Resilient

Last Update: 8/30/2026

AI Resilience Score for Firefighting Supervisors:

65.4%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

High

Long-term employer demand

Med

Sustained economic opportunity

High

Our confidence in this score:
Medium

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient firefighting supervision is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from five AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, Will Robots Take My Job, and OpenAI Signals. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For firefighting supervisors, six of eight sources had data, with Anthropic and Adaptive Capacity missing. The AI exposure sources mostly agreed: Microsoft, Will Robots Take My Job, and OpenAI Signals all rated human contribution as High, while our AI Resilience Model landed at Medium, nudging confidence down to medium. Strong pay signals and hands-on leadership pushed the score to "Resilient."

AI Resilience Report forFirst-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers

$93,530 median salary•6,600 annual openings•SOC Code: 33-1021.00

First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers are more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 6 sources.

This career is labeled "Resilient" because the heart of the job, leading crews into dangerous situations, making split-second decisions, and providing hands-on emergency care, simply cannot be automated. AI is genuinely helpful here, taking over time-consuming paperwork, analyzing incident data, and improving situational awareness for incident commanders, but it works alongside supervisors rather than replacing them.

Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

This role is resilient

This career is labeled "Resilient" because the heart of the job, leading crews into dangerous situations, making split-second decisions, and providing hands-on emergency care, simply cannot be automated. AI is genuinely helpful here, taking over time-consuming paperwork, analyzing incident data, and improving situational awareness for incident commanders, but it works alongside supervisors rather than replacing them.

Read full analysis

Analysis of current AI resilience

Firefighting Supervisors

Updated quarterly

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Latest AI news for Firefighting Supervisors

These articles highlight the evolving role of AI in firefighting, suggesting that rather than replacing First-Line Supervisors, AI can enhance their effectiveness. For instance, AI can improve fire detection and incident analysis, allowing supervisors to make quicker, data-driven decisions. Additionally, the discussion around AI potentially creating more fire protection roles emphasizes the need for skilled supervisors to adapt and lead teams in using new technologies. Embracing AI resilience will be crucial for future supervisors to navigate these changes successfully.

More Career Info

Career: First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers

They lead and manage firefighters during emergencies, ensuring safety and organizing efforts to put out fires and prevent them from happening.

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$93,530

Jobs (2025)

101,600

Growth (2025-35)

+3.7%

Annual Openings

6,600

Education

Postsecondary nondegree award

Experience

Less than 5 years

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025-2035

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

97% ResilienceCore Task

Provide emergency medical services as required, and perform light to heavy rescue functions at emergencies.

2

97% ResilienceCore Task

Serve as a working leader of an engine, hand, helicopter, or prescribed fire crew of three or more firefighters.

3

95% ResilienceCore Task

Direct firefighters in station maintenance duties, and participate in these duties.

4

95% ResilienceSupplemental

Drive crew carriers to transport firefighters to fire sites.

5

94% ResilienceCore Task

Assign firefighters to jobs at strategic locations to facilitate rescue of persons and maximize application of extinguishing agents.

6

93% ResilienceCore Task

Assess nature and extent of fire, condition of building, danger to adjacent buildings, and water supply status to determine crew or company requirements.

7

92% ResilienceCore Task

Maintain fire suppression equipment in good condition, checking equipment periodically to ensure that it is ready for use.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

The AI Resilience Report is a project from CareerVillage.org®, a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit.

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