Somewhat Resilient
Last Update: 7/31/2026
AI Resilience Score for Commercial Divers:
48.7%
Median Score
Meaningful human contribution
Measures the parts of the occupation that still require a human touch. This score averages data from up to four AI exposure datasets, focusing on the role’s resilience against automation.
High
Long-term employer demand
Predicts the health of the job market for this role through 2034. Using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, it balances projected annual job openings (60%) with overall employment growth (40%).
Med
Sustained economic opportunity
Measures future earning potential and career flexibility. This score is a blend of total projected labor income (67%) and the role’s inherent ability to adapt to economic and technological shifts (33%).
Low
This reflects the reliability of your score based on the number of data sources available for this career and how closely those sources agree on the outlook. A higher confidence means more consistent evidence from labor experts and AI models.
This result is backed by strong agreement across multiple data sources.
Contributing sources
AI Resilience Report forCommercial Divers
$72,990 median salary•400 annual openings•SOC Code: 49-9092.00
Commercial Divers are somewhat less resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 7 sources.
Commercial diving is "Somewhat Resilient" because AI is genuinely changing parts of the job, especially routine inspection work, where autonomous underwater vehicles can now scan ship hulls and structures without a human in the water. The good news is that the hands-on core of the work (welding, repairs, salvage, and complex physical tasks underwater) is still far beyond what robots can handle, keeping skilled divers in high demand.
Learn more about how you can thrive in this position
This role is somewhat resilient
Commercial diving is "Somewhat Resilient" because AI is genuinely changing parts of the job, especially routine inspection work, where autonomous underwater vehicles can now scan ship hulls and structures without a human in the water. The good news is that the hands-on core of the work (welding, repairs, salvage, and complex physical tasks underwater) is still far beyond what robots can handle, keeping skilled divers in high demand.
Read full analysisLearn more about how you can thrive in this position
Analysis of Current AI Resilience
Commercial Divers
Updated Quarterly

How is AI changing Commercial Divers jobs?
Right now, AI is mostly augmenting commercial divers rather than replacing them — and the change is happening fastest in inspection work. In March 2026, Spanish robotics firm IQUA completed trials showing that autonomous underwater vehicles can conduct systematic ship hull inspections without human pilots or tethered equipment, marking a significant step toward fully automated preventive maintenance for commercial vessels, with the AUV using multibeam sonar to detect hull profiles in real time, executing adaptive lawnmower-pattern trajectories to achieve complete, uniform coverage. MIT Lincoln Laboratory researchers [1] are going further by building diver–robot teams: their AI classifier processes optical and sonar data mid-mission and pings the diver with messages like "I think this is a tire, but I'm not sure.
What do you think?" Then, the diver can respond, "Yes, you've got it right, or no, look over here in the image to improve your classification". Meanwhile, new "resident" AUVs that live underwater, dock autonomously, recharge wirelessly, and transmit data without human intervention are pushing routine inspection further from human hands. But the heavy-manipulation core of the job — welding, bolting, salvage — is still very human, because as MIT's principal investigator notes, underwater missions requiring humans typically do so because they involve some sort of manipulation a robot can't do, like repairing infrastructure or deactivating a mine.
Sources

How fast is AI adoption growing for Commercial Divers?
Adoption is moving briskly for inspection but slowly for repair, and the main driver is money plus safety: traditional hull and structure inspections [2] currently tend to depend on divers or remotely operated vehicles requiring constant human control – costly, time-consuming and potentially hazardous processes. Demand for divers is actually growing in parallel — recruitment firm WRS reports [3] that the growth of offshore wind is generating a new and sustained category of diving work. Turbine foundation inspection, scour protection monitoring, and subsea cable maintenance all require qualified commercial divers, and the new normal is hybrid skills: ROV integration has become a standard feature of offshore diving operations.
Commercial divers now routinely work alongside ROV systems on the same projects, and professionals who can operate hybrid equipment and manage underwater robotics alongside their diving work are increasingly valued by operators. Adoption is slowed by physics and trust — saltwater is conductive, bandwidth is low, and there is often a reluctance to totally trust remote operations with industry concerns around reliability, safety, and performance, prompting trade body IMCA [4] to publish new guidance on Remote Operations Centres. Strict ADCI safety standards [5] and a strong, growing labor market mean the realistic future is teaming up with robots, not being replaced by them — so leaning into ROV/AUV skills now is a smart move.
Sources

Will AI replace Commercial Divers?
Not entirely. We think AI will take over some tasks, but not the whole job.
Commercial divers earn a 48.7% AI Resilience Score, which reflects a real but partial threat. The clearest pressure point is inspection work. Autonomous underwater vehicles can now conduct systematic hull inspections without a human in the water, using sonar to map surfaces and adapt their coverage in real time. Resident AUVs that dock, recharge, and transmit data on their own are pushing routine inspection further from human hands [1]. That part of the job is genuinely at risk of automation over time.
What stays human is the heavy, hands-on core: welding, bolting, salvage, and infrastructure repair. Robots still cannot reliably manipulate objects in complex underwater environments, and that limitation is not close to being solved [1]. Meanwhile, the offshore wind industry is creating a new and sustained category of diving work, from turbine foundation inspection to subsea cable maintenance [3].
The realistic future here is teaming up with robots, not being replaced by them. Divers who add ROV and AUV operation to their skill set are already more valuable to employers [4]. The economic picture is tighter than the human-contribution side suggests, so building hybrid skills now is the smartest move you can make.
Sources

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Latest AI news for Commercial Divers
The recommended articles highlight how AI is transforming commercial diving careers. For instance, a German robot arm demonstrated that AI can perform dangerous welding tasks underwater, reducing risks associated with human divers. Additionally, platforms like ATHENA are integrating AI to enhance safety and efficiency in diving operations. While concerns about job displacement exist, these advancements can foster "AI resilience," allowing divers to focus on more complex tasks and improve safety standards in a field known for its hazards. Embracing AI tools can position future divers for success in an evolving industry.
Is AI taking over commercial diving jobs too?
scubaboard.com • 7/20/2026
Nov 15, 2024 — They're saying it'll save time, cut costs, and even reduce gas emissions. Plus, with commercial diving being one of the most dangerous jobs out ... Read more
Commercial divers — United States AI Work Index
aiworkindex.com • 7/20/2026
Tasks 100%. Share of job tasks that overlap with current AI capabilities ; Wage $61K · Median annual wage ; Demand 9%. Projected employment change over 10 years. Read more
AI for Commercial Diving Operations | ATHENA ...
ven-techsubsea.ca • 7/20/2026
Our proprietary AI platform designed specifically to integrate safety, logistics, and precision-engineering into every commercial diving and subsea inspection ... Read more
Scuba Diving and AI - What The Fish???
www.linkedin.com • 7/20/2026
AI is being used in scuba diving software to automate administrative tasks, monitor diver biometrics, provide automated emergency alerts and to ...

A German six-axis robot arm just welded a steel seam underwater with no diver present, an AI camera finding the joint and a continuous wire feeding the arc — taking over a job that kills at 40 times the rate of the average paycheck, one of the deadliest anyone
www.autonocion.com • 7/19/2026
A German six-axis robot arm just welded a steel seam underwater with no diver present, an AI camera finding the joint and a continuous wire...
More Career Info
Career: Commercial Divers
They work underwater to fix, build, or inspect structures like bridges and pipelines, using special diving gear to stay safe while doing their tasks.
Parent Careers
Similar Careers
Employment & Wage Data
Median Wage
$72,990
Jobs (2024)
4,200
Growth (2024-34)
+8.5%
Annual Openings
400
Education
Postsecondary nondegree award
Experience
None
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034
Task-Level AI Resilience Scores
AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years
1
Descend into water with the aid of diver helpers, using scuba gear or diving suits.
2
Cut and weld steel, using underwater welding equipment, jigs, and supports.
3
Take test samples or photographs to assess the condition of vessels or structures.
4
Set or guide placement of pilings or sandbags to provide support for structures such as docks, bridges, cofferdams, or platforms.
5
Supervise or train other divers, including hobby divers.
6
Recover objects by placing rigging around sunken objects, hooking rigging to crane lines, and operating winches, derricks, or cranes to raise objects.
7
Install, inspect, clean, or repair piping or valves.
Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.
