Mostly Resilient

Last Update: 11/4/2026

AI Resilience Score for Agricultural Managers:

52.7%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

Med

Long-term employer demand

Med

Sustained economic opportunity

Med

Our confidence in this score:
Medium

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient agricultural management is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from six AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, Will Robots Take My Job, OpenAI Signals, and Google ATLAS. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For agricultural managers, eight of nine sources had data, but AI exposure split sharply: Microsoft and OpenAI Signals saw the hands-on, weather-dependent nature of farming as highly human, while AI Resilience Model and Google ATLAS rated exposure low. That disagreement holds confidence at medium. Strong wage signals help, but softer demand and adaptive capacity keep the label at "Mostly Resilient."

AI Resilience Report forFarmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers

$89,900 median salary•70,800 annual openings•SOC Code: 11-9013.00

Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers are somewhat more resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 7 sources.

Farming and ranching earn a "Mostly Resilient" label because AI is stepping in as a helpful tool rather than a replacement for the real expertise farmers bring to the job. Tasks like soil analysis, tracking crop growth, and monitoring livestock are getting a serious upgrade from AI (think smarter sprayers and GPS cattle collars), but the judgment calls, like deciding when to breed animals, how to manage land through a tough season, or building relationships with neighbors and buyers, still need a human in charge.

Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

This role is mostly resilient

Farming and ranching earn a "Mostly Resilient" label because AI is stepping in as a helpful tool rather than a replacement for the real expertise farmers bring to the job. Tasks like soil analysis, tracking crop growth, and monitoring livestock are getting a serious upgrade from AI (think smarter sprayers and GPS cattle collars), but the judgment calls, like deciding when to breed animals, how to manage land through a tough season, or building relationships with neighbors and buyers, still need a human in charge.

Read full analysis

Analysis of current AI resilience

Agricultural Managers

Updated quarterly

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How can Agricultural Managers prepare for AI?

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Latest AI news for Agricultural Managers

These articles highlight the crucial role of AI in agriculture, emphasizing its potential to enhance efficiency and productivity for farmers and ranchers. For instance, the BBC article illustrates how AI can help optimize crop yields, addressing the pressing need to feed a growing population. Meanwhile, the Morning Ag Clips piece discusses the anxiety some workers feel about job displacement; understanding AI's role can empower students to adapt and thrive in this evolving landscape. Embracing AI can foster resilience, ensuring that future agricultural managers remain competitive and effective in their careers.

More Career Info

Career: Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers

They grow crops and raise animals by planning, planting, and taking care of farms or ranches to produce food and other products.

Alternate Titles

Aquaculture Director · Farm Manager · Greenhouse Manager · Ranch Manager · Farm Operations Technical Director · Fish Hatchery Manager · Harvesting Manager · Hatchery Manager · Hatchery Supervisor · Nursery Manager

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$89,900

Jobs (2025)

788,700

Growth (2025-35)

-3.4%

Annual Openings

70,800

Education

High school diploma or equivalent

Experience

5 years or more

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025-2035

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

90% ResilienceCore Task

Direct and monitor the transfer of mature fish to lakes, ponds, streams, or commercial tanks.

2

90% ResilienceCore Task

Supervise the construction of farm or ranch structures, such as buildings, fences, drainage systems, wells, or roads.

3

88% ResilienceCore Task

Manage nurseries that grow horticultural plants for sale to trade or retail customers, for display or exhibition, or for research.

4

88% ResilienceCore Task

Direct the breeding or raising of stock, such as cattle, poultry, or honeybees, using recognized breeding practices to ensure stock improvement.

5

86% ResilienceCore Task

Direct and monitor trapping and spawning of fish, egg incubation, and fry rearing, applying knowledge of management and fish culturing techniques.

6

85% ResilienceCore Task

Inspect facilities and equipment for signs of disrepair, and perform necessary maintenance work.

7

85% ResilienceSupplemental

Hire, supervise, and train support workers.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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