Vulnerable

Last Update: 7/31/2026

AI Resilience Score for Extraction Workers, Other:

19.8%

Median Score

Meaningful human contribution

Low

Long-term employer demand

Low

Sustained economic opportunity

Med

Our confidence in this score:
Low-medium

Contributing sources

Methodology and Scoring Rationale

To score how resilient extraction work in oil, gas, and minerals is to AI, we ask one question in three parts:

First, how much of the job still needs a human, read from five AI-exposure sources: our own AI Resilience Model, Anthropic's Observed Exposure, Microsoft's AI Applicability, Will Robots Take My Job, and OpenAI Signals. We call this dimension Meaningful Human Contribution (MHC) and weight it at 40%.

Next, whether employers will keep hiring for this job over the long term. This dimension, which we call Long-term Employer Demand (LTE), is calculated from BLS data and weighted at 30%.

Last, whether pay and mobility will hold up. We use wage bill and adaptive capacity data from independent researchers (Althoff & Reichardt, 2026; Manning & Aguirre, 2026). We call this dimension Sustained Economic Opportunity (SEO) and weight it at 30%.

For extraction workers, only four of the eight sources had data, which is why confidence sits at low-medium. The sources that did weigh in agreed more than they disagreed: AI Resilience Model rated AI exposure high, while employer demand looks low per the BLS Opportunity Score. Only the Wage Bill offered a brighter note, leaving this role rated "Vulnerable."

AI Resilience Report forExtraction Workers, All Other

$57,010 median salary700 annual openingsSOC Code: 47-5099.00

Extraction Workers, All Other are much less resilient to AI impacts than most occupations, according to our analysis of 4 sources.

Extraction work is labeled "Vulnerable" because the most physically demanding and repetitive tasks at the heart of this career, like hauling materials, conducting inspections, and monitoring remote sites, are being taken over by autonomous trucks, robots, and AI-powered sensors at a rapid pace. The numbers tell a clear story: over 3,800 autonomous haul trucks are already operating in mines worldwide, and the OECD estimates that more than 43% of current mining roles face high automation risk.

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This role is vulnerable

Extraction work is labeled "Vulnerable" because the most physically demanding and repetitive tasks at the heart of this career, like hauling materials, conducting inspections, and monitoring remote sites, are being taken over by autonomous trucks, robots, and AI-powered sensors at a rapid pace. The numbers tell a clear story: over 3,800 autonomous haul trucks are already operating in mines worldwide, and the OECD estimates that more than 43% of current mining roles face high automation risk.

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Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Extraction Workers, Other

Updated Quarterly

Analysis
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State of Automation

How is AI changing Extraction Workers, Other jobs?

If you've ever pictured an oil rig or open-pit mine, you probably imagined lots of people in hard hats. That picture is changing fast. Between July 2024 and July 2025, the global fleet of autonomous haul trucks jumped to 3,832 autonomous haul trucks operating across surface mines worldwide — including both fully autonomous units and trucks equipped with autonomous-ready systems, an 84% year-on-year increase, according to Mining Doc's 2026 review [1].

In Canada, Imperial Oil has completed the conversion of its entire heavy-haul truck fleet at the Kearl Oil Sands Mine in Alberta to fully autonomous operation, with 81 trucks now operating without human drivers. In oil and gas, World Oil reports [2] that Ex-certified robotic platforms offer an alternative by conducting inspections in hazardous zones without requiring human entry, equipped with optical, thermal, acoustic and environmental sensors. The Society of Petroleum Engineers' Journal of Petroleum Technology [3] notes that AI has not replaced human talent; it has amplified it while transforming what expertise means — so much of today's AI is augmentation (drones, sensors, predictive maintenance) layered on top of human crews who still handle judgment calls.

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AI Adoption

How fast is AI adoption growing for Extraction Workers, Other?

Adoption is moving quickly because the math is compelling: mines and rigs are dangerous, remote, and expensive to staff. Skillings Mining Review [4] cites that the OECD estimates that more than 43% of current mining roles are at high risk of automation, while McKinsey forecasts that tech-enabled and ESG-focused jobs will grow 2.5x faster than traditional extraction roles, and the rise of autonomous haulage systems, predictive maintenance tools and remote asset management has already begun to shape the workforce, with TPD Workforce Solutions reporting a 42% increase in automation-linked roles in 2025; remote operation centres are becoming central hubs, enabling companies such as Rio Tinto, BHP and Vale to operate mines from urban command centres rather than on-site teams. Safety pressure is another accelerator — Robotics & Automation News [5] explains that in oil and gas, one of the critical applications centres around lone worker monitoring in remote and offshore environments, where a smartwatch detecting and alerting worker malaise can mean the difference between a rescue and a fatality.

That said, headcount won't vanish overnight. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics [6] projects that mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction employment will decline only about 1.6% between 2024 and 2034 — a slow shrink, not a cliff. The good news: human skills like physical troubleshooting, ethical judgment, ESG knowledge, and supervising robotic fleets remain valuable, and young workers who pair extraction know-how with data and tech literacy will be the ones companies fight to hire.

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Will AI replace Extraction Workers, Other?

Will AI replace Extraction Workers, Other?

Yes. We do think that eventually AI will replace much of this work as it's done today, but the transition is gradual and the skills you build here can carry you forward.

Our 19.8% AI Resilience Score puts this role in genuinely vulnerable territory. The numbers behind that reflect real change already underway: the global fleet of autonomous haul trucks grew 84% year-on-year to 3,832 units [1], and robotic platforms are now conducting hazardous inspections that once required human crews on-site [2]. The OECD estimates more than 43% of current mining roles are at high risk of automation, and McKinsey forecasts that tech-enabled jobs will grow 2.5 times faster than traditional extraction roles [4]. Employer demand through 2034 is weak, and that is the honest picture.

What stays human, at least for now, is physical troubleshooting, judgment in unpredictable environments, and oversight of the robotic systems doing the heavy lifting. The workers who hold on longest will be the ones pairing extraction experience with data literacy and remote operations skills. Companies like Rio Tinto and BHP are building urban command centers to manage mines from a distance [4], and those seats need people who understand both the technology and the terrain. If you are early in this career, treat your field knowledge as a foundation and build toward fleet supervision, predictive maintenance, or ESG roles. The job is changing faster than most, but your expertise is not worthless.

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Latest AI news for Extraction Workers, Other

These articles highlight the transformative role of AI in extraction careers. For instance, the Microsoft piece shows how AI enhances efficiency in mining, suggesting that workers can leverage technology to improve operations. Meanwhile, the Digital Journal article illustrates the potential job disruption caused by AI, emphasizing the need for workers to adapt and upskill. By understanding these trends, students can develop AI resilience, ensuring they remain valuable in an evolving workforce shaped by technology.

More Career Info

Career: Extraction Workers, All Other

They remove materials like oil, gas, or minerals from the earth using specialized tools and equipment to help produce energy and raw materials.

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$57,010

Jobs (2024)

6,300

Growth (2024-34)

+1.4%

Annual Openings

700

Education

High school diploma or equivalent

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

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