Mostly Resilient

Last Update: 8/30/2026

AI Resilience Score for Security Guards:

54.9%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

Med

Long-term employer demand

Med

Sustained economic opportunity

Med

Our confidence in this score:
Medium-high

Contributing sources

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient security guard work is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from five AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, Will Robots Take My Job, and OpenAI Signals. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For security guards, 7 of the 8 sources had data, with Anthropic the only gap. The sources largely agreed on AI exposure, rating it Medium across AI Resilience Model, Microsoft, and Will Robots Take My Job, while OpenAI Signals saw more human value. That near-alignment gives medium-high confidence. Consistent medium scores across demand and pay land security guards at "Mostly Resilient."

AI Resilience Report forSecurity Guards

$38,020 median salary156,000 annual openingsSOC Code: 33-9032.00

Security Guards are somewhat more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 7 sources.

Security guard work earns a "Mostly Resilient" label because the parts of the job that matter most, like de-escalation, judgment calls, first aid, and physical protection, are genuinely hard for AI to replicate. While technology is taking over repetitive tasks like watching camera feeds and patrolling predictable routes, humans are being pushed toward the higher-stakes moments that require real decision-making and ethical thinking.

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This role is mostly resilient

Security guard work earns a "Mostly Resilient" label because the parts of the job that matter most, like de-escalation, judgment calls, first aid, and physical protection, are genuinely hard for AI to replicate. While technology is taking over repetitive tasks like watching camera feeds and patrolling predictable routes, humans are being pushed toward the higher-stakes moments that require real decision-making and ethical thinking.

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Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Security Guards

Updated Quarterly

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

How is AI changing Security Guards jobs?

Right now, security guard work is being augmented far more than fully automated, though the pressure is real. According to the ASIS International "From Guards to Guardians" analysis, AI is taking over repetitive, high-risk, or data-saturated tasks so humans can shift into roles that require decision-making and ethical judgment, and it's already being used for surveillance analytics that flag anomalies in real-time video, perimeter defense with robotic patrol units and drones, biometric access control, and threat detection. Major guarding firms are moving fast: Security Magazine's 2025 Annual Guarding Report [1] describes Allied Universal using AI in video analytics to catch unwanted behaviors and trigger alerts, so a potential bad actor can get an automated warning to disperse before a human guard confronts them, while GardaWorld's ECAM division reports AI that detects threats in under a second and boosts detection accuracy up to 40%.

Robot patrols are also spreading — Futurism reports [2] that AI-camera robot dogs are being deployed to patrol data centers, safeguard crops, and police sports stadiums. But full replacement is stumbling: 404 Media [3] notes that AI can't handle the ambiguous situations guards face daily, and George Mason robotics professor Missy Cummings says AI systems can perform "miserably" outside their training data.

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AI Adoption

How fast is AI adoption growing for Security Guards?

Adoption is being pushed hard by labor economics. The UC Berkeley Labor Center [4] found annual turnover in the security industry reached 89% in 2024, far above the 66% private-sector average, and Futurism reports that covering one 24/7 guard shift with a robot dog can cost $80,000 to $130,000 less per year than a human. With BLS [5] projecting employment to grow just 1 percent from 2025 to 2035, employers are eager to fill gaps with tech.

Still, adoption is slowed by ethics and reliability: UC Berkeley's Enrique Lopezlira told Business Insider the realistic near-term effect isn't replacement but pushing humans toward the hardest, higher-stakes parts of the work. The bottom line for young workers: the uniform is changing, not disappearing. Human skills like de-escalation, first aid, judgment calls, and physical protection — the tasks with the lowest automation scores — are becoming more valuable, not less, as machines handle the boring watching.

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Will AI replace Security Guards?

Will AI replace Security Guards?

No. We don't think AI will replace Security Guards, though we do expect the job to change.

We gave this career a 54.9% AI Resilience Score, which puts it in a better position than many jobs. The honest reason is that AI is already doing real work here, but it's mostly the repetitive, data-heavy parts. Companies like Allied Universal are using AI video analytics to flag threats and issue automated warnings before a human guard ever steps in [1]. Robot patrols are spreading too, with some deployments costing significantly less per year than a human shift [2]. That kind of pressure is real.

What AI still can't do is handle the messy, ambiguous moments that guards face constantly. Robotics experts note that AI systems can perform poorly outside their training data [3], and those edge cases are basically the whole job. De-escalation, first aid, judgment calls, physical presence during a crisis: these are exactly the skills machines struggle with most.

The job market picture is modest but stable. BLS projects 1 percent employment growth through 2035, with high turnover creating steady openings [5]. The uniform is changing, not disappearing. Guards who learn to work alongside AI tools will likely find themselves doing more of the meaningful, high-stakes work, not less.

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Latest AI news for Security Guards

These articles highlight how AI is reshaping the security landscape, creating new opportunities for security guards. For instance, the demand for security roles in AI data centers is rising due to increased threats, emphasizing the need for skilled personnel. Additionally, understanding AI's role in cyber defense can help security guards adapt and enhance their skill sets, ensuring they remain relevant in a rapidly changing industry. Embracing AI resilience will empower students to navigate these transitions confidently.

More Career Info

Career: Security Guards

They keep places safe by watching over them, checking for any problems, and responding to emergencies or disturbances.

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$38,020

Jobs (2025)

1,294,300

Growth (2025-35)

+0.9%

Annual Openings

156,000

Education

High school diploma or equivalent

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025-2035

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

93% ResilienceCore Task

Respond to medical emergencies by administering basic first aid or by obtaining assistance from paramedics.

2

92% ResilienceCore Task

Warn persons of rule infractions or violations, and apprehend or evict violators from premises, using force when necessary.

3

90% ResilienceCore Task

Escort or drive motor vehicle to transport individuals to specified locations or to provide personal protection.

4

88% ResilienceCore Task

Circulate among visitors, patrons, or employees to preserve order and protect property.

5

82% ResilienceCore Task

Patrol industrial or commercial premises to prevent and detect signs of intrusion and ensure security of doors, windows, and gates.

6

80% ResilienceCore Task

Lock doors and gates of entrances and exits to secure buildings.

7

78% ResilienceCore Task

Answer alarms and investigate disturbances.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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AI Resilience Report for Security Guards 2026