Mostly Resilient

Last Update: 6/19/2026

AI Resilience Score for Security Guards:

53.8%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

Med

Long-term employer demand

Med

Sustained economic opportunity

Med

Our confidence in this score:
High

Contributing sources

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient security guard work is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from four AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, and Will Robots Take My Job. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For security guards, six of seven sources had data (only Anthropic was missing) and they agreed closely: AI Resilience Model, Microsoft, and Will Robots Take My Job all rated AI exposure as medium, while demand and pay signals came in medium too. That steady agreement raises confidence to high, and the consistent middle-ground results land security guards at "Mostly Resilient."

AI Resilience Report forSecurity Guards

$38,370 median salary161,000 annual openingsSOC Code: 33-9032.00

Security Guards are somewhat more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 6 sources.

Security guard work is labeled "Mostly Resilient" because the most important parts of the job, like de-escalating tense situations, comforting people, and making quick judgment calls, are things AI simply cannot do well. The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects basically flat employment through 2034, meaning AI is slowing job growth rather than eliminating positions outright.

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This role is mostly resilient

Security guard work is labeled "Mostly Resilient" because the most important parts of the job, like de-escalating tense situations, comforting people, and making quick judgment calls, are things AI simply cannot do well. The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects basically flat employment through 2034, meaning AI is slowing job growth rather than eliminating positions outright.

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Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Security Guards

Updated Quarterly

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

How is AI changing Security Guards jobs?

Right now, AI is mostly augmenting security guards rather than fully replacing them — but the technology is moving fast. At big firms like Allied Universal, AI is being added to video analytics to flag unwanted behaviors and even issue automated warnings [1] before a human guard steps in, and competitor GardaWorld is using AI-driven simulations to train its officers. AI-powered camera systems like ECAM's "Blackout" can spot threats faster than the human eye, which speeds up the reports and alarm-investigation tasks guards normally handle.

On the more dramatic end, data centers are deploying Boston Dynamics' Spot and Ghost Robotics' Vision 60 robot dogs to patrol perimeters [2], though Ghost Robotics' growth officer told Business Insider those bots "augment" rather than replace human guards. The Security Industry Association's 2026 Megatrends report explicitly names "Posthuman Automation of Security" [3] as a top trend, with leaders saying AI is being given more "authority of action" for repetitive monitoring and incident-reporting tasks.

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AI Adoption

How fast is AI adoption growing for Security Guards?

Adoption is happening, but unevenly. The federal Bureau of Labor Statistics projects basically flat employment (0% change) for security guards from 2024 to 2034 [4], with 162,300 openings each year — meaning tech is curbing growth, not wiping out jobs. Cost is a big driver: a UC Berkeley Labor Center study released in April 2026 [5] found that California's 186,000 private guards earn a median of about $20/hour and nearly half are low-wage workers, so employers don't always have a strong financial reason to swap cheap labor for expensive robots.

On the other hand, high turnover, training gaps, and rising threats push companies toward AI tools that "quiet the noise" and reduce friction. Social and legal acceptance is the main brake — people still want a human in uniform to de-escalate conflicts, comfort visitors, and make judgment calls. The good news: skills like empathy, communication, and on-the-spot decision-making are exactly what AI struggles with, so guards who learn to work with AI cameras, drones, and robots will likely be more valuable, not less.

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Will AI replace Security Guards?

Will AI replace Security Guards?

No. We don't think AI will replace Security Guards, though we do expect the job to change.

We gave this career a 53.8% AI Resilience Score, which puts it in "Mostly Resilient" territory. That lines up with what we're seeing on the ground. AI is already handling a lot of the repetitive monitoring work: video analytics flag suspicious behavior, automated systems issue warnings, and robot dogs patrol perimeters at some data centers [2]. But these tools are being added alongside guards, not instead of them. The Security Industry Association calls this shift "Posthuman Automation of Security," with AI taking on more routine tasks while humans stay in the loop [3].

The reason guards aren't going away is partly economic and partly human. A UC Berkeley study found California's private guards earn around $20 per hour, making expensive robotics a hard sell for many employers [5]. More importantly, de-escalating conflicts, comforting people in distress, and making fast judgment calls in unpredictable situations are things AI genuinely struggles with. The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects roughly flat employment through 2034, with over 162,000 openings per year [4], which suggests technology is slowing growth rather than eliminating the field.

If you're considering this career, learning to work with AI tools will matter more than competing against them.

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Latest AI news for Security Guards

These articles highlight how AI is transforming the security field, offering both challenges and opportunities for aspiring security guards. For instance, the deployment of over 4,000 AI cameras at the India AI Impact Summit shows how technology can enhance monitoring capabilities, allowing guards to focus on more complex tasks. Additionally, the use of AI tools to monitor security personnel, as discussed in the Politics Home article, emphasizes the need for adaptability in this evolving landscape. Embracing AI resilience will be key for future security professionals to thrive in their careers.

More Career Info

Career: Security Guards

They keep places safe by watching over them, checking for any problems, and responding to emergencies or disturbances.

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$38,370

Jobs (2024)

1,262,100

Growth (2024-34)

+0.4%

Annual Openings

161,000

Education

High school diploma or equivalent

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

95% ResilienceSupplemental

Inspect and adjust security systems, equipment, or machinery to ensure operational use and to detect evidence of tampering.

2

94% ResilienceSupplemental

Operate detecting devices to screen individuals and prevent passage of prohibited articles into restricted areas.

3

92% ResilienceCore Task

Circulate among visitors, patrons, or employees to preserve order and protect property.

4

82% ResilienceCore Task

Answer alarms and investigate disturbances.

5

78% ResilienceSupplemental

Patrol industrial or commercial premises to prevent and detect signs of intrusion and ensure security of doors, windows, and gates.

6

72% ResilienceSupplemental

Monitor and adjust controls that regulate building systems, such as air conditioning, furnace, or boiler.

7

70% ResilienceSupplemental

Answer telephone calls to take messages, answer questions, and provide information during non-business hours or when switchboard is closed.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

The AI Resilience Report is a project from CareerVillage.org®, a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit.

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