and Europe-wide industry watchers say the next leap is from autonomous machines to fully autonomous job sites [2]. Academic reviews of AI in on-site construction robotics [3] confirm cranes and lifting equipment are getting "sense–think–act" capabilities — computer vision for spotting loads, AI for planning lifts, and automated controls for execution — but full autonomy on messy, unpredictable job sites is still rare.

Adoption will likely be steady but slow for most hoist and winch jobs. On the "speed up" side, there's a real crane operator shortage [4] and high insurance costs, which push employers to invest in tech. The American Society of Safety Professionals' 2025 Construction Industry Safety Challenges report [5] highlights how labor shortages and rising costs, to the adoption of new technologies and the industry's increasing focus on worker well-being are all shaping safety investments.
On the "slow down" side, hoisting work happens outdoors in dust, weather, and chaos, where human judgment, signal-reading, and split-second safety calls still beat algorithms. Federal labor economists also note that automation technology has long been a factor impacting the job outlook for routine roles, but the BLS 2024–34 projections [6] emphasize physical, on-site jobs are less exposed than office work. Translation: your hands-on skills, safety certifications, and ability to communicate with a ground crew remain genuinely valuable — and learning to work alongside AI-assisted equipment may be the smartest career move you can make.

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They operate machines that lift and move heavy items, making sure everything is done safely and smoothly.
Median Wage
$52,310
Jobs (2024)
2,700
Growth (2024-34)
-1.1%
Annual Openings
300
Education
No formal educational credential
Experience
None
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034
AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years
Climb ladders to position and set up vehicle-mounted derricks.
Repair, maintain, and adjust equipment, using hand tools.
Apply hand or foot brakes and move levers to lock hoists or winches.
Tend auxiliary equipment, such as jacks, slings, cables, or stop blocks, to facilitate moving items or materials for further processing.
Attach, fasten, and disconnect cables or lines to loads, materials, and equipment, using hand tools.
Move or reposition hoists, winches, loads and materials, manually or using equipment and machines such as trucks, cars, and hand trucks.
Select loads or materials according to weight and size specifications.
Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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