Somewhat Resilient
Last Update: 8/30/2026
AI Resilience Score for Commercial Divers:
46.9%
Median Score
Meaningful human contribution
Measures the parts of the occupation that still require a human touch. This score averages data from up to four AI exposure datasets, focusing on the role’s resilience against automation.
High
Long-term employer demand
Predicts the health of the job market for this role through 2034. Using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, it balances projected annual job openings (60%) with overall employment growth (40%).
Low
Sustained economic opportunity
Measures future earning potential and career flexibility. This score is a blend of total projected labor income (67%) and the role’s inherent ability to adapt to economic and technological shifts (33%).
Low
This reflects the reliability of your score based on the number of data sources available for this career and how closely those sources agree on the outlook. A higher confidence means more consistent evidence from labor experts and AI models.
This result is backed by strong agreement across multiple data sources.
Contributing sources
AI Resilience Report forCommercial Divers
$72,990 median salary•400 annual openings•SOC Code: 49-9092.00
Commercial Divers are somewhat less resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 7 sources.
Commercial diving earns a "Somewhat Resilient" label because AI is genuinely changing parts of the job, but not all of it equally. The inspection and data review side of the work is being taken over more and more by autonomous underwater vehicles and AI-powered imaging systems, which means divers can no longer count on those tasks as a steady part of their workload.
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This role is somewhat resilient
Commercial diving earns a "Somewhat Resilient" label because AI is genuinely changing parts of the job, but not all of it equally. The inspection and data review side of the work is being taken over more and more by autonomous underwater vehicles and AI-powered imaging systems, which means divers can no longer count on those tasks as a steady part of their workload.
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Analysis of Current AI Resilience
Commercial Divers
Updated Quarterly

How is AI changing Commercial Divers jobs?
If you're worried that AI is about to push commercial divers out of the water, take a deep breath — the picture is more nuanced. Right now, most of the "AI" changes in this career are showing up as augmentation: robots and smart software that work with divers, not instead of them. According to technical diving publication InDEPTH, despite major advances in robotic autonomy, sensing, and computation, humans still lie at the heart of underwater exploration, where judgment and situational awareness remain critical.
Projects like Stanford's OceanOneK humanoid robot [1] let a human operator "feel" objects on the seafloor through haptic gloves — a form of telepresence that extends divers rather than replacing them.
Where AI is automating tasks, it targets the inspection and data side of the job. An Offshore Industry analysis [2] reports that AI-powered computer vision for anomaly detection, combined with high-resolution sonar and multi-beam imaging, is enabling automated inspection reporting that reduces the human review burden, and resident AUV programmes — where the vehicle stays at the subsea installation for months — are moving from pilots to commercial deployment. At Brazil's Navalshore 2026 conference, CPG reports [3] that companies showcased autonomous underwater vehicles from the HUGIN family and AI platforms that monitor machinery for predictive maintenance to reduce worker exposure to risky operations.
So AI is chipping away at the inspection, imaging, and data-review tasks (which match the higher automation scores in your list), while the physical work — welding, salvage, pile installation — still needs human hands.
Sources

How fast is AI adoption growing for Commercial Divers?
Adoption is moving quickly in inspection-heavy offshore sectors, but slowly for hands-on construction and repair. On the fast side, the economics are hard to ignore: Offshore Industry [2] notes that a conventional ROV inspection campaign in the North Sea might cost $100,000–$200,000/day, while a resident AUV can conduct routine inspections without a vessel present, dramatically dropping the cost per inspection. Safety and labor shortages also push adoption forward — the IMCA Global Summit agenda [4] highlighted the impact of global megatrends including AI and new technology, and how ROV and USV simulators are enhancing training and competency, and IMCA even published new guidance for approving ROV simulators, aimed at advancing safety, consistency, and competency in the offshore industry.
On the slow side, physical intervention remains genuinely hard for robots, and demand for skilled divers is still strong. Recruiter Worldwide Recruitment Solutions [5] reports that demand across the sector remains strong in 2026, with offshore oil and gas continuing to rely on skilled diving teams and offshore renewables opening new categories of diving work in turbine foundation inspection and subsea cable maintenance. The most useful skill for young people entering this field?
Hybrid ability — commercial divers now routinely work alongside ROV systems on the same projects, and professionals who can operate hybrid equipment and manage underwater robotics alongside their diving work are increasingly valued by operators. The takeaway: learn to dive and to pilot the robots, and you'll be in demand for a long time.
Sources

Will AI replace Commercial Divers?
Not entirely. We think AI will take over some tasks, but not the whole job.
Commercial divers earn a 46.9% AI Resilience Score, which puts them in a real zone of change. The clearest shift is already happening in inspection work: AI-powered computer vision, high-resolution sonar, and resident autonomous underwater vehicles are automating anomaly detection and routine data review [2]. When a robot can stay at a subsea installation for months and run inspections without a vessel present, operators will use it. That part of the job is genuinely under pressure.
But physical intervention underwater is still something robots handle poorly. Welding, salvage, pile installation, and hands-on repair still need human judgment and dexterity. Even the most advanced humanoid systems, like Stanford's OceanOneK, are designed to extend a human operator's reach rather than remove them from the equation entirely [1]. Offshore renewables are also creating new categories of work in turbine foundation inspection and subsea cable maintenance [5].
The economic and demand picture is tighter than the physical-skills story suggests, so we would not oversell the job market here. The smartest move for anyone entering this field is to build hybrid skills: learn to dive and learn to pilot the robots alongside you [4]. That combination is what operators are looking for right now.
Sources

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Latest AI news for Commercial Divers
These articles highlight the evolving role of AI in commercial diving careers. While some fear job loss due to automation, the consensus is that AI will enhance, not replace, divers. For instance, AI can streamline dive planning and improve safety by reducing human error, as noted in the dive center automation article. Additionally, robotics and remotely operated vehicles (ROVs) are taking over routine inspections, allowing divers to focus on more complex tasks. Embracing these technologies can lead to greater efficiency and safety in this high-risk field, fostering resilience in future careers.
Is AI killing commercial diving jobs too? : r/commercialdiving
www.reddit.com • 9/20/2026
They're saying that it'll save time, costs and use up less gas emissions. Also with commercial diving being one of the most dangerous jobs out ... Read more
The Future of Scuba: Will AI Change the Way We Dive?
www.thescubanews.com • 9/20/2026
Nov 26, 2025 — Artificial intelligence won't replace the art of diving but it will make dive planning smarter, marine ID faster and conservation more precise. Read more
Will AI replace commercial divers?
www.careerexplorer.com • 9/20/2026
Sep 9, 2026 — AI won't replace commercial divers, but robotics and ROVs are handling more inspection work at depth. Some routine subsea surveys now use ... Read more
Revolutionizing Your Dive Center: The Future of AI in ...
www.bloowatch.com • 9/20/2026
Apr 18, 2025 — AI-driven automation reduces paperwork and manual entry, significantly lowering the chances of human error. Dive centers can leverage AI to ... Read more
More Career Info
Career: Commercial Divers
They work underwater to fix, build, or inspect structures like bridges and pipelines, using special diving gear to stay safe while doing their tasks.
Parent Careers
Similar Careers
Employment & Wage Data
Median Wage
$72,990
Jobs (2025)
4,000
Growth (2025-35)
+4.8%
Annual Openings
400
Education
Postsecondary nondegree award
Experience
None
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025-2035
Task-Level AI Resilience Scores
AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years
1
Descend into water with the aid of diver helpers, using scuba gear or diving suits.
2
Repair ships, bridge foundations, or other structures below the water line, using caulk, bolts, and hand tools.
3
Install pilings or footings for piers or bridges.
4
Salvage wrecked ships or their cargo, using pneumatic power velocity and hydraulic tools and explosive charges, when necessary.
5
Drill holes in rock and rig explosives for underwater demolitions.
6
Cut and weld steel, using underwater welding equipment, jigs, and supports.
7
Set or guide placement of pilings or sandbags to provide support for structures, such as docks, bridges, cofferdams, or platforms.
Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.
