Mostly Resilient

Last Update: 6/19/2026

AI Resilience Score for Actuaries:

53.7%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

Med

Long-term employer demand

Med

Sustained economic opportunity

Med

Our confidence in this score:
Medium-high

Contributing sources

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient actuarial work is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from four AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, and Will Robots Take My Job. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For actuaries, six of seven sources had data, with Adaptive Capacity missing. The biggest split was on AI exposure: Anthropic rated it low while our AI Resilience Model rated it high, with Microsoft and Will Robots Take My Job landing in the middle. That disagreement holds confidence at medium-high. Balanced demand and pay signals kept the score at "Mostly Resilient."

AI Resilience Report forActuaries

$125,770 median salary2,400 annual openingsSOC Code: 15-2011.00

Actuaries are somewhat more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 6 sources.

Actuaries are labeled "Mostly Resilient" because AI is largely making their work faster and more powerful rather than replacing them entirely. Tools like machine learning and generative AI are handling repetitive tasks like drafting reports and spotting data patterns, but the human judgment, client-specific problem solving, and ethical decision-making that sit at the heart of actuarial work are much harder for AI to replicate.

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This role is mostly resilient

Actuaries are labeled "Mostly Resilient" because AI is largely making their work faster and more powerful rather than replacing them entirely. Tools like machine learning and generative AI are handling repetitive tasks like drafting reports and spotting data patterns, but the human judgment, client-specific problem solving, and ethical decision-making that sit at the heart of actuarial work are much harder for AI to replicate.

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Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Actuaries

Updated Quarterly

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

How is AI changing Actuaries jobs?

Right now, AI is mostly augmenting actuaries—helping them work faster—rather than replacing them. According to the Society of Actuaries, machine learning tools that seemed experimental a few years ago are increasingly being embedded in pricing, reserving, underwriting, claims and reporting processes, and generative AI is helping actuaries draft reports, improve communications, automate documentation, and enhance modeling by creating synthetic datasets. In property and casualty insurance, machine-learning methods like gradient boosting and neural networks can outperform traditional models [1] at spotting complex risk patterns.

A March 2026 article in Contingencies notes that repetitive analyst tasks are most at risk of being automated, so fewer roles may exist at junior levels while demand grows for mid-level interpretation and decision-making. Tellingly, Microsoft's viral list of jobs most likely to be replaced by AI included mathematicians and data scientists—but not actuaries [2], because human judgment and client-specific problem solving still matter.

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AI Adoption

How fast is AI adoption growing for Actuaries?

Adoption is happening quickly in some areas and cautiously in others. Industry publication Digital Insurance reports that AI has emerged as a transformative force in actuarial practices, with insurers using it to automate routine tasks, build predictive models, and boost fraud detection accuracy. But several brakes slow things down: the SOA highlights obstacles including model transparency, a scarcity of actuaries with advanced ML skills, integration with legacy systems, and regulatory uncertainty, plus strict rules like the EU's AI Act demanding explainability.

The good news for students: the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics projects 22% growth for actuaries from 2023 to 2033 [3], far above average, and recruiters note that actuarial unemployment stayed under 1% throughout 2025. As one industry leader puts it, those who courageously adapt will shape the future of actuarial science—so learning AI tools, communication, and ethics now is the smartest move.

Sources

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Will AI replace Actuaries?

Will AI replace Actuaries?

No. We don't think AI will replace Actuaries, though we do expect the job to change.

Our 53.7% AI Resilience Score puts this career in "Mostly Resilient" territory, and the evidence backs that up. AI is already embedded in actuarial work, helping with pricing, reserving, fraud detection, and report drafting. Machine learning models can outperform traditional approaches at spotting complex risk patterns [1]. But that is augmentation, not replacement. The tools are making actuaries faster, not obsolete.

What stays human is the part that matters most: interpreting results, navigating regulatory scrutiny, and applying judgment to client-specific problems. Strict rules around model explainability put real limits on how far automation can go without a credentialed professional in the loop [1]. Notably, Microsoft's widely cited list of jobs most likely to be replaced by AI included mathematicians and data scientists but not actuaries [2], precisely because human judgment is baked into the role.

The job market picture is also encouraging. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics projects 22% growth for actuaries from 2023 to 2033, well above average [3]. Junior, repetitive tasks will shrink, but mid-level interpretation and decision-making roles are growing. Students who learn AI tools alongside communication and ethics will be well positioned.

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Latest AI news for Actuaries

These articles highlight how AI is transforming actuarial careers with a focus on innovation and efficiency. For instance, RSM discusses how generative AI allows actuaries to concentrate on higher-value tasks, enhancing their role as strategic advisors. Meanwhile, Deloitte emphasizes the importance of automation in increasing productivity and delivering greater value in insurance functions. While AI reshapes daily tasks, it may also influence compensation trends, as noted in Economic Times. Overall, these insights suggest that embracing AI can foster resilience and adaptability in a dynamic job market for actuaries.

More Career Info

Career: Actuaries

They analyze data and use math to predict financial risks, helping companies plan for the future and make smart decisions about money.

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$125,770

Jobs (2024)

33,600

Growth (2024-34)

+21.8%

Annual Openings

2,400

Education

Bachelor's degree

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

93% ResilienceCore Task

Testify before public agencies on proposed legislation affecting businesses.

2

91% ResilienceCore Task

Construct probability tables for events such as fires, natural disasters, and unemployment, based on analysis of statistical data and other pertinent information.

3

88% ResilienceCore Task

Provide advice to clients on a contract basis, working as a consultant.

4

82% ResilienceCore Task

Determine or help determine company policy, and explain complex technical matters to company executives, government officials, shareholders, policyholders, or the public.

5

81% ResilienceCore Task

Testify in court as expert witness or to provide legal evidence on matters such as the value of potential lifetime earnings of a person who is disabled or killed in an accident.

6

78% ResilienceCore Task

Collaborate with programmers, underwriters, accounts, claims experts, and senior management to help companies develop plans for new lines of business or improvements to existing business.

7

65% ResilienceSupplemental

Explain changes in contract provisions to customers.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

The AI Resilience Report is a project from CareerVillage.org®, a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit.

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