Somewhat Resilient

Last Update: 10/7/2026

AI Resilience Score for Cost Estimators:

47.0%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

Med

Long-term employer demand

Med

Sustained economic opportunity

Med

Our confidence in this score:
Medium-high

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient cost estimating is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from five AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, Will Robots Take My Job, and OpenAI Signals. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For cost estimators, seven of eight sources had data, with Anthropic missing. Sources split on AI exposure: Microsoft and OpenAI Signals rated it Low, while our AI Resilience Model and Will Robots Take My Job saw more staying human, landing confidence at medium-high. Moderate demand and softer economic signals kept the score balanced, producing a "Somewhat Resilient" rating.

AI Resilience Report forCost Estimators

$78,740 median salary•17,600 annual openings•SOC Code: 13-1051.00

Cost Estimators are somewhat less resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 7 sources.

Cost estimating is "Somewhat Resilient" because AI is already handling a real and growing chunk of the routine work, like pulling historical cost data and measuring drawings, with industry predictions suggesting AI could automate 30 to 50 percent of repetitive tasks in this role by 2028. That's a meaningful shift, and it means the job itself is changing, not disappearing.

Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

This role is somewhat resilient

Cost estimating is "Somewhat Resilient" because AI is already handling a real and growing chunk of the routine work, like pulling historical cost data and measuring drawings, with industry predictions suggesting AI could automate 30 to 50 percent of repetitive tasks in this role by 2028. That's a meaningful shift, and it means the job itself is changing, not disappearing.

Read full analysis

Analysis of current AI resilience

Cost Estimators

Updated quarterly

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How can Cost Estimators prepare for AI?

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Latest AI news for Cost Estimators

These articles highlight the transformative impact of AI on cost estimating careers. For instance, they discuss how AI tools can enhance construction estimating accuracy and efficiency, allowing cost estimators to make more informed decisions. Additionally, insights into AI's role in bid preparation and resource allocation emphasize the importance of adapting to new technologies. By embracing these innovations, aspiring cost estimators can build resilience in their careers, positioning themselves at the forefront of industry advancements and improving their job prospects in a tech-driven landscape.

More Career Info

Career: Cost Estimators

They figure out how much a project will cost by looking at materials, labor, and time, helping companies plan and budget effectively.

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$78,740

Jobs (2025)

226,400

Growth (2025-35)

-3.1%

Annual Openings

17,600

Education

Bachelor's degree

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025-2035

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

88% ResilienceCore Task

Confer with engineers, architects, owners, contractors, and subcontractors on changes and adjustments to cost estimates.

2

85% ResilienceCore Task

Consult with clients, vendors, personnel in other departments, or construction foremen to discuss and formulate estimates and resolve issues.

3

82% ResilienceCore Task

Establish and maintain tendering process, and conduct negotiations.

4

78% ResilienceCore Task

Visit site and record information about access, drainage and topography, and availability of utility services.

5

58% ResilienceCore Task

Assess cost effectiveness of products, projects or services, tracking actual costs relative to bids as the project develops.

6

55% ResilienceCore Task

Analyze blueprints and other documentation to prepare time, cost, materials, and labor estimates.

7

52% ResilienceCore Task

Conduct special studies to develop and establish standard hour and related cost data or to reduce cost.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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