Stable

Last Update: 3/13/2026

Your role’s AI Resilience Score is

78.9%

Median Score

Changing Fast

Evolving

Stable

Our confidence in this score:
Medium-high

What does this resilience result mean?

These roles are expected to remain steady over time, with AI supporting rather than replacing the core work.

AI Resilience Report for

Boilermakers

They build and repair large containers like boilers and tanks, ensuring they safely hold gases and liquids used in factories and power plants.

This role is stable

The career of a boilermaker is considered "Stable" because it relies heavily on hands-on skills that AI can't easily replace. Tasks like installing, welding, and repairing boilers require human judgment, adaptability, and problem-solving, which are difficult for robots to replicate.

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Learn more about how you can thrive in this position

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Chat with Coach
Latest news
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Analysis
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This role is stable

The career of a boilermaker is considered "Stable" because it relies heavily on hands-on skills that AI can't easily replace. Tasks like installing, welding, and repairing boilers require human judgment, adaptability, and problem-solving, which are difficult for robots to replicate.

Read full analysis

Contributing Sources

We aggregate scores from multiple models and supplement with employment projections for a more accurate picture of this occupation’s resilience. Expand to view all sources.

AI Resilience

AI Resilience Model v1.0

AI Task Resilience

Learn about this score
Stable iconStable

93.0%

93.0%

Microsoft's Working with AI

AI Applicability

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Stable iconStable

93.7%

93.7%

Will Robots Take My Job

Automation Resilience

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Evolving iconEvolving

60.8%

60.8%

Althoff & Reichardt

Economic Growth

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Evolving iconEvolving

69.5%

69.5%

Low Demand

Labor Market Outlook

We use BLS employment projections to complement the AI-focused assessments from other sources.

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Growth Rate (2024-34):

-2.4%

Growth Percentile:

17.6%

Annual Openings:

800

Annual Openings Pct:

8.9%

Analysis of Current AI Resilience

Boilermakers

Updated Quarterly • Last Update: 2/17/2026

Analysis
Suggested Actions
State of Automation

What's changing and what's not

Boilermaking remains largely a hands-on trade. Workers install bricks, valves, and heavy plates by hand, and inspect and weld boilers using torches and tools. [1] For example, the BLS notes boilermakers must “test and inspect boiler systems… clean vats with scrapers… and replace or repair broken valves… using hand and power tools, gas torches, and welding equipment” [1]. Today, there are few fully automated solutions for these tasks.

One research project built a flexible robotic welder to apply corrosion-resistant cladding inside boiler tubes [2], showing that automation is possible in controlled settings. Also, modern AI (like image-recognition systems) could help inspections. A BLS review observes that AI now excels at tasks such as image recognition and robotic manipulation, which could in theory assist defect detection [1].

But in practice, these AI tools are mostly experimental or used as aids, not replacements. Importantly, a 2022 BLS study found “little support” in the data for a sudden wave of job loss from robots and AI [1]. In short, while some high-tech inspection machines and advanced sensors are emerging, most boilermaker chores (installing bricks, fitting parts, welding in tight spaces) still require human skill and judgment.

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AI Adoption

AI in the real world

Whether firms quickly adopt AI in boilermaking depends on cost and practicality. Building a robot for each new boiler job is very expensive compared to hiring a skilled worker. Boilermaker work is often done on-site, one unit at a time, so the Union-scale labor cost (roughly $\$70k$–$\$80k$ yearly) can actually be lower than the multi-hundred-thousand dollar price of custom robotic systems.

A recent BLS analysis notes that many occupations haven’t seen major declines despite AI – one reason is the high investment and complexity involved [1]. Companies also factor in safety and regulation: boilers hold pressurized steam, so any automated system must be extremely reliable before managers trust it.

On the positive side, firms do use AI-powered tools where they make sense. For example, some plants use predictive‐maintenance software and sensors to monitor boiler performance and predict leaks before they happen (an AI “assistant” for boilermakers). Augmented reality guides and smart cameras can help workers plan repairs.

But overall, experts expect a gradual shift. The heavy lifting, on-site fitting, and troubleshooting in this trade rely on human strengths like adaptability and problem-solving. As one BLS report puts it, new AI technologies “represent a clear departure” from old tools, but so far they have not caused a break in employment trends for jobs like boilermakers [1] [1].

In summary, boilermakers should not panic – their skills will remain crucial. AI is likely to be an aid (for example, by improving safety or planning), but the core job of fitting and repairing boilers is expected to stay in human hands for the foreseeable future [1].

Sources

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More Career Info

Career: Boilermakers

Employment & Wage Data

Median Wage

$73,340

Jobs (2024)

10,400

Growth (2024-34)

-2.4%

Annual Openings

800

Education

High school diploma or equivalent

Experience

None

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024-2034

Task-Level AI Resilience Scores

AI-generated estimates of task resilience over the next 3 years

1

90% ResilienceCore Task

Attach rigging and signal crane or hoist operators to lift heavy frame and plate sections or other parts into place.

2

88% ResilienceCore Task

Lay out plate, sheet steel, or other heavy metal and locate and mark bending and cutting lines, using protractors, compasses, and drawing instruments or templates.

3

88% ResilienceCore Task

Assemble large vessels in an on-site fabrication shop prior to installation to ensure proper fit.

4

87% ResilienceCore Task

Locate and mark reference points for columns or plates on boiler foundations, following blueprints and using straightedges, squares, transits, or measuring instruments.

5

86% ResilienceCore Task

Position, align, and secure structural parts or related assemblies to boiler frames, tanks, or vats of pressure vessels, following blueprints.

6

85% ResilienceCore Task

Bolt or arc weld pressure vessel structures and parts together, using wrenches or welding equipment.

7

85% ResilienceCore Task

Study blueprints to determine locations, relationships, or dimensions of parts.

Tasks are ranked by their AI resilience, with the most resilient tasks shown first. Core tasks are essential functions of this occupation, while supplemental tasks provide additional context.

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