Mostly Resilient

Last Update: 6/19/2026

AI Resilience Score for Tire Repairers & Changers:

64.5%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

High

Long-term employer demand

High

Sustained economic opportunity

Med

Our confidence in this score:
Medium

Contributing sources

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient tire repairing and changing is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from four AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, and Will Robots Take My Job. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For tire repairers and changers, 6 of 7 sources had data. Most agreed on low AI exposure: both our AI Resilience Model and Microsoft rated it low, though Will Robots Take My Job disagreed and rated it high, which pulled confidence to medium. Strong hiring demand helps, while pay and mobility signals are mixed, landing this career at "Mostly Resilient."

AI Resilience Report forTire Repairers and Changers

$37,120 median salary15,300 annual openingsSOC Code: 49-3093.00

Tire Repairers and Changers are somewhat more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 6 sources.

Tire repairing and changing is labeled "Mostly Resilient" because AI is changing how the work gets done rather than eliminating the need for humans altogether. New robotic systems like SmartBay can speed up routine tire swaps, but a human technician still needs to oversee the process, handle tricky or unusual vehicles, and make judgment calls that a machine cannot.

Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

View analysis
Chat with Coach
Latest news
More career info
Analysis
Chat
News
More

Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

View analysis
Chat with Coach
Latest news
More career info
Analysis
Chat
News
More

This role is mostly resilient

Tire repairing and changing is labeled "Mostly Resilient" because AI is changing how the work gets done rather than eliminating the need for humans altogether. New robotic systems like SmartBay can speed up routine tire swaps, but a human technician still needs to oversee the process, handle tricky or unusual vehicles, and make judgment calls that a machine cannot.

Read full analysis

Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Tire Repairers & Changers

Updated Quarterly

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

How is AI changing Tire Repairers & Changers jobs?

The biggest change in tire service hit the industry just this week. On May 12, 2026, a startup called Automated Tire, Inc. unveiled SmartBay, an AI-powered robotic platform that automates tire changes and vehicle inspections [1] using computer vision and machine learning. Unlike a traditional tire change, SmartBay leaves the wheel on the car [2], dismounting the tire directly from the rim — skipping the lug-nut step that takes the most labor.

Tire Business reports that the system could allow one tech to manage three service bays simultaneously [3], cutting a four-tire job from roughly an hour down to 30 minutes. Right now this is augmentation more than full automation: a human operator still removes the used tire, loads the new one, connects the air line, and mounts the balance weights [1]. Beyond the robot itself, dealerships are also adopting software AI for tire-tread inspection, inventory forecasting, and customer service — Modern Tire Dealer notes that AI adoption in tire retailing is moving faster than past tech waves [4] like online parts ordering.

Reveal More
AI Adoption

How fast is AI adoption growing for Tire Repairers & Changers?

Adoption pressure is high because shops can't find enough workers. ATI points to a shortage of at least 37,000 new automotive technicians annually [5], and an industry recruiter notes the tire-tech gap is fueled by an aging workforce, low awareness of the career, and physically demanding conditions [6]. EVs are accelerating demand too, since electric vehicles wear through tires up to 30% faster [2].

Still, full adoption will take years: SmartBay just emerged from stealth, an earlier rival, RoboTire, filed Chapter 7 bankruptcy [1], and most independent shops can't afford new robotic bays overnight. The good news for young people: the human role is shifting toward overseeing machines, handling tricky vehicles, and doing higher-skill diagnostic work — ATI's CEO says the goal is to let technicians focus on more complicated vehicles and problems [5]. Hands-on judgment, customer trust, and mechanical curiosity remain very much in demand.

Reveal More
Will AI replace Tire Repairers & Changers?

Will AI replace Tire Repairers & Changers?

No. We don't think AI will replace Tire Repairers and Changers, though we do expect the job to change.

Robotic platforms are entering the shop. A startup called Automated Tire, Inc. recently unveiled SmartBay, an AI-powered system that can cut a four-tire job from roughly an hour down to 30 minutes and let one technician manage three bays at once [3]. But right now a human operator still removes the used tire, loads the new one, connects the air line, and mounts the balance weights [1]. This is augmentation, not replacement.

The job market also supports staying in this field. Shops are already short at least 37,000 automotive technicians a year [5], and electric vehicles are driving more tire wear, not less [2]. That underlying demand is reflected in our 64.5% AI Resilience Score for this career.

What stays human is real: handling tricky vehicles, earning customer trust, and applying hands-on mechanical judgment that a robot cannot improvise. The goal, according to ATI's CEO, is to free technicians to focus on more complicated problems [5]. If you are curious about this work, the smarter move is to learn alongside the machines, not to avoid the field because of them.

Reveal More
Career Village Logo

Help us improve this report.

Tell us if this analysis feels accurate or we missed something.

Share your feedback

Your Career Starts Here

Navigate your career with COACH, your free AI Career Coach. Research-backed, designed with career experts.

Explore careers

Plan your next steps

Get resume help

Find jobs

Explore careers

Plan your next steps

Get resume help

Find jobs

Explore careers

Plan your next steps

Get resume help

Find jobs

Career Village Logo

Ask a pro on CareerVillage.org. Free career advice from more than 200,000 professionals.

Latest AI news for Tire Repairers & Changers

As AI technology advances, tire repairers and changers should be aware of its impact on their careers. Articles highlight innovations like ATI's SmartBay, which can change and balance tires faster and with greater accuracy, potentially reshaping repair shops. While some reports suggest job vulnerability due to automation, these changes also create opportunities for workers to adapt by developing skills that complement AI. Embracing this technology can lead to a more efficient work environment, emphasizing the resilience of those in the tire repair industry.

More Career Info

Career: Tire Repairers and Changers

They fix or replace car tires to ensure vehicles run smoothly and safely on the road.

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$37,120

Jobs (2024)

113,400

Growth (2024-34)

+5.7%

Annual Openings

15,300

Education

High school diploma or equivalent

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

94% ResilienceCore Task

Glue tire patches over ruptures in tire casings, using rubber cement.

2

93% ResilienceCore Task

Seal punctures in tubeless tires by inserting adhesive material and expanding rubber plugs into punctures, using hand tools.

3

93% ResilienceCore Task

Separate tubed tires from wheels, using rubber mallets and metal bars or mechanical tire changers.

4

93% ResilienceCore Task

Clean and tidy up the shop.

5

93% ResilienceSupplemental

Place tire casings and tread rubber assemblies in tire molds for the vulcanization process and exert pressure to ensure good adhesion.

6

92% ResilienceCore Task

Reassemble tires onto wheels.

7

92% ResilienceCore Task

Rotate tires to different positions on vehicles, using hand tools.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

The AI Resilience Report is a project from CareerVillage.org®, a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit.

Built with ❤️ by Sandbox Web

The AI Resilience Report is governed by CareerVillage.org’s Privacy Policy and Terms of Service. This site is not affiliated with Anthropic, Microsoft, or any other data provider and doesn't necessarily represent their viewpoints. This site is being actively updated, and may sometimes contain errors or require improvement in wording or data. To report an error or request a change, please contact air@careervillage.org.