Mostly Resilient

Last Update: 7/31/2026

AI Resilience Score for Security Guards:

57.2%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

Med

Long-term employer demand

Med

Sustained economic opportunity

Med

Our confidence in this score:
Medium-high

Contributing sources

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient security guard work is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from five AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, Will Robots Take My Job, and OpenAI Signals. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For security guards, 7 of the 8 sources had data, with Anthropic the only gap. The AI exposure sources largely agreed, rating exposure medium, though OpenAI Signals saw it as low, giving medium-high confidence. Steady demand and moderate pay kept all three sub-scores at medium, landing security guards at "Mostly Resilient."

AI Resilience Report forSecurity Guards

$38,020 median salary161,000 annual openingsSOC Code: 33-9032.00

Security Guards are somewhat more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 7 sources.

Security guard work is labeled "Mostly Resilient" because the most important parts of the job, like de-escalating tense situations, comforting people, and making quick judgment calls, are things AI simply cannot do well. The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects basically flat employment through 2034, meaning AI is slowing job growth rather than eliminating positions outright.

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This role is mostly resilient

Security guard work is labeled "Mostly Resilient" because the most important parts of the job, like de-escalating tense situations, comforting people, and making quick judgment calls, are things AI simply cannot do well. The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects basically flat employment through 2034, meaning AI is slowing job growth rather than eliminating positions outright.

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Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Security Guards

Updated Quarterly

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

How is AI changing Security Guards jobs?

Right now, AI is mostly augmenting security guards rather than fully replacing them — but the technology is moving fast. At big firms like Allied Universal, AI is being added to video analytics to flag unwanted behaviors and even issue automated warnings [1] before a human guard steps in, and competitor GardaWorld is using AI-driven simulations to train its officers. AI-powered camera systems like ECAM's "Blackout" can spot threats faster than the human eye, which speeds up the reports and alarm-investigation tasks guards normally handle.

On the more dramatic end, data centers are deploying Boston Dynamics' Spot and Ghost Robotics' Vision 60 robot dogs to patrol perimeters [2], though Ghost Robotics' growth officer told Business Insider those bots "augment" rather than replace human guards. The Security Industry Association's 2026 Megatrends report explicitly names "Posthuman Automation of Security" [3] as a top trend, with leaders saying AI is being given more "authority of action" for repetitive monitoring and incident-reporting tasks.

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AI Adoption

How fast is AI adoption growing for Security Guards?

Adoption is happening, but unevenly. The federal Bureau of Labor Statistics projects basically flat employment (0% change) for security guards from 2024 to 2034 [4], with 162,300 openings each year — meaning tech is curbing growth, not wiping out jobs. Cost is a big driver: a UC Berkeley Labor Center study released in April 2026 [5] found that California's 186,000 private guards earn a median of about $20/hour and nearly half are low-wage workers, so employers don't always have a strong financial reason to swap cheap labor for expensive robots.

On the other hand, high turnover, training gaps, and rising threats push companies toward AI tools that "quiet the noise" and reduce friction. Social and legal acceptance is the main brake — people still want a human in uniform to de-escalate conflicts, comfort visitors, and make judgment calls. The good news: skills like empathy, communication, and on-the-spot decision-making are exactly what AI struggles with, so guards who learn to work with AI cameras, drones, and robots will likely be more valuable, not less.

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Will AI replace Security Guards?

Will AI replace Security Guards?

No. We don't think AI will replace Security Guards, though we do expect the job to change.

Our 57.2% AI Resilience Score reflects a role that is holding up reasonably well, but not one standing still. Right now, AI is mostly augmenting guards rather than replacing them. Companies are adding video analytics to flag threats faster than the human eye can catch them [1], and robot dogs are patrolling some data center perimeters, though the companies deploying them describe these machines as tools that work alongside guards, not substitutes for them [2]. The Security Industry Association has named "Posthuman Automation of Security" a top trend, with AI taking on more repetitive monitoring and incident-reporting tasks [3].

What stays human is significant. De-escalating a tense situation, comforting a distressed visitor, making a judgment call in an ambiguous moment: these are things AI genuinely struggles with. The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects essentially flat employment through 2034, with roughly 162,300 openings per year [4], which suggests technology is curbing growth without eliminating the field.

Guards who learn to work with AI cameras, drones, and automated systems will likely be more valuable over time. The job is shifting toward tech-assisted work, not disappearing.

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Latest AI news for Security Guards

These articles highlight the evolving role of security guards in an AI-driven world. For instance, the piece on data centers discusses how security personnel are crucial for protecting facilities that support AI technologies. Additionally, the use of AI in surveillance and predictive policing demonstrates how security guards will increasingly work alongside advanced technologies to enhance public safety. This shift not only underscores the importance of human oversight in security but also emphasizes the potential for career growth in safeguarding increasingly complex environments. Embracing AI resilience will be key for future security professionals.

More Career Info

Career: Security Guards

They keep places safe by watching over them, checking for any problems, and responding to emergencies or disturbances.

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$38,020

Jobs (2024)

1,262,100

Growth (2024-34)

+0.4%

Annual Openings

161,000

Education

High school diploma or equivalent

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

95% ResilienceSupplemental

Inspect and adjust security systems, equipment, or machinery to ensure operational use and to detect evidence of tampering.

2

94% ResilienceSupplemental

Operate detecting devices to screen individuals and prevent passage of prohibited articles into restricted areas.

3

92% ResilienceCore Task

Circulate among visitors, patrons, or employees to preserve order and protect property.

4

82% ResilienceCore Task

Answer alarms and investigate disturbances.

5

78% ResilienceSupplemental

Patrol industrial or commercial premises to prevent and detect signs of intrusion and ensure security of doors, windows, and gates.

6

72% ResilienceSupplemental

Monitor and adjust controls that regulate building systems, such as air conditioning, furnace, or boiler.

7

70% ResilienceSupplemental

Answer telephone calls to take messages, answer questions, and provide information during non-business hours or when switchboard is closed.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

The AI Resilience Report is a project from CareerVillage.org®, a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit.

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