Not Very Resilient

Last Update: 5/19/2026

Your role’s AI Resilience Score is

31.0%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

Med

Long-term employer demand

Med

Sustained economic opportunity

Low

Our confidence in this score:
Medium

Contributing sources

AI Resilience Report forCutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic are less resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 6 sources.

This career is labeled "Not Very Resilient" because the tasks that make up most of the job — reading specs, setting machine speeds, loading and unloading materials, and monitoring operations — are exactly the ones AI and robotics are already taking over, with high-volume plants expected to hit 70% adoption of AI-guided robots for these tasks by 2026. On top of that, shops are actively *motivated* to automate because there simply aren't enough workers to fill these roles, meaning investment in machines is accelerating fast.

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This role is not very resilient

This career is labeled "Not Very Resilient" because the tasks that make up most of the job — reading specs, setting machine speeds, loading and unloading materials, and monitoring operations — are exactly the ones AI and robotics are already taking over, with high-volume plants expected to hit 70% adoption of AI-guided robots for these tasks by 2026. On top of that, shops are actively *motivated* to automate because there simply aren't enough workers to fill these roles, meaning investment in machines is accelerating fast.

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Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Machine Setters & Tenders

Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 5/14/2026

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

How is AI changing Machine Setters & Tenders jobs?

If you're worried about robots taking over the press room, here's the honest picture: a lot of the machine work is being automated, but humans are still very much part of the team. Across the supply chain, AI proves itself to be both an operational advantage and a macroeconomic growth engine. With real-world use cases and tangible investments driving demand, AI is no longer experimental.

It is practical, profitable, and already reshaping the manufacturing landscape. In stamping and forming, Metal Stamping Atlas projects [1] that by 2026, AI-guided robots for loading/unloading will hit 70% adoption in high-volume plants, IoT-enabled presses with predictive maintenance will reach 55% globally, and over 60% of large-scale stampers will use AI for process simulation. That hits exactly the tasks the O*NET list flags as most automatable — reading specs, setting machine speeds, and planning operation sequences.

But augmentation is a bigger story than full replacement. Modern Machine Shop describes [2] AI-powered platforms like MachineMetrics that connect to machines and use real-time OEE metrics so operators "stop reacting and start executing" — closing the gap between what machines know and what people can act on. And Plastics Technology's 2026 outlook [3] notes that while fully automated cells are becoming the norm in high-volume work, mid-market shops still rely on "well-trained operators…responsible for quality assurance, light assembly, packaging and materials movement," with AI mostly boosting planning and diagnostics rather than replacing hands-on judgment.

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AI Adoption

How fast is AI adoption growing for Machine Setters & Tenders?

Adoption is moving fast in some shops and slowly in others, and the reasons are practical. On the speed-it-up side, labor is the big driver. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics projects [4] overall employment of metal and plastic machine workers to decline 7% from 2024 to 2034, even as about 87,900 openings open each year mostly from retirements — meaning shops literally can't find enough people, so they're investing in machines that can run with less supervision.

Metal Stamping Atlas notes [1] that a skilled labor shortage, with 25% of the workforce nearing retirement, is pushing the industry hard toward automation and upskilling.

On the slow-it-down side, money and flexibility matter. That same industry analysis [1] puts high initial investments in automation at USD 1–5 million per line, a real barrier for small and mid-sized shops. Plastics Technology adds [3] that for short-run or custom jobs, "the time and return on investment required to justify full automation simply does not exist," so many mid-market processors are competing on agility with minimal automation.

Safety, trust, and ethics also slow things down: AMT reports [5] that leading manufacturers like GE Aerospace insist on three principles — trusted data, transparent models, and "a human in the loop."

The takeaway for you: routine setup and monitoring will keep shifting to machines, but workers who learn to troubleshoot, read data dashboards, and tend AI-augmented cells are exactly the people shops are fighting to hire.

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More Career Info

Career: Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

They shape and cut metal and plastic parts using machines, making sure everything is the right size and shape for building products.

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$45,590

Jobs (2024)

174,700

Growth (2024-34)

-12.1%

Annual Openings

14,400

Education

High school diploma or equivalent

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

75% ResilienceSupplemental

Select, clean, and install spacers, rubber sleeves, or cutters on arbors.

2

73% ResilienceSupplemental

Preheat workpieces, using heating furnaces or hand torches.

3

72% ResilienceCore Task

Adjust ram strokes of presses to specified lengths, using hand tools.

4

72% ResilienceSupplemental

Grind out burrs or sharp edges, using portable grinders, speed lathes, or polishing jacks.

5

72% ResilienceSupplemental

Hone cutters with oilstones to remove nicks.

6

70% ResilienceCore Task

Clean and lubricate machines.

7

70% ResilienceCore Task

Operate forklifts to deliver materials.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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