BETA
Updated: May 28
BETA
Updated: May 28
CLOSE
The AI Resilience Report helps you understand how AI is likely to impact your current or future career. Drawing on data from over 1,500 occupations, it provides a clear snapshot to support informed career decisions.
Navigate your career with your free AI Career Coach. Research-backed, designed with career experts.
The AI Resilience Report is a project from CareerVillage®, a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit.
Mostly Resilient
Last Update: 5/19/2026
Your role’s AI Resilience Score is
53.8%
Median Score
Meaningful human contribution
Measures the parts of the occupation that still require a human touch. This score averages data from up to four AI exposure datasets, focusing on the role’s resilience against automation.
Med
Long-term employer demand
Predicts the health of the job market for this role through 2034. Using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, it balances projected annual job openings (60%) with overall employment growth (40%).
Med
Sustained economic opportunity
Measures future earning potential and career flexibility. This score is a blend of total projected labor income (67%) and the role’s inherent ability to adapt to economic and technological shifts (33%).
Med
This reflects the reliability of your score based on the number of data sources available for this career and how closely those sources agree on the outlook. A higher confidence means more consistent evidence from labor experts and AI models.
This result is backed by strong agreement across multiple data sources.
Contributing sources
AI Resilience Report forFirst-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers
First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers are somewhat more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 7 sources.
This career holds up well against AI because the heart of the job — leading a crew, reading a job site, handling unexpected problems, and keeping clients happy — requires human judgment and people skills that robots simply can't replicate. AI and autonomous mowers are definitely changing some of the work, taking over repetitive tasks like mowing open turf so supervisors can focus on the detail work that actually requires experience and decision-making.
Read full analysisLearn more about how you can thrive in this position
View analysis
Chat with Coach
Latest news
More career infoAnalysisChatNewsMoreLearn more about how you can thrive in this position
View analysisChat with CoachLatest newsMore career infoAnalysisChatNewsMoreThis role is mostly resilient
This career holds up well against AI because the heart of the job — leading a crew, reading a job site, handling unexpected problems, and keeping clients happy — requires human judgment and people skills that robots simply can't replicate. AI and autonomous mowers are definitely changing some of the work, taking over repetitive tasks like mowing open turf so supervisors can focus on the detail work that actually requires experience and decision-making.
Read full analysisAnalysis of Current AI Resilience
Landscaping Supervisors
Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 5/14/2026
How is AI changing Landscaping Supervisors jobs?
Right now, AI is mostly augmenting — not replacing — landscape supervisors. The biggest shift is happening with autonomous mowers. According to a trade publication report, one of the most significant advancements in autonomous mowing is the shift from traditional boundary wires to GPS and real-time kinematic (RTK) technology, along with a sophisticated blend of cameras and computer vision, inertial measurement units, ultrasonic and lidar sensors, and precision mapping.
These machines now travel with crews from site to site as "your next team member" [1], letting supervisors deploy people on detail work while a robot handles open turf. A May 2026 industry analysis [2] notes the industry is moving from "rule-based automation" to spatially intelligent systems using AI vision and RTK positioning.
Supervisors' administrative tasks are also being augmented. NALP's 2026 report found that 62% of commercial landscape companies are using seven or more software systems, with the most common being accounting, invoicing, estimating, marketing automation, payroll, GPS tracking, and end-to-end business management. AI design tools are also gaining traction — though industry experts emphasize that contractors "need AI to be a helper, not a doer" [1], assisting with imaging, CAD drawings, and estimates rather than running the job.
Sources
How fast is AI adoption growing for Landscaping Supervisors?
Adoption pressure is strong but uneven. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics projects [3] about 171,600 grounds-maintenance openings per year through 2034 — a chronic labor gap that pushes employers toward automation. NALP's survey confirms this: 54% cite recruiting and retaining staff as a major business risk, and 70% plan to raise wages, while the top reasons companies change software are to automate workflows (58%) and improve operational efficiency (51%).
Still, full adoption will be slow. Commercial autonomous mowers cost tens of thousands of dollars, and the work itself is messy, weather-exposed, and unpredictable — areas where humans still excel. The World Economic Forum's outlook [4] projects a net 78 million new roles by 2030 even as 22% of jobs change structurally, with human-centered skills remaining highly valued.
That's good news for you: supervisors who can lead crews, talk with clients, troubleshoot equipment, and learn new software will likely become more valuable, not less. The robot can mow the lawn, but it can't mentor a new hire, calm an upset homeowner, or decide what to do when a storm flattens a job site.
Sources
Help us improve this report.
Tell us if this analysis feels accurate or we missed something.
Share your feedback
More Career Info
Career: First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers
They oversee teams that maintain and beautify outdoor spaces, ensuring tasks like mowing and planting are done correctly and safely.
Parent Careers
Employment & Wage Data
Median Wage
$56,170
Jobs (2024)
224,700
Growth (2024-34)
+2.3%
Annual Openings
23,200
Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Experience
Less than 5 years
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034
Task-Level AI Resilience Scores
AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years
1
Tour grounds, such as parks, botanical gardens, cemeteries, or golf courses, to inspect conditions of plants and soil.
2
Inventory supplies of tools, equipment, or materials to ensure that sufficient supplies are available and items are in usable condition.
3
Plant or maintain vegetation through activities such as mulching, fertilizing, watering, mowing, or pruning.
4
Direct activities of workers who perform duties such as landscaping, cultivating lawns, or pruning trees and shrubs.
5
Perform administrative duties, such as authorizing leaves or processing time sheets.
6
Establish and enforce operating procedures and work standards that will ensure adequate performance and personnel safety.
7
Review contracts or work assignments to determine service, machine, or workforce requirements for jobs.
Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.
© 2026 CareerVillage.org. All rights reserved.
The AI Resilience Report is a project from CareerVillage.org®, a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit.
Built with ❤️ by Sandbox Web
The AI Resilience Report is governed by CareerVillage.org’s Privacy Policy and Terms of Service. This site is not affiliated with Anthropic, Microsoft, or any other data provider and doesn't necessarily represent their viewpoints. This site is being actively updated, and may sometimes contain errors or require improvement in wording or data. To report an error or request a change, please contact air@careervillage.org.