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Updated: Feb 6

Evolving

Last Update: 11/21/2025

Your role’s AI Resilience Score is

56.6%

Median Score

Changing Fast

Evolving

Stable

Our confidence in this score:
Medium-high

What does this resilience result mean?

These roles are shifting as AI becomes part of everyday workflows. Expect new responsibilities and new opportunities.

AI Resilience Report for

Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists

They keep buses and trucks running smoothly by fixing engines, checking for problems, and performing regular maintenance.

Summary

This career is labeled as "Evolving" because AI is starting to change how bus and truck mechanics work, especially in diagnostics and maintenance planning. While AI tools help predict problems and suggest repairs, the actual hands-on work like fixing engines and brakes still relies on human skills.

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Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

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Latest news
More career info

Summary

This career is labeled as "Evolving" because AI is starting to change how bus and truck mechanics work, especially in diagnostics and maintenance planning. While AI tools help predict problems and suggest repairs, the actual hands-on work like fixing engines and brakes still relies on human skills.

Read full analysis

Contributing Sources

AI Resilience

All scores are converted into percentiles showing where this career ranks among U.S. careers. For models that measure impact or risk, we flip the percentile (subtract it from 100) to derive resilience.

CareerVillage.org's AI Resilience Analysis

AI Task Resilience

Learn about this score
Evolving iconEvolving

50.2%

50.2%

Microsoft's Working with AI

AI Applicability

Learn about this score
Evolving iconEvolving

67.6%

67.6%

Will Robots Take My Job

Automation Resilience

Learn about this score
Evolving iconEvolving

46.2%

46.2%

Medium Demand

Labor Market Outlook

We use BLS employment projections to complement the AI-focused assessments from other sources.

Learn about this score

Growth Rate (2024-34):

2.4%

Growth Percentile:

45.4%

Annual Openings:

26.5

Annual Openings Pct:

73.3%

Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Bus/Truck/Diesel Mechanic

Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 11/22/2025

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

State of Automation & Augmentation

Right now, most heavy‐truck maintenance tasks still rely on human skill. The most advanced AI is used for diagnostics and maintenance planning, not for physically doing the work. For example, new scanner tools can read a truck’s computer and use AI to analyze thousands of data points in seconds, spotting likely faults and even suggesting repair steps [1] [1].

Fleets also use predictive maintenance systems: sensors and telematics feed data into machine learning models that forecast when parts might fail [1] [2]. Studies show this can slash downtime and costs, since repairs happen before a breakdown [2] [1]. In other words, computers help mechanics decide what to fix and when.

However, hands-on tasks remain largely manual. Checking clearances, repairing brake systems, or changing oil are still done by people using tools [3] [3]. There are new tools that augment these tasks – for example, dealers’ service techs report using augmented reality (AR) headsets or tablets that overlay wiring diagrams or instructions on real truck parts.

This kind of AR guidance can save 15–20% of diagnostic time by keeping vital info in view [4] [4]. But the mechanic still turns wrenches and replaces parts by hand. In short, AI today helps with sensing, diagnostics, and scheduling, not with poking wrenches.

Human trade skills (like feeling a loose bearing or solving an odd problem) remain essential.

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AI Adoption

AI Adoption

Adoption of AI tools in this field will depend on cost, benefits, and trust. For large fleets, the return on investment can be clear: AI-driven maintenance can reduce costly breakdowns and keep big vehicles running longer [2] [1]. But high-tech systems (sensors, data analysis software, training) can be expensive up front.

Small shops and independent mechanics may adopt new tools more slowly if the cost or training is high. Fundamentally, heavy-vehicle repair is safety-critical and regulated, so any AI tool must prove it really works. Experts warn that AI advice (for example, from chatbots) is sometimes general or uncertain, so technicians still need to double-check recommendations with trusted data or expert judgment [4].

On the human side, many fleets already face a shortage of experienced technicians. Employers want skilled diesel techs and even prefer those with AI-related training [5] [4]. In that sense, AI is often seen as a help, not a replacement: it lets less-experienced techs access “senior technician” knowledge on the spot [1] [4].

Socially and legally, people do worry about automation, but in this trade, trust builds by proving safety and effectiveness. In the end, so far AI is augmenting rather than replacing jobs – it can point the way or read sensor data, but human hands and judgment are still needed to fix big trucks.

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More Career Info

Career: Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$60,640

Jobs (2024)

319,900

Growth (2024-34)

+2.4%

Annual Openings

26,500

Education

High school diploma or equivalent

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

65% ResilienceCore Task

Use handtools such as screwdrivers, pliers, wrenches, pressure gauges, and precision instruments, as well as power tools such as pneumatic wrenches, lathes, welding equipment, and jacks and hoists.

2

65% ResilienceCore Task

Inspect brake systems, steering mechanisms, wheel bearings, and other important parts to ensure that they are in proper operating condition.

3

65% ResilienceCore Task

Perform routine maintenance such as changing oil, checking batteries, and lubricating equipment and machinery.

4

65% ResilienceCore Task

Adjust and reline brakes, align wheels, tighten bolts and screws, and reassemble equipment.

5

65% ResilienceCore Task

Raise trucks, buses, and heavy parts or equipment using hydraulic jacks or hoists.

6

65% ResilienceCore Task

Test drive trucks and buses to diagnose malfunctions or to ensure that they are working properly.

7

65% ResilienceCore Task

Examine and adjust protective guards, loose bolts, and specified safety devices.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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