Last Update: 3/13/2026
Your role’s AI Resilience Score is
Median Score
Changing Fast
Evolving
Stable
This reflects the reliability of your score based on the number of data sources available for this career and how closely those sources agree on the outlook. A higher confidence means more consistent evidence from labor experts and AI models.
What does this resilience result mean?
These roles are undergoing rapid transformation. Entry-level tasks may be automated, and career paths may look different in the near future.
AI Resilience Report for
They shape and cut metal and plastic parts using machines, making sure everything is the right size and shape for building products.
This role is changing fast
This career is labeled as "Changing fast" because many tasks like cutting and forming metal are now done by computer-controlled machines and robots, making these processes quicker and more precise. As factories face labor shortages, they're using more AI and robotics to fill the gaps and improve safety, especially with tasks involving hot or sharp materials.
Read full analysisLearn more about how you can thrive in your career
Learn more about how you can thrive in your career
This role is changing fast
This career is labeled as "Changing fast" because many tasks like cutting and forming metal are now done by computer-controlled machines and robots, making these processes quicker and more precise. As factories face labor shortages, they're using more AI and robotics to fill the gaps and improve safety, especially with tasks involving hot or sharp materials.
Read full analysisContributing Sources
We aggregate scores from multiple models and supplement with employment projections for a more accurate picture of this occupation’s resilience. Expand to view all sources.
AI Resilience
AI Resilience Model v1.0
AI Task Resilience
CareerVillage's proprietary model that estimates how resilient each occupation's tasks are to AI automation and augmentation
Microsoft's Working with AI
AI Applicability
Measures how applicable AI tools (like Bing Copilot) are to each occupation based on real usage patterns
Will Robots Take My Job
Automation Resilience
Estimates the probability of automation for each occupation based on research from Oxford University and other academic sources
Althoff & Reichardt
Economic Growth
Measured as "Wage bill" which is a long term projection for average wage × employment. It's the total labor income flowing to an occupation
We use BLS employment projections to complement the AI-focused assessments from other sources.
Learn about this scoreGrowth Rate (2024-34):
Growth Percentile:
Annual Openings:
Annual Openings Pct:
Analysis of Current AI Resilience
Machine Setters & Tenders
Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 2/17/2026

What's changing and what's not
Many cutting and punching tasks are already done by computer-controlled machines. For example, modern metal shears and press brakes are CNC (computer-numerical-control) tools, and factories often use robotic arms for cutting and bending operations [1] [2]. These systems run while a human sets them up and then checks on them.
Smart sensors are also used: some factories equip machines with IoT (internet-connected) sensors that log performance and even warn of breakdowns ahead of time [2]. In quality checking, AI-driven vision systems can inspect parts – one study notes that machine-learning based cameras “spot defects in real-time” on the production line [3].
However, not every task is smart. Simple jobs like sweeping up metal chips or stamping a part number are usually done by regular tools or people, not by AI. We didn’t find examples of autonomous robots doing shop-floor cleaning or labeling beyond basic machines or stamps.
Similarly, planning the order of operations is still often done with usual software or human judgment (though new AI scheduling tools are being tested [4]). In short, the heavy-duty cutting and forming steps have seen much automation, but many other steps still need human hands and eyes.

AI in the real world
Whether factories add more AI depends on costs and needs. Many metal shops already use automation, so adding smarter AI is a gradual step. An industry report notes over 100,000 robots were in U.S. metal fabrication by 2023, with that number set to triple by 2030 [2].
This growth is driven in part by labor shortages and the desire for precision – the report cites about 375,000 unfilled skilled metalworker jobs, so businesses lean on robots to help meet demand [2]. AI can make work safer too (for example, robots can handle hot or sharp parts) [2].
On the other hand, smart machines are expensive. A small shop with low labor costs (median pay is about \$22.50/hour for these jobs [1]) may hesitate to pay for costly robots and AI. And some tasks are still tricky: machines may struggle to handle odd-shaped metal or sudden changes.
Studies find AI scheduling and monitoring can cut costs and waste [4], but it takes time to train systems and staff. In general, when wages rise or workers are hard to find, factories adopt automation faster. Where budgets or flexibility are tight, change comes more slowly.
Even as AI grows, skilled workers remain important for setting up machines, fixing problems, and dealing with new situations – human judgment and skill still play a big role in metalworking [1] [2].

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Median Wage
$45,590
Jobs (2024)
174,700
Growth (2024-34)
-12.1%
Annual Openings
14,400
Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Experience
None
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034
AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years
Plan sequences of operations, applying knowledge of physical properties of workpiece materials.
Grind out burrs or sharp edges, using portable grinders, speed lathes, or polishing jacks.
Select, clean, and install spacers, rubber sleeves, or cutters on arbors.
Mark identifying data on workpieces.
Set blade tensions, heights, and angles to perform prescribed cuts, using wrenches.
Hone cutters with oilstones to remove nicks.
Preheat workpieces, using heating furnaces or hand torches.
Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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