Mostly Resilient

Last Update: 7/31/2026

AI Resilience Score for Actuaries:

55.3%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

Med

Long-term employer demand

Med

Sustained economic opportunity

Med

Our confidence in this score:
Medium-high

Contributing sources

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient actuarial work is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from five AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, Will Robots Take My Job, and OpenAI Signals. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For actuaries, seven of eight sources had data, with Adaptive Capacity missing. The biggest split was on AI exposure: AI Resilience Model rated it high while Anthropic and OpenAI Signals rated it low, landing confidence at medium-high. Medium scores across all three dimensions kept the label steady at "Mostly Resilient," with no single factor pushing strongly up or down.

AI Resilience Report forActuaries

$130,000 median salary2,400 annual openingsSOC Code: 15-2011.00

Actuaries are somewhat more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 7 sources.

Actuaries are labeled "Mostly Resilient" because AI is largely making their work faster and more powerful rather than replacing them entirely. Tools like machine learning and generative AI are handling repetitive tasks like drafting reports and spotting data patterns, but the human judgment, client-specific problem solving, and ethical decision-making that sit at the heart of actuarial work are much harder for AI to replicate.

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This role is mostly resilient

Actuaries are labeled "Mostly Resilient" because AI is largely making their work faster and more powerful rather than replacing them entirely. Tools like machine learning and generative AI are handling repetitive tasks like drafting reports and spotting data patterns, but the human judgment, client-specific problem solving, and ethical decision-making that sit at the heart of actuarial work are much harder for AI to replicate.

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Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Actuaries

Updated Quarterly

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

How is AI changing Actuaries jobs?

Right now, AI is mostly augmenting actuaries—helping them work faster—rather than replacing them. According to the Society of Actuaries, machine learning tools that seemed experimental a few years ago are increasingly being embedded in pricing, reserving, underwriting, claims and reporting processes, and generative AI is helping actuaries draft reports, improve communications, automate documentation, and enhance modeling by creating synthetic datasets. In property and casualty insurance, machine-learning methods like gradient boosting and neural networks can outperform traditional models [1] at spotting complex risk patterns.

A March 2026 article in Contingencies notes that repetitive analyst tasks are most at risk of being automated, so fewer roles may exist at junior levels while demand grows for mid-level interpretation and decision-making. Tellingly, Microsoft's viral list of jobs most likely to be replaced by AI included mathematicians and data scientists—but not actuaries [2], because human judgment and client-specific problem solving still matter.

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AI Adoption

How fast is AI adoption growing for Actuaries?

Adoption is happening quickly in some areas and cautiously in others. Industry publication Digital Insurance reports that AI has emerged as a transformative force in actuarial practices, with insurers using it to automate routine tasks, build predictive models, and boost fraud detection accuracy. But several brakes slow things down: the SOA highlights obstacles including model transparency, a scarcity of actuaries with advanced ML skills, integration with legacy systems, and regulatory uncertainty, plus strict rules like the EU's AI Act demanding explainability.

The good news for students: the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics projects 22% growth for actuaries from 2023 to 2033 [3], far above average, and recruiters note that actuarial unemployment stayed under 1% throughout 2025. As one industry leader puts it, those who courageously adapt will shape the future of actuarial science—so learning AI tools, communication, and ethics now is the smartest move.

Sources

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Will AI replace Actuaries?

Will AI replace Actuaries?

No. We don't think AI will replace Actuaries, though we do expect the job to change.

Our 55.3% AI Resilience Score reflects a career that is holding up well, but not one that gets to stand still. Right now, AI is mostly augmenting actuaries rather than replacing them. Machine learning tools are being embedded in pricing, reserving, and underwriting, and generative AI is helping actuaries draft reports and build better models [1]. The repetitive, number-crunching work at junior levels is most at risk of being automated, but that shifts demand upward toward interpretation, judgment, and client-facing problem solving.

What keeps actuaries safe is the part AI genuinely struggles with: explaining decisions to regulators, navigating ethical tradeoffs, and earning the trust of clients in high-stakes situations. Tellingly, Microsoft's list of jobs most likely to be replaced by AI included mathematicians and data scientists but not actuaries, precisely because human judgment still matters here [2]. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics projects 22% growth for actuaries through 2033, well above average, and actuarial unemployment stayed under 1% throughout 2025 [3].

The honest advice: learn the AI tools, build your communication skills, and treat this shift as an opportunity to move into the higher-value work AI cannot do.

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Latest AI news for Actuaries

These articles highlight how AI is reshaping actuarial careers, emphasizing the need for adaptability. For instance, the EY article discusses how generative AI is transforming insurance operations, suggesting a shift towards data-driven decision-making. Similarly, RSM's analysis shows that generative AI enables actuaries to focus on more complex, judgment-based tasks. As actuaries embrace these advancements, they can enhance their roles, ensuring they remain valuable in an evolving landscape. This resilience is crucial for success in a profession increasingly integrated with AI technologies.

More Career Info

Career: Actuaries

They analyze data and use math to predict financial risks, helping companies plan for the future and make smart decisions about money.

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$130,000

Jobs (2024)

33,600

Growth (2024-34)

+21.8%

Annual Openings

2,400

Education

Bachelor's degree

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

93% ResilienceCore Task

Testify before public agencies on proposed legislation affecting businesses.

2

91% ResilienceCore Task

Construct probability tables for events such as fires, natural disasters, and unemployment, based on analysis of statistical data and other pertinent information.

3

88% ResilienceCore Task

Provide advice to clients on a contract basis, working as a consultant.

4

82% ResilienceCore Task

Determine or help determine company policy, and explain complex technical matters to company executives, government officials, shareholders, policyholders, or the public.

5

81% ResilienceCore Task

Testify in court as expert witness or to provide legal evidence on matters such as the value of potential lifetime earnings of a person who is disabled or killed in an accident.

6

78% ResilienceCore Task

Collaborate with programmers, underwriters, accounts, claims experts, and senior management to help companies develop plans for new lines of business or improvements to existing business.

7

65% ResilienceSupplemental

Explain changes in contract provisions to customers.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

The AI Resilience Report is a project from CareerVillage.org®, a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit.

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