Mostly Resilient

Last Update: 10/7/2026

AI Resilience Score for Water Vessel Captain/Pilot:

53.2%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

Med

Long-term employer demand

Med

Sustained economic opportunity

Med

Our confidence in this score:
High

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient captaining and piloting water vessels is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from five AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, Will Robots Take My Job, and OpenAI Signals. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For water vessel captains and pilots, six of eight sources had data (missing Anthropic and Adaptive Capacity). The sources mostly agreed: AI Resilience Model rated AI exposure High in the resilience direction, while Microsoft, Will Robots Take My Job, and OpenAI Signals landed at Medium. That near-alignment supports high confidence. Consistent Medium readings across demand and pay kept the score balanced, earning a "Mostly Resilient" label.

AI Resilience Report forCaptains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels

$92,460 median salary•3,800 annual openings•SOC Code: 53-5021.00

Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels are somewhat more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 6 sources.

Captains, mates, and pilots of water vessels are labeled "Mostly Resilient" because while AI is definitely entering this field, it is being used as a helpful tool rather than a replacement for the humans in charge. The hands-on, high-stakes parts of the job, like docking in a busy port, managing a crew, responding to emergencies, and reading tricky weather conditions, still require the kind of real-world judgment and "sea sense" that AI simply cannot replicate yet.

Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

This role is mostly resilient

Captains, mates, and pilots of water vessels are labeled "Mostly Resilient" because while AI is definitely entering this field, it is being used as a helpful tool rather than a replacement for the humans in charge. The hands-on, high-stakes parts of the job, like docking in a busy port, managing a crew, responding to emergencies, and reading tricky weather conditions, still require the kind of real-world judgment and "sea sense" that AI simply cannot replicate yet.

Read full analysis

Analysis of current AI resilience

Water Vessel Captain/Pilot

Updated quarterly

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Latest AI news for Water Vessel Captain/Pilot

These articles highlight how AI is transforming maritime careers for Captains, Mates, and Pilots. For example, while AI can assist in navigation and voyage planning, human oversight remains crucial during emergencies and in complex environments like fog or busy ports. This means that rather than replacing these roles, AI is enhancing them, allowing professionals to focus on critical decision-making. Embracing AI tools can lead to safer and more efficient operations, underscoring the importance of adaptability and continuous learning in this evolving field.

More Career Info

Career: Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels

They guide and operate ships, ensuring safe navigation and smooth journeys on water by managing the crew and following safety protocols.

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Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$92,460

Jobs (2025)

41,300

Growth (2025-35)

+4.0%

Annual Openings

3,800

Education

Postsecondary nondegree award

Experience

Less than 5 years

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025-2035

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

93% ResilienceCore Task

Provide assistance in maritime rescue operations.

2

92% ResilienceCore Task

Serve as a vessel's docking master upon arrival at a port or at a berth.

3

91% ResilienceSupplemental

Conduct safety drills such as man overboard or fire drills.

4

90% ResilienceCore Task

Dock or undock vessels, sometimes maneuvering through narrow spaces, such as locks.

5

90% ResilienceCore Task

Supervise crews in cleaning or maintaining decks, superstructures, or bridges.

6

88% ResilienceCore Task

Prevent ships under navigational control from engaging in unsafe operations.

7

88% ResilienceCore Task

Maintain boats or equipment on board, such as engines, winches, navigational systems, fire extinguishers, or life preservers.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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