Somewhat Resilient

Last Update: 11/4/2026

AI Resilience Score for Commercial Divers:

47.6%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

High

Long-term employer demand

Low

Sustained economic opportunity

Low

Our confidence in this score:
High

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient commercial diving is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from six AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, Will Robots Take My Job, OpenAI Signals, and Google ATLAS. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For commercial diving, eight of nine sources had data, with Anthropic the only gap. AI exposure sources mostly agreed: AI Resilience Model, Microsoft, OpenAI Signals, and Google ATLAS all rated the work as highly human, with Will Robots Take My Job slightly lower. That agreement supports high confidence. Weaker demand and pay signals pulled the score down, landing commercial divers at "Somewhat Resilient."

AI Resilience Report forCommercial Divers

$72,990 median salary•400 annual openings•SOC Code: 49-9092.00

Commercial Divers are somewhat less resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 7 sources.

Commercial diving earns a "Somewhat Resilient" label because AI is genuinely changing parts of the job, but not all of it equally. The inspection and data review side of the work is being taken over more and more by autonomous underwater vehicles and AI-powered imaging systems, which means divers can no longer count on those tasks as a steady part of their workload.

Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

This role is somewhat resilient

Commercial diving earns a "Somewhat Resilient" label because AI is genuinely changing parts of the job, but not all of it equally. The inspection and data review side of the work is being taken over more and more by autonomous underwater vehicles and AI-powered imaging systems, which means divers can no longer count on those tasks as a steady part of their workload.

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Analysis of current AI resilience

Commercial Divers

Updated quarterly

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Latest AI news for Commercial Divers

These articles highlight the evolving landscape for commercial divers in the age of AI. For instance, a German robot arm is now capable of welding underwater autonomously, showcasing AI's potential to take over high-risk tasks. However, another piece emphasizes that certain complex physical roles, like diving, still rely heavily on human expertise, indicating resilience in this career. Additionally, AI tools for dive planning are already boosting safety and confidence among divers, suggesting that embracing technology can enhance rather than replace human roles in this field.

More Career Info

Career: Commercial Divers

They work underwater to fix, build, or inspect structures like bridges and pipelines, using special diving gear to stay safe while doing their tasks.

Alternate Titles

Diver · Diver Tender · Salvage Diver · Saturation Diver · Diving Coordinator · Hard Hat Diver · NDT UW Welder (Non Destructive Testing Under Water Welder)

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$72,990

Jobs (2025)

4,000

Growth (2025-35)

+4.8%

Annual Openings

400

Education

Postsecondary nondegree award

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025-2035

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

97% ResilienceCore Task

Descend into water with the aid of diver helpers, using scuba gear or diving suits.

2

96% ResilienceCore Task

Repair ships, bridge foundations, or other structures below the water line, using caulk, bolts, and hand tools.

3

96% ResilienceCore Task

Install pilings or footings for piers or bridges.

4

96% ResilienceCore Task

Salvage wrecked ships or their cargo, using pneumatic power velocity and hydraulic tools and explosive charges, when necessary.

5

96% ResilienceSupplemental

Drill holes in rock and rig explosives for underwater demolitions.

6

95% ResilienceCore Task

Cut and weld steel, using underwater welding equipment, jigs, and supports.

7

95% ResilienceCore Task

Set or guide placement of pilings or sandbags to provide support for structures, such as docks, bridges, cofferdams, or platforms.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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