Mostly Resilient

Last Update: 8/30/2026

AI Resilience Score for Mechanics & Installers Sup.:

51.1%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

Med

Long-term employer demand

High

Sustained economic opportunity

Low

Our confidence in this score:
High

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient supervising mechanics, installers, and repairers is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from five AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, Will Robots Take My Job, and OpenAI Signals. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For mechanics and installers supervisors, all eight sources had data and mostly agreed: four of five AI exposure sources rated the work Medium resilience, with OpenAI Signals the lone Low outlier, so confidence is high. Strong hiring projections from the BLS Opportunity Score push the score up, while a low Wage Bill pulls economic opportunity down, landing this role at "Mostly Resilient."

AI Resilience Report forFirst-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers

$79,860 median salary•48,900 annual openings•SOC Code: 49-1011.00

First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers are somewhat more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 8 sources.

This career is labeled "Mostly Resilient" because the heart of the job, including safety coaching, hands-on repairs, and managing people through real-world problems, requires human judgment and physical skill that AI simply cannot replicate. AI tools are taking over the repetitive paperwork side of things (like logging maintenance codes, predicting equipment failures, and scheduling work orders), which actually frees supervisors up to focus on the complex, people-centered parts of their role.

Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

This role is mostly resilient

This career is labeled "Mostly Resilient" because the heart of the job, including safety coaching, hands-on repairs, and managing people through real-world problems, requires human judgment and physical skill that AI simply cannot replicate. AI tools are taking over the repetitive paperwork side of things (like logging maintenance codes, predicting equipment failures, and scheduling work orders), which actually frees supervisors up to focus on the complex, people-centered parts of their role.

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Analysis of current AI resilience

Mechanics & Installers Sup.

Updated quarterly

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Latest AI news for Mechanics & Installers Sup.

These articles highlight the evolving role of First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers in an AI-driven landscape. With a 42/100 risk of AI replacement, there's a clear opportunity for growth. For example, while recordkeeping tasks may face 82% automation, on-site leadership and technical expertise remain vital. Embracing AI tools like predictive maintenance can enhance operational efficiency, making supervisors more indispensable. This career path shows promising AI resilience, with competitive wages and a significant demand for skilled professionals who adapt to new technologies.

More Career Info

Career: First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers

They oversee mechanics, installers, and repairers to ensure they do their jobs correctly and safely, solving problems and keeping everything running smoothly.

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$79,860

Jobs (2025)

629,000

Growth (2025-35)

+4.1%

Annual Openings

48,900

Education

High school diploma or equivalent

Experience

Less than 5 years

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025-2035

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

95% ResilienceCore Task

Perform skilled repair or maintenance operations, using equipment such as hand or power tools, hydraulic presses or shears, or welding equipment.

2

82% ResilienceCore Task

Counsel employees about work-related issues and assist employees to correct job-skill deficiencies.

3

80% ResilienceCore Task

Confer with personnel, such as management, engineering, quality control, customer, or union workers' representatives, to coordinate work activities, resolve employee grievances, or identify and review...

4

78% ResilienceCore Task

Recommend or initiate personnel actions, such as hires, promotions, transfers, discharges, or disciplinary measures.

5

75% ResilienceCore Task

Examine objects, systems, or facilities and analyze information to determine needed installations, services, or repairs.

6

72% ResilienceCore Task

Inspect, test, and measure completed work, using devices such as hand tools or gauges to verify conformance to standards or repair requirements.

7

72% ResilienceSupplemental

Design equipment configurations to meet personnel needs.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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