Evolving

Last Update: 2/18/2026

Your role’s AI Resilience Score is

58.8%

Median Score

Changing Fast

Evolving

Stable

Our confidence in this score:
Medium-high

What does this resilience result mean?

These roles are shifting as AI becomes part of everyday workflows. Expect new responsibilities and new opportunities.

AI Resilience Report for

Bakers

They make bread, cakes, and pastries by mixing ingredients, baking them, and ensuring they taste delicious and look appealing.

This role is evolving

The career of a baker is labeled as "Evolving" because AI and automation are gradually being integrated into the industry, changing how some tasks are done. Machines are taking over routine and physically demanding jobs like mixing and moving trays, which allows bakers to focus more on creative tasks like recipe development and cake decorating.

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Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

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Chat with Coach
Latest news
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Analysis
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This role is evolving

The career of a baker is labeled as "Evolving" because AI and automation are gradually being integrated into the industry, changing how some tasks are done. Machines are taking over routine and physically demanding jobs like mixing and moving trays, which allows bakers to focus more on creative tasks like recipe development and cake decorating.

Read full analysis

Contributing Sources

We aggregate scores from multiple models and supplement with employment projections for a more accurate picture of this occupation’s resilience. Expand to view all sources.

AI Resilience

AI Resilience Model v1.0

AI Task Resilience

Learn about this score
Evolving iconEvolving

31.7%

31.7%

Microsoft's Working with AI

AI Applicability

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Stable iconStable

74.1%

74.1%

Anthropic's Economic Index

Stable iconStable

73.6%

73.6%

Will Robots Take My Job

Automation Resilience

Learn about this score
Changing fast iconChanging fast

24.8%

24.8%

High Demand

Labor Market Outlook

We use BLS employment projections to complement the AI-focused assessments from other sources.

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Growth Rate (2024-34):

5.6%

Growth Percentile:

77.5%

Annual Openings:

39,900

Annual Openings Pct:

79.1%

Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Bakers

Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 2/18/2026

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

What's changing and what's not

Bakers today already use many machines. In large bakeries, high-speed mixers and ovens often run automatically [1]. For example, machines can mix dough and bake loaves without a person turning every knob.

Industry experts say robots and AI systems now do more routine jobs – like moving trays, packing bread, or checking for defects – which used to tire out workers [2]. Even cake decorating is seeing smart automation: vision-guided robotic arms can apply icing or drizzle patterns consistently by “seeing” each cake’s shape [2]. These tools help with hard or repetitive tasks, but they still work under human guidance.

Bakers and decorators remain important for creative work, quality control and adjusting recipes, because machines don’t have the human “feel” for things like taste or style [2] [2].

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AI Adoption

AI in the real world

Many bakers are curious about AI, but adoption is gradual. In a recent industry survey, about 70% of bakeries said they have already started using AI tools or plan to try them soon [2]. Reasons to adopt AI include worker shortages and safety: bakeries want people free to do more creative or higher-value work while machines handle heavy lifting and routine mixing [2] [2].

However, bakery profits are often small, and new equipment can be expensive [2]. Experts say factories will take “baby steps” with AI because they must balance cost, training and food‐safety rules [2] [2]. In the long run, most agree AI can save time on planning and quality checks, letting human bakers focus on fresh ideas and personal touches that machines can’t easily copy [2] [2].

Overall, technology is likely to help bakers, not replace them, by taking on repetitive chores and leaving people to do the creative parts [2] [2].

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More Career Info

Career: Bakers

Parent Careers

Broad Group:Bakers

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$36,650

Jobs (2024)

249,100

Growth (2024-34)

+5.6%

Annual Openings

39,900

Education

No formal educational credential

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

80% ResilienceCore Task

Set time and speed controls for mixing machines, blending machines, or steam kettles so that ingredients will be mixed or cooked according to instructions.

2

75% ResilienceCore Task

Decorate baked goods, such as cakes or pastries.

3

70% ResilienceCore Task

Check equipment to ensure that it meets health and safety regulations and perform maintenance or cleaning, as necessary.

4

65% ResilienceCore Task

Apply glazes, icings, or other toppings to baked goods, using spatulas or brushes.

5

60% ResilienceCore Task

Roll, knead, cut, or shape dough to form sweet rolls, pie crusts, tarts, cookies, or other products.

6

55% ResilienceCore Task

Observe color of products being baked and adjust oven temperatures, humidity, or conveyor speeds accordingly.

7

55% ResilienceCore Task

Check products for quality and identify damaged or expired goods.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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