Mostly Resilient
Last Update: 6/19/2026
AI Resilience Score for Landscaping Supervisors:
51.9%
Median Score
Meaningful human contribution
Measures the parts of the occupation that still require a human touch. This score averages data from up to four AI exposure datasets, focusing on the role’s resilience against automation.
Med
Long-term employer demand
Predicts the health of the job market for this role through 2034. Using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, it balances projected annual job openings (60%) with overall employment growth (40%).
Med
Sustained economic opportunity
Measures future earning potential and career flexibility. This score is a blend of total projected labor income (67%) and the role’s inherent ability to adapt to economic and technological shifts (33%).
Med
This reflects the reliability of your score based on the number of data sources available for this career and how closely those sources agree on the outlook. A higher confidence means more consistent evidence from labor experts and AI models.
This result is backed by strong agreement across multiple data sources.
Contributing sources
AI Resilience Report forFirst-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers
$56,170 median salary•23,200 annual openings•SOC Code: 37-1012.00
First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers are somewhat more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 7 sources.
This career is labeled "Mostly Resilient" because while AI and robots are taking over some tasks (like mowing open turf), the core of a supervisor's job relies on human skills that machines simply cannot replicate. Leading a crew, building relationships with clients, making judgment calls during unexpected situations like storm damage, and mentoring new workers all require the kind of people skills and adaptability that AI cannot replace.
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This career is labeled "Mostly Resilient" because while AI and robots are taking over some tasks (like mowing open turf), the core of a supervisor's job relies on human skills that machines simply cannot replicate. Leading a crew, building relationships with clients, making judgment calls during unexpected situations like storm damage, and mentoring new workers all require the kind of people skills and adaptability that AI cannot replace.
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View analysisChat with CoachLatest newsMore career infoAnalysisChatNewsMoreAnalysis of Current AI Resilience
Landscaping Supervisors
Updated Quarterly
How is AI changing Landscaping Supervisors jobs?
Right now, AI is mostly augmenting — not replacing — landscape supervisors. The biggest shift is happening with autonomous mowers. According to a trade publication report, one of the most significant advancements in autonomous mowing is the shift from traditional boundary wires to GPS and real-time kinematic (RTK) technology, along with a sophisticated blend of cameras and computer vision, inertial measurement units, ultrasonic and lidar sensors, and precision mapping.
These machines now travel with crews from site to site as "your next team member" [1], letting supervisors deploy people on detail work while a robot handles open turf. A May 2026 industry analysis [2] notes the industry is moving from "rule-based automation" to spatially intelligent systems using AI vision and RTK positioning.
Supervisors' administrative tasks are also being augmented. NALP's 2026 report found that 62% of commercial landscape companies are using seven or more software systems, with the most common being accounting, invoicing, estimating, marketing automation, payroll, GPS tracking, and end-to-end business management. AI design tools are also gaining traction — though industry experts emphasize that contractors "need AI to be a helper, not a doer" [1], assisting with imaging, CAD drawings, and estimates rather than running the job.
Sources
How fast is AI adoption growing for Landscaping Supervisors?
Adoption pressure is strong but uneven. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics projects [3] about 171,600 grounds-maintenance openings per year through 2034 — a chronic labor gap that pushes employers toward automation. NALP's survey confirms this: 54% cite recruiting and retaining staff as a major business risk, and 70% plan to raise wages, while the top reasons companies change software are to automate workflows (58%) and improve operational efficiency (51%).
Still, full adoption will be slow. Commercial autonomous mowers cost tens of thousands of dollars, and the work itself is messy, weather-exposed, and unpredictable — areas where humans still excel. The World Economic Forum's outlook [4] projects a net 78 million new roles by 2030 even as 22% of jobs change structurally, with human-centered skills remaining highly valued.
That's good news for you: supervisors who can lead crews, talk with clients, troubleshoot equipment, and learn new software will likely become more valuable, not less. The robot can mow the lawn, but it can't mentor a new hire, calm an upset homeowner, or decide what to do when a storm flattens a job site.
Sources
Will AI replace Landscaping Supervisors?
No. We don't think AI will replace First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers, though we do expect the job to change.
Our scorecard gives this role a 51.9% AI Resilience Score, which puts it in "Mostly Resilient" territory. The biggest shift already underway is autonomous mowing. GPS and computer-vision systems now let robots handle open turf while crews focus on detail work [1]. Administrative tasks are also getting automated, with the majority of commercial landscape companies running seven or more software systems for scheduling, estimating, and payroll. AI is genuinely changing the day-to-day, but it is augmenting supervisors, not replacing them.
What stays human is the core of the supervisor role: managing crews, reading a job site after a storm, keeping clients calm, and making judgment calls that no algorithm handles well. The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects roughly 171,600 grounds-maintenance openings per year through 2034 [3], driven partly by a chronic labor shortage that pushes companies toward automation tools rather than eliminating management roles. The World Economic Forum projects net job growth globally even as roles shift structurally [4].
If you are considering this path, the move is to get comfortable with new software and autonomous equipment early. Supervisors who can lead people and manage machines will be the ones companies compete to hire.
Sources
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Latest AI news for Landscaping Supervisors
These articles highlight how AI can enhance the role of First-Line Supervisors in landscaping. For instance, AI can assist in real-time decision-making to manage resources effectively, helping supervisors meet project targets. Additionally, understanding the automation risk score of 53/100 can prepare supervisors for the changes ahead, emphasizing the importance of adapting skills to leverage AI tools. Embracing these technologies can lead to increased efficiency and profitability in the landscaping industry, fostering resilience in your career.
Will AI Replace First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn ...
www.aiexposure.org • 6/20/2026
First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers have an AI automation risk score of 53/100. Learn about risk factors, ...
How Lawn and Landscape Companies Can Use AI ...
blog.landscapeprofessionals.org • 6/20/2026
Feb 7, 2025 — AI can help companies achieve their project targets with real-time adaptive decision-making to avoid the risk of labor or material variances. Read more
Your Next Star Employee? The AI Website Agent
www.landscapeleadership.com • 6/20/2026
Discover the power of AI website agents for your landscaping or lawn care business. Enhance user experience, improve service, and generate leads.
The Blue Collar Gold Rush: AI in Landscaping Industry
leanscaper.com • 6/20/2026
Discover how AI is revolutionizing the landscaping industry, creating opportunities and increasing profitability for skilled tradespeople.
Opinion | How AI is impacting 700 professions — and might impact yours
www.washingtonpost.com • 7/28/2025
Will AI help you work or replace you? Check yourself.
More Career Info
Career: First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers
They oversee teams that maintain and beautify outdoor spaces, ensuring tasks like mowing and planting are done correctly and safely.
Parent Careers
Employment & Wage Data
Median Wage
$56,170
Jobs (2024)
224,700
Growth (2024-34)
+2.3%
Annual Openings
23,200
Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Experience
Less than 5 years
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034
Task-Level AI Resilience Scores
AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years
1
Tour grounds, such as parks, botanical gardens, cemeteries, or golf courses, to inspect conditions of plants and soil.
2
Inventory supplies of tools, equipment, or materials to ensure that sufficient supplies are available and items are in usable condition.
3
Plant or maintain vegetation through activities such as mulching, fertilizing, watering, mowing, or pruning.
4
Direct activities of workers who perform duties such as landscaping, cultivating lawns, or pruning trees and shrubs.
5
Perform administrative duties, such as authorizing leaves or processing time sheets.
6
Establish and enforce operating procedures and work standards that will ensure adequate performance and personnel safety.
7
Review contracts or work assignments to determine service, machine, or workforce requirements for jobs.
Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.
